Looking for the best MLB props today? The Props crew compiles their favorite picks for every day of the baseball season.
Below are our top MLB player props across different categories like strikeouts, home run props, and total bases. We also have team MLB prop bets like NRFI props and same-game parlay picks included.
Best MLB Player Props Today – FRIDAY, July 11
Our analysts have done their due diligence to pinpoint their best MLB props and DFS pick’em plays. Let’s see which baseball picks they like most today.
Kyle Stowers More Than 0.5 Hits
The Marlins have arguably outpaced expectations this season despite a 42-50 record, and Stowers is a big reason for optimism in the midst of what appears to be a non-playoff season. The lefty-swinging slugger drew a walk in a pinch-hit appearance Thursday, leaving his season slash line at .279/.352/.507 across 333 plate appearances.
Stowers’ well-balanced offensive profile includes 32 extra-base hits (16 homers), 48 RBI and 41 runs. His 28.5% strikeout rate is less than ideal but his massive 18.7% barrel rate, .546 xSLG and 52.7% hard-hit rate all underscore how consistently he’s been getting good wood on the ball.
Friday, Stowers is in a favorable on-paper matchup against Orioles starter Dean Kremer, who’s pitched to a .295 BAA, .354 wOBA and 1.5 HR/9 against left-handed hitters, as well as a 5.15 xFIP when facing them at home. He has been a better pitcher at home, but Stowers has a formidable .913 OPS, .389 wOBA, 25.3% line-drive rate and 151 wRC+ against righties on the road.
Stowers has hit safely on 57 occasions this season, well over half his games, so this prop is certainly within his range of outcomes, particularly with Kremer on the mound.
Where to play: Kyle Stowers More Than 0.5 Hits (1.41x payout) | Sleeper
Alejandro Kirk More Than 6.5 Fantasy Points
Kirk’s stellar offensive season includes a .306/.362/.414 slash line, 42 RBI and respective .354 and .321 averages with men on base and men in scoring position. The hot-hitting backstop also has a career-low 9.8% strikeout rate, which typically affords him a relatively safe floor when it comes to many props due to his propensity for putting the ball in play.
He could well be doing that plenty early in Friday’s game, as Athletics starter Luis Severino has progressively unraveled as the season has unfolded and is now carrying a 2-10 record, 5.30 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, .287 xBA and .348 xwOBA. Severino has also particularly struggled in same-handed matchups at home, where righty bats have gotten to him for a .328 average, .886 OPS and .384 wOBA, along with a 39.6% hard-contact rate.
Kirk has a multitude of paths to fantasy points, and he’s scored at least seven fantasy points on 26 occasions since the start of the season. Consequently, I like this prop at a solid payout, especially since Kirk has reached safely on seven occasions in nine career plate appearances versus Severino and will also face an Athletics bullpen that’s yielded a .336 wOBA to righty bats in the last month.
Where to play: Alejandro Kirk More Than 6.5 Fantasy Points (1.69x payout) | Sleeper
Top MLB DFS Pick’Em Apps
We love the MLB DFS pick’em projections available at top-flight daily fantasy sites like Underdog and Sleeper. They offer a very similar experience to player props.
You’ll often find a lot of value and strong payouts available at legal DFS sites. These apps are also available in many states that don’t yet have legal online sports betting.
Top Sportsbooks For MLB Props & Bets
The sportsbooks and daily fantasy sites featured in this article offer more than enough options to satisfy your MLB player props needs. As outlined before, always shop around for the best price when it comes to NBA player props.
You can’t go wrong with BetMGM, Caesars, and FanDuel Sportsbook when it comes to any kind of sports bet. Take a look at the following guides to see if these sportsbooks are legal in your state:
Top Sweepstakes Sites For MLB Props
Top MLB Prediction Market Sites
Kalshi is the first fully regulated prediction market in the United States dedicated solely to trading on the outcome of future events.
Interested in trying it out? Click the link above!
What Is A Player Prop?
A prop bet is a newer way to bet on sports in the US sports betting industry, but it has been around for a long time. Prop betting used to be only offered at the Super Bowl or other major sporting events, but that is no longer the case.
The term prop bet stands for a propositional bet, and it’s a wager that typically doesn’t have anything to do with the final score of a game. Prop bets can be made throughout a game, or you can extend this type of wager into a full season.
MLB Prop Options
Now that you understand the difference between fun and skill prop bets, you also need to know when and what betting options are available. Each sportsbook will have different MLB prop betting markets, but there are some very similar options that you will find as well.
MLB Player Prop Bets
Prop betting is dependent on the bettor as to which is the most popular option, but sportsbooks tend to offer more player prop betting markets than any other kind. A player prop bet is a wager placed on just one player, and it usually focuses on a specific statistic.
There are times that sportsbooks will put two players against each other to create a prop bet, but that is similar to what a DFS game looks like. Player prop betting usually focuses on the top players in each MLB game.
Here are some MLB player prop options:
- Will Gerrit have over/under 9.5 strikeouts?
- Will Kris Bryant hit a home run in this game?
MLB Team Prop Bets
A team prop is similar to an individual prop bet, but the wager focuses on an entire team rather than just one player. This is another prop betting option that will have more markets when a better matchup is being played.
Here are some potential team prop betting options that you would see at a sportsbook:
- Will the Chicago Cubs score over/under 5.5 total runs?
- Will there be a run in the first inning? Also known as NRFI or YRFI.
- The team that leads after 5 innings: Mets, Red Sox, or Tie
Full Season MLB Prop Bets
If you are a sports bettor who enjoys making futures bets, you will likely be interested in a full-season MLB prop bet. These are bets that don’t just cover one game in the season but take a look at the entire schedule in its entirety.
Both individual and team prop betting options will be included when it comes to a full-season MLB prop bet. These bets are usually open months before a season begins, and they might close once the games are underway.
Here are some potential options of what you might see:
- Best record in baseball: American League or National League
- Will any player win the Triple Crown? Yes or no
- Who will win the NL MVP or AL MVP?
Top Online Sportsbook And DFS Bonuses By State
Click on your state from the list below to see the best online sportsbooks and daily fantasy sites available in your area:
- Alabama
- Arizona
- California
- Colorado
- Florida
- Georgia
- Illinois
- Indiana
- Kansas
- Kentucky
- Maryland
- Massachusetts
- Michigan
- Missouri
- Nebraska
- New Jersey
- New York
- North Carolina
- Ohio
- Oklahoma
- Pennsylvania
- South Carolina
- Tennessee
- Texas
- Virginia
- Wisconsin
MLB Prop Betting Tips
Now that you have a better understanding of how MLB prop betting works, it is time to take a look at some MLB prop betting tips that you can use to be successful.
Location Of Game
There isn’t a major home-field advantage when it comes to MLB games, but the location of a game does matter. Each ballpark is unique around baseball, and those different fields affect the MLB prop betting matchups.
You also need to check the weather for each game before placing an MLB prop bet as well. Most bettors always do this when betting on a baseball game, but it needs to be done when making an MLB prop betting wager as well.
Pitching Matchups
No matter what type of MLB bet you are looking to make, you always need to start your research by looking at the starting pitching matchups. Other factors determine an MLB game, but everything starts on the mound.
If you are betting on a particular batter’s performance in a game, you need to be sure that he isn’t facing one of the best pitchers in baseball. You also don’t want to make a player prop bet on a pitcher facing a tremendous offensive lineup.
Slumps vs. Streaks
Since the MLB season is so long, players and teams tend to go through long streaks at different season points. Looking at recent trends is one of the first things you will want to look at before making a prop betting wager.
These trends can always change, but finding out which players and teams are streaking and slumping can help you make successful MLB prop wagers. This can help in all forms of MLB betting, but it is especially true when focusing on props.
