Player props and DFS picks in the WNBA offer one of the most beatable areas in all of sports, so in this free article series, we’ll be breaking down the best WNBA props today.
While NBA props are subject to sharp numbers and massive volume, WNBA props often lag behind in pricing accuracy, especially early in the season and during weekday slates. The operators sometimes simply don’t dedicate the same algorithmic or human resources to these projections, which gives informed players a rare edge.
Best WNBA Props Today – Free Player Picks & Analysis
Looking for the top WNBA player props today? Our Props team breaks down their top WNBA prop picks every day throughout the season.
Best WNBA Player Props Today: FRIDAY, July 11
Every day during the regular season and playoffs, we run through our favorite WNBA player props.
Skylar Diggins
Skylar Diggins is averaging 18.5 points, six assists, 2.2 rebounds and 1.3 steals in 32.8 minutes over 20 games this season. She hits 1.6 3-pointers per game in four attempts (39.2 percent).
Diggins had 23 points (8-of-19 FG, 1-of-5 3Pt, 6-of-7 FT), seven assists and three rebounds across 33 minutes on Wednesday’s 93-83 road loss against the Sun.
The star guard is averaging 23.5 points, six assists, two rebounds and one steal in 30.3 over two games against the Sun this season. She hits 1.5 3-pointers per game in 4.5 attempts (33.3 percent).
Diggins thrives as a veteran floor general with elite scoring instincts and high-level pick-and-roll command. Her court awareness allows her to read defenses quickly, attack downhill with both hands, and finish with finesse or contact.
She’s a tough shot-maker from mid-range and has developed into a highly efficient catch-and-shoot and pull-up threat from beyond the arc. Her ability to shift gears and explode off the dribble opens up space for kick-outs or floaters, while her leadership on the floor elevates team tempo and execution. She’s one of the league’s most confident creators late in the shot clock and a go-to option in crunch time situations.
Diggins is projected to maintain her aggressive scoring and facilitating output against the Sun. She should remain a dependable shot-creator and floor leader. Expect her to control tempo while delivering strong volume scoring with timely playmaking.
Pick: Skylar Diggins More Than 17.5 Points (1.87x at Sleeper)
Caitlin Clark
Caitlin Clark is averaging 17.4 points, 8.6 assists, five rebounds and 1.5 steals in 32.5 minutes over 10 games this season. She hits 2.5 3-pointers per game in 8.3 attempts (30.1 percent).
Clark had 10 points (4-of-12 FG, 2-of-5 3Pt), six assists and five rebounds across 25 minutes on Wednesday’s 80-61 home loss against the Valkyries. This was a rare off night for Clark as the Fever were blown out. She came back after missing the last four games due to a left groin injury.
The star guard is averaging 19 points, 8.5 assists, 4.5 rebounds and 1.5 steals in 34.9 minutes over two games against the Dream this season. She hits 2.5 3-pointers per game in eight attempts (31.3 percent).
Clark’s elite court vision and next-level shot-making ability make her one of the most dynamic offensive players in the league. She can break down defenses off the dribble, facilitate in transition, and orchestrate in the half-court with either hand.
Her deep pull-up range demands constant attention from opposing defenses, stretching the floor and creating lanes for teammates. She operates comfortably in high-tempo systems, thriving on quick reads and sharp angles, and her ability to generate assists off skip passes and interior dimes amplifies her team’s offensive variety.
When pressured by lengthy or physical defenders, her turnover rate and off-ball defensive awareness can waver, especially when fatigue sets in.
Still working back from a left groin injury, her conditioning and movement will be closely monitored in upcoming contests, and her ability to re-establish a scoring rhythm will be critical on Friday.
Clark is projected to remain a versatile, high-volume threat in all phases against the Dream. Expect her to stretch the floor with increased 3-point attempts while maintaining strong rebounding and playmaking output.
Pick: Caitlin Clark Higher Than 18.5 Points (Underdog)
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Best WNBA Player Props Tips: What To Know
Before diving into numbers, you need to understand how the WNBA’s format and roster structure impact props. Fewer teams, a shorter season, and heavier reliance on starters all shape how props are set—and how you should attack them.
- 13 teams, 44 games per season (in 2025): Smaller sample sizes make trends easier to spot but also demand quick adaptation.
- Star-dominant rotations: Unlike the NBA’s frequent load management, WNBA stars often play heavy minutes—35+ MPG is normal for top-tier players.
- Condensed rotations: Most teams use 7–8 players consistently. That means injury news creates bigger swings in usage rates and prop outcomes than in deeper leagues.
- Fewer back-to-backs: Game scheduling allows stars to play more regularly without rest days, which boosts reliability when betting overs.
Key Stats to Track for Successful WNBA Betting
Raw stat averages won’t give you the full edge. To consistently beat prop lines, you need to understand not just what a player produces—but how, why, and against whom. These are the core metrics that actually matter in 2025 WNBA betting.
Usage Percentage
This is your cornerstone stat for scoring props. Players with high usage dominate possessions, touch the ball frequently, and are the first scoring option. In 2024, Kahleah Copper, A’ja Wilson, and Chennedy Carter led the league in usage percentage.
Tip: Compare usage percentage with minutes per game. A player with a 31.1% usage rate playing 32.4 minutes (like Kahleah Copper in 2024) is far more likely to cash a scoring prop than someone with similar usage but fewer minutes.
Rebounds Per Game and Opponent FG%
With no access to rebound chances or rebounding rate data in the WNBA, your best angles are actual rebounds per game, opponent field goal percentage, and team rebounding volume.
- Angel Reese led the league with 13.1 RPG in 2024.
- A’ja Wilson ranked second with 11.9 RPG.
- Chicago Sky and New York Liberty led the league in team rebounding with 36.6 RPG.
Low opponent FG% creates more missed shots, which means more rebound chances. That gives rebound props value when a strong rebounder faces an inefficient offense.
Assists Per Game and Ball-Handling Role
Actual assist numbers and role clarity offer plenty of betting value.
- Caitlin Clark led the league with 8.4 assists per game last season.
- Alyssa Thomas (7.9 APG) and Natasha Cloud (6.9 APG) followed close behind.
- Sabrina Ionescu rounded out the top five with 6.2 APG.
Look for high-assist players who dominate possessions and initiate plays. You can also gain value by fading secondary ballhandlers in games where usage is shared.
Team and Opponent Pace
More possessions = more opportunities for points, rebounds, assists, and made threes. Pace stats tell you how many trips up the court teams average per 40 minutes.
Target overs in games involving teams like the Las Vegas Aces, Los Angeles Sparks, and Seattle Storm, all of which played at a top-five pace in 2024. Slower matchups (like Minnesota vs. Atlanta or Connecticut) are better for unders on volume stats.
Opponent Positional Matchups
Some teams are consistently bad against specific positions. For example:
- Guards feasted against the Indiana Fever backcourt in 2024.
- Bigs routinely put up strong rebounding and scoring numbers against Dallas and Phoenix.
Use recent box scores, player logs, and betting performance histories to identify teams that allow strong production from players in certain positions.
Timing Matters: When to Bet WNBA Props
Prop betting isn’t just about what you bet—it’s when you bet it. Knowing the optimal windows for attacking the market can be the difference between grabbing a soft line and chasing a stale number.
Opening Lines (Early Value)
Books often release WNBA props the morning of a game. That’s when the lines are softest. Jump on overs for role players stepping into new minutes before news gets baked into the line.
After Injury News Impacts
WNBA depth charts are shallow. If a starter is ruled out, the ripple effects are immediate and measurable. The sixth player suddenly becomes the second scoring option, and books are often slow to adjust.
Example: If Sabrina Ionescu is ruled out for the Liberty, Natasha Cloud and Marine Johannes both see significant upticks in usage and assist opportunities.
Late Market Steam (Fade or Follow Carefully)
Once a line moves significantly—say, a points line jumps from 14.5 to 16.5—be cautious. Don’t chase steam blindly. Sometimes you’re better off passing than betting into a line that’s lost its edge.
WNBA Prop Types and Strategy By Category
Each stat category behaves differently in the WNBA. Understanding how to approach each type of prop lets you build a sharper and more efficient betting card.
Points Props
Most straightforward, but often inflated for stars. Look for inefficiencies in mid-tier players with increased roles or favorable matchups.
- Target high-usage, high-minute players in pace-up matchups.
- Bet overs for players facing poor perimeter or interior defenses.
- Unders are valuable when a player’s role shrinks due to rotation changes or tough matchups (e.g., facing Breanna Stewart or Ezi Magbegor inside).
Rebounds Props
Look beyond averages. Use:
- Opponent FG%
- Shot volume
- Low shooting percentages = more rebound chances.
Assists Props
Unlike the NBA, WNBA assist tracking is limited — but assist props are still beatable if you focus on who actually handles the ball and creates offense. Use:
- Assists Per Game – In 2024, Caitlin Clark (8.4), Alyssa Thomas (7.9), and Natasha Cloud (6.9) led the league. These are primary facilitators playing heavy minutes.
- Minutes + Role – Look for players who run the offense and stay on the floor 30+ minutes per night. For example, Alyssa Thomas initiates most of Connecticut’s offense despite being a forward. (She is now with the Mercury and will likely do the same).
- Game Pace and Matchup – Fast-paced matchups (like vs. Indiana or Vegas) lead to more possessions and assist chances. Also look for teams with weak on-ball defense that allow a high number of assists.
- Recent Trends – Did a player just shift to a new lineup spot (e.g., starting PG due to injury)? That usage jump might not be baked into the lines yet.
3-Pointers Made Props
Only a few players consistently attempt 6+ 3-pointers per game. Look for:
- Teams Opponent Shooting Percentage
- Matchups where defenders sag off
- Players who get extended run due to blowouts or injury absences
Situational Angles For WNBA
Sometimes it’s not just stats that tell the story—certain matchups, emotional edges, or game formats can produce unique betting opportunities.
Blowout Games
In lopsided spreads (10+ points), starters might sit early in the fourth. Look to fade points props for stars and take overs for bench players whose minutes spike in garbage time.
Revenge or Narrative Games
WNBA players, like their NBA peers, rise to the occasion in certain matchups. If a player is returning to face a former team or rival, motivation may lead to increased usage and shot attempts.
Second Leg of Home-and-Home
When teams play each other twice in a row, adjustments are key. Defensive schemes tighten, and scoring often drops. Consider unders on volume shooters or assist props if passing lanes get clogged.
Bankroll Strategy for WNBA Props
Your betting edge means nothing without discipline. If you don’t manage your units, variance will catch up no matter how sharp your picks are.
- Flat betting: Bet the same unit size on each prop to avoid volatility.
- Limit overs: Don’t blindly bet overs just because it’s fun. The best value is often in unders that the public avoids.
- Track CLV (closing line value): If you consistently beat the closing number, you’re on the right path—even if the early results are volatile.
Betting on WNBA props is all about information, timing, and niche awareness. You’re not trying to outsmart the sharpest NBA lines—you’re navigating a market that often reacts slower and offers more value to those who dig deep.
If you learn how to interpret advanced metrics, follow team-specific trends, monitor injury impact, and apply strict bankroll discipline, WNBA props can become a profitable long-term betting angle—especially during the summer when many bettors shift their attention elsewhere.
