Browns vs. Ravens Predictions, Odds & Player Props – Week 4

BALTIMORE, MARYLAND - DECEMBER 04: Lamar Jackson #8 of the Baltimore Ravens walks across the field during the game against the Denver Broncos at M&T Bank Stadium on December 04, 2022 in Baltimore, Maryland.
Image Credit: G Fiume/Getty Images

The Browns are set to face the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday, October 1. The game is scheduled for 1:00 ET while airing on CBS. Cleveland enters this game as 3-point favorites with the total set at 40.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Browns vs. Ravens predictions and player props below.

Browns vs. Ravens Odds

  • Spread: Browns -3
  • Total 40.5

Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Oct 1
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland OH
  • TV: CBS

Ravens Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Ravens have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Although Baltimore has a straight up record of 5-5 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 7-3. The team averaged 21 points per game in these games.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Baltimore has an ATS mark of 4-1 while going 2-3 straight up.

Browns Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Browns have an over/under record of 0-5 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Although Cleveland has a straight up record of 2-3 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 19 points per game in these games.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Browns have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 2-1.

Can the Ravens Lock in a Win at Cleveland?

Heading into their 2nd road game of the season, the Ravens have been perfect on the road (1-0). Their overall record of 2-1 has them 2nd in the AFC-North. In their games at home, the Ravens are 1-1. The Ravens hold a 2-1 record against the spread. As we approach week 4, their scoring margin stands at +5.3 per game.

In their last game, the Ravens hosted the Colts. However, they lost by a score of 22-19. In addition to their defeat in the game, the Ravens also fell short of covering the spread as 7.5-point favorites. The pre-game over/under line in their most recent game vs. Indianapolis was 43.5. The teams fell short of this figure with 41 points.

Baltimore’s offense produced a total of 364 yards against the Colts. When it came to third downs, the Ravens had a conversion rate of 37.5%. The leading rusher for the Ravens was Lamar Jackson with 101 yards, and Lamar Jackson contributed 202 passing yards.

On defense, the Ravens come into the game ranked 13th in tackles for loss and 3rd in sacks. Opponents are scoring 18.3 points per game vs. them along with an average of 292.3 yards per contest.

Can Cleveland Hold Serve at Home?

With an overall record of 2-1, the Browns are 3rd in the AFC-North. This record also has them 6th in the AFC. At home, Cleveland is 2-0 compared to a record of 0-1 on the road. Taking a look at the Browns’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at +13.7. This has resulted in an ATS record of 2-1.

The Browns are coming off a successful game, where they beat the Titans with a score of 27-3. As 3.5-point favorites against the Titans, the Browns picked up an ATS win. The under hit in the Browns’ most recent game, as the team’s combined for 30 points. The line going into the game was 38.

Versus the Titans, the Browns finished with 31 rushing attempts, and Pierre Strong Jr. led the way with 27 yards. Meanwhile, Deshaun Watson had 33 pass attempts, resulting in 289 yards and a passer rating of 123.

When it comes to turnovers, the Cleveland defense has forced two takeaways, putting them 8th in the NFL. Overall, they are allowing 10.7 points per game and yielding 163.7 yards.

Browns vs. Ravens Player Prop

In three games, Jerome Ford has rushed the ball 41 times for 160 yards. Currently, he ranks 18th among running backs in rushing yards gained. I have my doubts about Jerome Ford’s matchup against the Ravens’ rush defense this week. Baltimore has been tough vs. the run, ranking 8th in the league. I’m leaning towards Ford’s going under 50.5 yards.

The Prop: Jerome Ford Under 50.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Browns vs. Ravens Predictions

Lamar Jackson currently holds a QBR of 56.9 on the season, and now he’s facing one of the best pass-rushing units and overall defenses in the league on the road.

The Browns defense has been outstanding this season, and the injuries are starting to pile up for the Ravens. Cleveland QB Deshaun Watson is questionable for this game, so that is something to monitor moving forward. However, it appears that the Browns have the upper hand in this matchup thanks to their superior defense.

The Pick: Browns -3 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook

More NFL Props & Predictions 

Props.com is stepping up its game for NFL Week 4 by offering a range of articles focused on props and picks, like the following: