Best Tennis Props Today – Top Player Picks & Analysis

In this free recurring feature, we will post the best tennis props today on the top DFS pick’em and betting sites, along with the reasons why.

Tennis has become a popular sport for DFS and betting, so let’s see if we can make some money and pick some winners. We will be posting frequent plays with well-reasoned analysis for the biggest events, so keep checking back!

Best Tennis Props Today – DFS Pick’em & Betting Analysis

Tennis takes place throughout the day. In order to maintain consistency and expectations, these tennis player props will be posted when there are major events taking place. Join FanDuel Sportsbook today to make picks for Wimbledon!

Wednesday, July 2 Preview

Looking for the best ATP and WTA Tennis props today? Check out our FREE picks for the upcoming action at Wimbledon.

Cristina Bucsa vs. Donna Vekic

Bucsa will battle Vekic in the second round of Wimbledon. Both players come into this match off straight-set victories in the first round: Bucsa beat Anca Todoni 6-4, 6-4, while Vekic dominated Kimberly Birrell, 6-0, 6-4.

Vekic won her only match against Bucsa, 6-2, 4-6, 6-1 in the first round of the 2023 Lexus Nottingham Open.

Vekic’s grass-court pedigree and power-oriented game make her the favorite, but Bucsa’s recent form and baseline steadiness suggest this will be a competitive encounter. Grass remains the most volatile surface, and both players are capable of swinging momentum quickly with aggressive play or prolonged baseline exchanges.

Vekic thrives on grass thanks to her flat, penetrating groundstrokes and strong first serve. She moves well on the surface and can take time away from opponents with her quick-strike style. Her experience on grass gives her an edge in navigating tight moments.

Bucsa’s game is built on baseline consistency and intelligent point construction. She doesn’t have overwhelming power but uses her court coverage and ability to redirect pace effectively, which makes her dangerous in extended exchanges.

However, on grass, her lack of a big serve or natural finishing power can limit her upside. She can struggle to shorten points and may be pushed into defensive positions early in rallies, particularly against flat hitters like Vekic. For Bucsa to win, she’ll need to be extremely efficient on return games and force Vekic into long rallies where her unforced error count rises.

Vekic holds the tools to control the tempo on grass and already owns a head-to-head win over Bucsa. While Bucsa has the grit and defense to steal a set, Vekic’s experience, aggressive play, and ability to capitalize on short balls should allow her to finish strong and book her spot in the third round. Expect Vekic to come through in three sets.

Pick: Over 20.5 Total Match Games | FanDuel Sportsbook

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Eva Lys vs. Linda Noskova

Eva Lys clashes with Linda Noskova in the second round of Wimbledon. Lys is coming off a 6-4, 5-7, 6-2 win against Yue Yuan in the first round, while Noskova was dominant in her 6-2, 6-4 win against Bernarda Pera in the first round.

Noskova is 2-0 in two career matches against Lys. She had a 6-2, 2-1 lead when Lys retired in their last match at the 2024 Prague Open.

Noskova’s clean hitting and previous success against Lys suggest she enters this matchup with a slight edge. Grass enhances Noskova’s aggressive baseline game, while Lys relies more on resilience and rally tolerance to find her openings.

Noskova continues to grow into one of the most consistent young players on the WTA Tour. Her game is built on powerful, deep groundstrokes off both wings, especially her compact backhand. On grass, her flatter shots stay low and allow her to dictate rallies from the center of the court.

Her serve has also become a reliable weapon, giving her free points and helping her maintain control. If there’s a weakness, it lies in transitional moments—if forced to defend consistently or pushed into longer exchanges, she can get impatient and go for low-percentage shots.

Lys is a tenacious baseliner with strong movement and good shot tolerance. She thrives when she can extend points and create rhythm from the back of the court.

However, Lys lacks consistent power and can struggle to finish points on faster surfaces. On grass, her loopy forehand and less aggressive return game may allow opponents like Noskova to step in and control rallies early. Her ability to stay close depends on first-serve effectiveness and avoiding passive mid-rally positioning.

Given Noskova’s dominant record against Lys and her stronger serve-plus-one game on grass, she holds the upper hand in this matchup. Lys may keep rallies competitive with her defensive skills, but Noskova’s ability to dictate from the baseline and finish points cleanly should allow her to win in straight sets.

Pick: Linda Noskova Under 12.5 Total Games | FanDuel Sportsbook

Tuesday, July 1 Preview

Elina Avanesyan vs. Elena Rybakina

Avanesyan will face Rybakina in the first round of Wimbledon. Avanesyan is coming off a 1-6, 2-6 loss against Anhelina Kalinina in the first round of the French Open, while Rybakina suffered a hard-fought 6-7 (6-8), 6-3, 6-7 (6-8) loss against Aryna Sabalenka in the Berlin Tennis Open quarterfinals, which showcased her strong grass-court form.

Rybakina won her only match against Avanesyan, 6-4, 7-6 (7-0) in the first round of the 2022 Italian Open. Given their contrasting preparation and surface aptitude, this matchup heavily favors Rybakina, who has already proven herself a Grand Slam champion on grass by winning this tournament in 2022.

Rybakina is one of the premier grass-court players on tour, and her game is tailor-made for the surface. Her first serve is among the best in the game—flat, powerful, and consistent—and she backs it up with compact, penetrating groundstrokes that thrive on the low bounce of grass courts.

She can take control early in points, and when her forehand is clicking, it’s a devastating weapon. Her calm demeanor and mental steadiness make her dangerous in tight moments. On grass, her movement and timing allow her to stay in offensive positions, and she’s shown increasing comfort finishing points at the net.

Avanesyan’s game is more clay-centric, built around baseline consistency and extended rallies. Her defensive skills and footwork are excellent on slower surfaces, but grass exposes her flatter trajectory and lack of explosiveness.

She lacks the offensive weapons to disrupt Rybakina’s rhythm and will need to rely on counterpunching and strategic variety. However, without a reliable serve or aggressive return game, Avanesyan is likely to be overwhelmed by pace and forced onto the defensive from the outset.

Unless Rybakina experiences a major drop in form, this matchup is unlikely to be competitive. Avanesyan’s strengths do not translate well to grass, and Rybakina’s firepower, serve dominance, and familiarity with the surface should allow her to dictate every phase of play. Expect a one-sided affair.

Pick: Elena Rybakina Under 12.5 Total Games | FanDuel Sportsbook

Jack Draper vs. Sebastian Baez

Draper battles Baez in the first round of Wimbledon. Draper is coming off a 4-6, 6-4, 5-7 loss against Jiri Lehecka in The HSBC Championships semifinals while Baez lost 7-6 (7-3), 7-6 (7-4), 4-6, 2-6, 2-6 against Miomir Kecmanovic in the first round of the French Open.

Draper is 2-0 in two career matches against Baez. Draper won their last match, 6-1, 6-3 in the first round of the 2024 Adelaide International. This surface heavily favors Draper’s strengths, while exposing Baez’s limitations.

Draper is a natural on grass. His lefty serve is heavy and precise, giving him plenty of free points, and he complements it with a compact backhand and a forehand that can dictate from both wings. He has improved his point construction and patience. Draper moves well for his size and takes the ball early, an important trait on grass.

The only concern might be his physical durability in best-of-five matches, but when healthy and confident, he thrives on fast courts. He has the ability to rush opponents and keep rallies short, which should prevent Baez from ever settling.

Baez’s clay-court pedigree is well-established—he’s a tenacious baseliner with great footwork and stamina—but grass remains a weakness in his game. His game relies on long rallies, heavy topspin, and physical grinding, all of which are harder to execute on slick lawns. He lacks a strong first serve and doesn’t possess the kind of aggressive return game needed to consistently pressure elite servers.

Against a player like Draper, who can dominate with his serve and attack early, Baez will struggle to keep the match on his terms.

Draper holds every advantage in this matchup: the head-to-head, the surface, recent form, and playing style. Baez’s best path involves turning the match into a grind, but that’s unlikely on grass.

Expect Draper to dominate service games, shorten points, and keep Baez off balance from the first ball. Draper should advance comfortably in straight sets.

Pick: Under 27.5 Total Match Games | FanDuel Sportsbook

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Tennis DFS & Betting – Tips For Picking Player Props

Tennis player props can offer sharp bettors a profitable edge — if they know where to look. Unlike traditional match odds, props let you isolate specific outcomes like total aces, double faults, number of sets won, or even individual set winners. But without the right approach, it’s easy to get burned.

Here’s how to improve your tennis props strategy and make sharper bets.

Know the Surface, Know the Player

Not all courts are created equal — and that matters a lot when betting tennis props. Surface speed plays a huge role in player performance. Here’s what to watch:

Grass: Fastest surface, favors big servers (think: Alexander Zverev).
Hard Court: Balanced conditions, but bounce varies between venues.
Clay: Slows the game down, rewards grinders and defensive baseliners.

If you’re betting on props like total aces or service games won, the surface has to be part of your model. Someone like Aryna Sabalenka might average 12 aces on grass but just 6 on clay.

Head-to-Head Matchups Tell a Story

Past results between two players aren’t just trivia — they’re data points. When two players have history, check these:

Who wins more service games?
Are matches going the distance?
Is there a pattern in break points converted?

If a matchup regularly produces long three-setters, there’s value in overs on total games, sets played, or player to win a set props.

Serve and Return Metrics Are Gold

If you’re betting tennis props, serve/return stats should be your bread and butter. Focus on:

First Serve %
Service points won %
Break points saved
Return games won

Aces and double faults are the obvious outputs, but don’t overlook the deeper numbers. For example, a player with a strong second serve win percentage can survive high-pressure moments — making them more reliable for overs on games won.

Watch for Fatigue and Injury Trends

Tennis players grind through long seasons, and fatigue is real. That’s where sharp bettors thrive:

Back unders if a player has gone deep in consecutive tournaments.
Fade players coming off five-set marathons, especially in humid/hard conditions.
Track players with nagging injuries — especially those affecting serve motion.

These physical factors are rarely priced into prop markets early enough. Use them to your advantage.

Track Line Movement and Market Sentiment

Props are often softer than moneyline markets, but they do move — especially around majors. Look at:

Opening lines vs. closing lines
Movement correlated with weather changes (like wind, which kills serve props)
Public vs. sharp action (some sportsbooks release prop bet splits)

When totals move a full game or ace props tick a few serves up or down, that tells you where the smart money is leaning.

Target Lesser-Known Players and Early Rounds

Books aren’t as sharp when it comes to Challenger-level guys or lesser-known WTA matchups. If you’ve done your homework, there’s more value betting:

Props in first-round matches, especially when talent is lopsided.
Up-and-comers with elite junior stats who haven’t hit the mainstream yet.
Niche markets during smaller ATP 250 and WTA International events.

You won’t get the same prop depth as Grand Slams, but the lines will often be beatable.

Weather, Altitude and Conditions Matter

Fast courts in Mexico City? Slower ones in Miami humidity? Props like service holds and aces are tied to conditions:

High altitude = faster conditions = more aces, shorter rallies.
Windy conditions = fewer clean service games = more breaks.

Always factor in the external conditions. They don’t show up on the stat sheet — but they impact everything.

Props Are About Context, Not Just Stats

Tennis props aren’t about blindly riding numbers. It’s about context — surfaces, opponents, mental game, fitness, and even the crowd. When you understand the full picture, your edge increases exponentially.

So stop chasing volume plays on name-brand players and start handicapping props like a pro. The next time you see a “Player A Over 8.5 Aces” market? You’ll know how to break it down.