Looking for the best MLB props today? The Props crew compiles their favorite picks for every day of the baseball season.
Below are our top MLB player props across different categories like strikeouts, home run props, and total bases. We also have team MLB prop bets like NRFI props and same-game parlay picks included.
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Best MLB Player Props Today – Saturday, July 5
Our analysts have done their due diligence to pinpoint their best MLB props and DFS pick’em plays. Let’s see which baseball picks they like most today.
James Wood Higher Than 8.5 Fantasy Points
Hitters score 3.0 fantasy points for a single, 6.0 for a double, 8.0 for a triple, 10.0 for a home run, 3.0 for a walk, 3.0 for a hit by pitch, 2.0 for an RBI, 2.0 for a run, and 4.0 for a stolen base at Underdog. James Wood is a box-score stuffer amid a breakout campaign at the dish.
According to FanGraphs, in 390 plate appearances this season, Wood has tallied 54 singles, 19 doubles, 23 homers, 57 walks (14.6 BB%), 58 runs, 67 RBIs, 12 stolen bases, a .292 batting average, .395 OBP, .559 SLG, .267 ISO, .403 wOBA, and 161 wRC+.
There hasn’t been anything flukey about the 22-year-old outfielder’s breakout, either. Before yesterday’s contest, Wood owned a 94.1 miles per hour (MPH) average exit velocity, 117.9 MPH maximum exit velocity, 6.5-degree launch angle, 57.5 HardHit%, .294 batting average, .294 expected batting average (xBA), .563 SLG, .594 expected SLG (xSLG), .405 wOBA, and .413 expected wOBA (xwOBA).
The left-handed-hitting outfielder excels with the platoon advantage. In 471 plate appearances against right-handed pitching since reaching The Show last season, Wood has amassed 60 singles, 23 doubles, three triples, 23 homers, a .278 batting average, .395 OBP, .528 SLG, .250 ISO, .393 wOBA, 154 wRC+, 22.9 LD%, 32.4 HR/FB%, and a 44.7 Hard%.
Wood has a cupcake to feast on today. Walker Buehler has a 6.45 ERA, 5.14 xERA, 4.70 xFIP, 4.65 SIERA, 1.58 WHIP, 10.4 BB%, and a 19.2 K% in 14 starts this season. Finally, Buehler has yielded 37 singles, seven doubles, six homers, a .329 batting average, .418 OBP, .493 SLG, and a .400 wOBA to 178 left-handed batters this season.
Where to play: James Wood Higher Than 8.5 Fantasy Points | Underdog
Spencer Torkelson Higher Than 7.5 Fantasy Points
Torkelson is a lefty-killer. In 357 plate appearances against southpaws since 2023, Torkelson has recorded 27 singles, 21 doubles, two triples, 23 homers, 43 walks (12.0 BB%), .325 OBP, .542 SLG, .305 ISO, .358 wOBA, 133 wRC+, 54.9 FB%, 17.0 HR/FB%, and a 37.4 Hard%.
The first pick from the 2020 MLB Amateur Draft is also having a career year at the plate after faceplanting in 2024 on the heels of a breakout 2023 season. In 350 plate appearances this year, Torkelson has tallied 32 singles, 19 doubles, 19 homers, 40 walks (11.4 BB%), 50 runs, 55 RBIs, one stolen base, a .234 batting average, .334 OBP, .488 SLG, .254 ISO, .351 wOBA, and 128 wRC+.
Before yesterday’s contest, Torkelson had a 90.4 mph average exit velocity, 110.5 mph maximum exit velocity, 21.2-degree launch angle, 13.3 Barrel%, 44.5 HardHit%, .246 xBA, .492 SLG, .533 xSLG, .352 wOBA, and .371 xwOBA. So, Torkelson hasn’t gotten everything he deserved for the quality of his batted balls.
Torkelson has a tantalizing matchup to take advantage of today. Logan Allen is dreadful on the road. In 83.1 innings on the road since last year, he’s had a 5.40 ERA, 4.52 xFIP, 1.52 WHIP, 9.9 BB%, 18.4 K%, and allowed 1.73 HR/9. The lefty also has a 4.27 ERA, 4.53 xERA, 4.76 xFIP, 4.82 SIERA, 1.49 WHIP, 9.9 BB%, and a 17.5 K% in 16 appearances (15 starts) this season.
Allen is lousy against right-handed batters. He’s coughed up 45 singles, 14 doubles, five homers, 27 walks (10.0 BB%), a .269 batting average, .342 OBP, .391 SLG, and a .325 wOBA to 271 right-handed batters this season.
Finally, per Baseball Savant, Torkelson has clubbed two doubles and one homer with one walk, a .500 batting average, .355 xBA, 1.333 SLG, .558 xSLG, .744 wOBA, and a .429 xwOBA in seven career plate appearances against Allen.
Where to play: Spencer Torkelson Higher Than 7.5 Fantasy Points | Underdog
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Top MLB DFS Pick’Em Apps
We love the MLB DFS pick’em projections available at top-flight daily fantasy sites like Underdog and Sleeper. They offer a very similar experience to player props.
You’ll often find a lot of value and strong payouts available at legal DFS sites. These apps are also available in many states that don’t yet have legal online sports betting.
Top Sportsbooks For MLB Props & Bets
The sportsbooks and daily fantasy sites featured in this article offer more than enough options to satisfy your MLB player props needs. As outlined before, always shop around for the best price when it comes to NBA player props.
You can’t go wrong with BetMGM, Caesars, and FanDuel Sportsbook when it comes to any kind of sports bet. Take a look at the following guides to see if these sportsbooks are legal in your state:
Top Sweepstakes Sites For MLB Props
Top MLB Prediction Market Sites
Kalshi is the first fully regulated prediction market in the United States dedicated solely to trading on the outcome of future events.
Interested in trying it out? Click the link above!
What Is A Player Prop?
A prop bet is a newer way to bet on sports in the US sports betting industry, but it has been around for a long time. Prop betting used to be only offered at the Super Bowl or other major sporting events, but that is no longer the case.
The term prop bet stands for a propositional bet, and it’s a wager that typically doesn’t have anything to do with the final score of a game. Prop bets can be made throughout a game, or you can extend this type of wager into a full season.
MLB Prop Options
Now that you understand the difference between fun and skill prop bets, you also need to know when and what betting options are available. Each sportsbook will have different MLB prop betting markets, but there are some very similar options that you will find as well.
MLB Player Prop Bets
Prop betting is dependent on the bettor as to which is the most popular option, but sportsbooks tend to offer more player prop betting markets than any other kind. A player prop bet is a wager placed on just one player, and it usually focuses on a specific statistic.
There are times that sportsbooks will put two players against each other to create a prop bet, but that is similar to what a DFS game looks like. Player prop betting usually focuses on the top players in each MLB game.
Here are some MLB player prop options:
- Will Gerrit have over/under 9.5 strikeouts?
- Will Kris Bryant hit a home run in this game?
MLB Team Prop Bets
A team prop is similar to an individual prop bet, but the wager focuses on an entire team rather than just one player. This is another prop betting option that will have more markets when a better matchup is being played.
Here are some potential team prop betting options that you would see at a sportsbook:
- Will the Chicago Cubs score over/under 5.5 total runs?
- Will there be a run in the first inning? Also known as NRFI or YRFI.
- The team that leads after 5 innings: Mets, Red Sox, or Tie
Full Season MLB Prop Bets
If you are a sports bettor who enjoys making futures bets, you will likely be interested in a full-season MLB prop bet. These are bets that don’t just cover one game in the season but take a look at the entire schedule in its entirety.
Both individual and team prop betting options will be included when it comes to a full-season MLB prop bet. These bets are usually open months before a season begins, and they might close once the games are underway.
Here are some potential options of what you might see:
- Best record in baseball: American League or National League
- Will any player win the Triple Crown? Yes or no
- Who will win the NL MVP or AL MVP?
Top Online Sportsbook And DFS Bonuses By State
Click on your state from the list below to see the best online sportsbooks and daily fantasy sites available in your area:
- Alabama
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- California
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- Georgia
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- Indiana
- Kansas
- Kentucky
- Maryland
- Massachusetts
- Michigan
- Missouri
- Nebraska
- New Jersey
- New York
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- Ohio
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- Pennsylvania
- South Carolina
- Tennessee
- Texas
- Virginia
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MLB Prop Betting Tips
Now that you have a better understanding of how MLB prop betting works, it is time to take a look at some MLB prop betting tips that you can use to be successful.
Location Of Game
There isn’t a major home-field advantage when it comes to MLB games, but the location of a game does matter. Each ballpark is unique around baseball, and those different fields affect the MLB prop betting matchups.
You also need to check the weather for each game before placing an MLB prop bet as well. Most bettors always do this when betting on a baseball game, but it needs to be done when making an MLB prop betting wager as well.
Pitching Matchups
No matter what type of MLB bet you are looking to make, you always need to start your research by looking at the starting pitching matchups. Other factors determine an MLB game, but everything starts on the mound.
If you are betting on a particular batter’s performance in a game, you need to be sure that he isn’t facing one of the best pitchers in baseball. You also don’t want to make a player prop bet on a pitcher facing a tremendous offensive lineup.
Slumps vs. Streaks
Since the MLB season is so long, players and teams tend to go through long streaks at different season points. Looking at recent trends is one of the first things you will want to look at before making a prop betting wager.
These trends can always change, but finding out which players and teams are streaking and slumping can help you make successful MLB prop wagers. This can help in all forms of MLB betting, but it is especially true when focusing on props.