Best NFL Player Props – Top NFL Prop Bets (Super Bowl 58)

Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce (87) celebrates after scoring a touchdown against the Baltimore Ravens during the first half in the AFC Championship football game at M&T Bank Stadium.
Image Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

Looking for the best NFL player props every week? You’ve come to the right place! In this article, Our expert analysts outline their favorite NFL prop bets for every week of the season.

Below, you’ll see our top NFL prop bets across different categories like yardage, touchdowns, interceptions, completions, attempts, and more. In other words, if there’s an NFL player prop with value, then you better believe we are going for it.

Be sure to check back throughout the week, as this article will populate with NFL prop bets as the lines get released throughout the week.

NFL Player Props Special: Super Bowl 58

This is a no-brainer NFL prop for NEW USERS of Underdog Fantasy for the Super Bowl.

NFL player props special at Underdog Fantasy for Super Bowl 58 is Patrick Mahomes over 0.5 total yards. Use promo code PROPS. New customers only.

Our partners at Underdog Fantasy are offering a promotion that allows you to take Patrick Mahomes over 0.5 total yards.

  • New customers can also get up to a $100 deposit bonus with promo code PROPS.
  • You can pair this with one of the aforementioned props or use our NFL cheat sheets for help.
  • This presents a fantastic opportunity to boost your bankroll.

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Best NFL Player Props: Super Bowl 58

Our staff’s NFL player props record stands at 15-9 while up 4.85 units in the playoffs so far.

We’ll put that success on the line by asking four of our analysts to list their favorite pair of prop bets for Super Bowl 58.

Let’s start with Spencer Limbach, who is 24-18 while up +4.56 units on NFL player props this season.

49ers RB Christian McCaffrey Over 33.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Analyst: Spencer Limbach

I took the over on CMC’s receiving yards in the NFC Championship (which hit), and the same logic applies to the Super Bowl.

McCaffrey is a target monster out of the backfield, and he should play nearly every offensive snap in this game.

Over his last five games, the 49ers RB is averaging 5.2 receptions on 7.4 targets for 40 receiving yards.

The Kansas City Chiefs allowed Baltimore and Buffalo RBs to exceed 48 receiving yards in each of the last two games.

Where to bet: Christian McCaffrey over 33.5 receiving yards | -110 at FanDuel Sportsbook

49ers FB Kyle Juszczyk Over 3.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Analyst: Spencer Limbach

This won’t be a popular Super Bowl player prop, but there’s a ton of value in this selection. Here’s why:

  • DraftKings has Juszczyk at -190 odds to make one reception.
  • He has 14 receptions on the season. Only one has been under 4 yards.
  • Juszczyk had 2 catches for 33 yards last game against the Lions.
  • He has gone over 3.5 receiving yards in four of his last five games.

In other words, if Juszczyk makes a catch (with the odds imply will happen), there’s a very good chance it will go for 4+ yards and this prop will cash.

Where to bet: Kyle Juszczyk over 3.5 receiving yards | -110 at Bet365

Chiefs WR Rashee Rice Anytime Touchdown (+140)

Analyst: Justin Bales

Rice is putting together an outstanding rookie season for the Kansas City Chiefs. He boasts 99 receptions for 1,161 yards and 8 touchdowns on 123 targets. He’s also been featured for Kansas City in the playoffs. 

The one key that most people likely don’t realize for Rice is that he leads the Chiefs in red zone targets. He’s seen 3 more red zone targets than Travis Kelce (19), and he’s posted a 25% red zone target share this season. More impressively, he’s seen a team-high 11 targets inside the 10-yard-line. 

Rice hasn’t been a consistent scorer in recent games, but he’s found the end zone plenty this season. He also scored against the Miami Dolphins in the Wild Card Round, giving him the first playoff touchdown of his career. 

San Francisco is a great defense overall, but they’ve struggled to keep wide receivers out of the end zone at times. They’re giving up 0.94 touchdowns per game to the position. That’s the ninth-most in the NFL. 

We’re getting great odds on Rice, who should continue a massive role this weekend. 

Where to Bet: Rashee Rice – Anytime TD | +140 at FanDuel Sportsbook

49ers QB Brock Purdy Over 0.5 Interceptions (-120)

Analyst: Justin Bales

If you know me, you know that I think Purdy is grossly overrated. We saw it against the Green Bay Packers, where they dropped an interception early on followed by throwing an interception against the Detroit Lions. 

This bet is all about pressure, though. Kansas City ranks second in the NFL in pressure rate. Purdy’s thrown 22 touchdowns and only 5 interceptions in a clean pocket compared to 11 touchdowns a 7 interceptions when under pressure. 

Overall, Purdy posted a 2.2% turnover-worthy play rate in a clean pocket compared to a 5.5% rate when pressured. That’s been the case in the playoffs as well, although the sample size is limited. 

Overall, Kansas City isn’t elite in terms of interception, but I’m trusting that the bright lights will once again get to Purdy. 

Where to Bet: Brock Purdy over 0.5 interceptions | -120 at BetMGM

Chiefs TE Travis Kelce Under 71.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Analyst: Josh Shepardson

Travis Kelce has excelled in the playoffs, posting 71, 75, and 116 receiving yards against the Dolphins, Bills, and Ravens. Nevertheless, he’s averaged 69.2 receiving yards in 18 games this season, with a median of 68. Kelce had under 71.5 receiving yards 11 times this season.

The matchup is also challenging. While the 49ers have coughed up 102 receiving yards to Trey McBride, 97 to Sam LaPorta, and 86 to T.J. Hockenson, those were the only tight ends to exceed 71.5 receiving yards against the 49ers this season. The bigger bodies of work for Kelce and the 49ers are encouraging for the veteran tight end to come up short of 71.5 receiving yards in the Super Bowl.

Where to bet: Travis Kelce under 71.5 receiving yards | -110 at FanDuel Sportsbook

49ers RB Christian McCaffrey Over 90.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Analyst: Josh Shepardson

Christian McCaffrey is a monster on the ground, averaging 91.5 rushing yards per game this season, with a median of 94. CMC had over 90.5 rushing yards 10 times in 18 games. 

He has a tantalizing matchup in the Super Bowl, even if it doesn’t appear so at a glance. Zamir White (145 rushing yards) and Josh Jacobs (110) were the only running backs to steamroll the Chiefs for over 90.5 rushing yards this season. 

However, according to Sumer Sports, the Chiefs allowed the fifth-most Expected Points Added (EPA) per rush attempt in the regular season. The Lions were tied for the second-lowest EPA per rush allowed in the regular season, and CMC had 90 rushing yards against them last week. McCaffrey should eat in this matchup.

Where to bet: Christian McCaffrey over 90.5 rushing yards | -115 at BetMGM

49ers RB Christian McCaffrey Over 34.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Analyst: John Supowitz

The Chiefs were a top-notch defense this year, so it will be tough for the 49ers to move the ball. They are tough up front against the run but have the secondary to contain the pass. They have a weak point, which benefits one of the best offensive players in the league.

Kansas City has struggled against dual-threat running backs, specifically in the receiving game, as they’ve allowed the fourth-most receiving yards to the position. McCaffrey was second in receiving yards, so look for him to get utilized in the passing game.

Where to bet: Christian McCaffrey Over 34.5 Receiving Yards | -115 at DraftKings Sportsbook

49ers WR Deebo Samuel’s First Catch Over 10.5 Yards (-110)

Analyst: John Supowitz

You can say 2022 was a down year for Samuel — as he dealt with injuries, but 2023 was a resurgence. He finished the year ninth amongst receivers in yards after the catch and was top in juke rate. This is a guy we know who can make something out of nothing.

Kansas City is excellent against yards gained after the catch, but that credit goes to the secondary; Samuel is not a guy who will run routes that far, and the Chiefs struggle at stopping plays out on the flat.

Where to bet: Deebo Samuel’s First Catch Over 10.5 Yards | -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook

Super Bowl Deal: $50 Protected Pick

This is a fantastic promotion for ALL USERS of Sleeper Fantasy for Super Bowl weekend.

Super Bowl prop bet special from Sleeper Fantasy is up to a $50 protected pick.

Our partners at Sleeper Fantasy are offering up to a $50 protected pick starting Friday, Feb. 9 at 3 pm ET that runs until Super Bowl kickoff. 

  • If you don’t win your entry, they will refund your entry as promo funds up to $50. 
  • The promo will auto-apply to your first contest once the promotion is live (Friday, Feb. 9 at 3 pm ET)
  • You can only use this promotion once. So if you place a $5 contest, you will only have a $5 protected pick.

If you don’t have a Sleeper Fantasy account, you can grab two more bonuses along with the protected pick above. 

  • New user exclusive pick: Patrick Mahomes over 0.5 yards.
  • New customers also get up to a $500 deposit bonus with promo code PROPS.
  • Claiming all three offers presents a fantastic opportunity to boost your bankroll.

To redeem this exclusive offer, simply click here or the banner below.

NFL Prop Picks & Specials In Our Newsletter

Don’t spend hours scouring the internet — we’ve got you covered with the best NFL prop picks and specials in our newsletter.

  • Significantly cut down your NFL prop research time.
  • Benefit from our expert notes, crafted from hours of meticulous analysis.
  • Access to exclusive player prop specials designed to boost your bankroll.

Let us do the heavy lifting for you. Save time, enhance your strategy, and elevate your betting game.


More NFL Player Props: Conference Champ Week

NFL Anytime Touchdown Scorer Predictions & Best Bets

First Touchdown Scorer Props – Who Will Score First TD Tonight?

NFL Prop Bets: Season Results

Spencer Limbach: 24-18 | +4.56 units

Justin Bales: 21-20 | -2.20 units

Josh Shepardson: 20-22 | -4.14 units

John Supowitz: 16-22 | -10.55 units

Where To Place NFL Prop Bets

The sportsbooks and daily fantasy sites featured in this article offer more than enough options to satisfy your NFL player props needs. As outlined before, always shop around for the best price when it comes to NFL player props.

You can’t go wrong with DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook when it comes to any kind of sports bet. Take a look at the following guides to see if DraftKings and FanDuel are legal in your state:

NFL Fantasy Player Props

We love the NFL player props available at top-flight daily fantasy sites like Underdog Fantasy and Sleeper Fantasy. These fantasy player props aren’t technically sports betting picks, but they offer a very similar experience to prop-betting parlays.

You’ll often find the juiciest lines and payouts odds for NFL props available at legal DFS sites. These apps are available in many states that don’t yet have legal online sports betting.

Check out our resources on fantasy player prop sites:

More Sports Betting Resources

Check out the NFL Betting Guide and Guide To Prop Betting for more on how to bet props on the world’s premier professional basketball league.

For more on the available sports betting bonuses in your state, take a look at some of these resources:

Top Online Sportsbook And Daily Fantasy Promos By State

PrizePicks and other DFS apps offer fantasy prop contests that are very similar to prop betting. Check out our Apps Like PrizePicks guide, which outlines some of the best sports gaming options available in most U.S. states (even the ones that haven’t legalized sports betting).

Wondering if the PrizePicks daily fantasy app is legal in California? Check out the Is PrizePicks Legal in California? Guide.