Looking for the best NFL player props every week? You’ve come to the right place! In this article, Our expert analysts outline their favorite NFL prop bets for every week of the season.
Below, you’ll see our top NFL prop picks across different categories like yardage, touchdowns, interceptions, completions, attempts, and more. In other words, if there’s an NFL player prop with value, then you better believe we are going for it.
Be sure to check back throughout the week, as this article will populate with NFL prop bets as the lines get released throughout the week.
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Best NFL Player Props: Week 3
The NFL season is in full swing, and we have all of your best NFL Week 3 plays ready to go.
Mike Williams Receiving Yards – More Than 22.5
It has not been the best start to the Jets’ season. They were manhandled by the 49ers on Monday Night Football in Week 1, and they were outgained by the Titans at home in Week 2. If not for some awful Will Levis turnovers, the Jets could very well be 0-2 heading into Thursday Night Football vs. the Patriots.
They’ve also had a number of injuries, specifically on their defense. However, their offense is slowly getting healthier. Williams was heavily limited in Week 1, running a route on just 19% of Aaron Rodgers’ dropbacks. He failed to earn a single target, allowing Allen Lazard to serve as the team’s clear No. 2 receiver.
Williams took a clear step forward in Week 2. He still didn’t see a ton of action – he had just one target, one catch, and 19 receiving yards – but his route participation increased to 73%. That was only slightly behind Lazard’s mark of 76%.
Williams should continue to earn more opportunities as he gets further removed from the knee injury that ended his season in 2023. As he gets more comfortable with the offense and develops more chemistry with Rodgers, Williams should become the clear No. 2 target in this passing attack.
This feels like the perfect opportunity to buy low on a talented player. Williams has averaged at least 41.5 receiving yards in six straight seasons, and the only reason this number is so low is because of his reduced role to start the year.
Where to play: Mike Williams Receiving Yards – More Than 22.5 | Underdog
D.J. Moore Receiving Yards – Less Than 61.5
The Caleb Williams era is off to an inauspicious start. The team did manage to win their first game of the year vs. the Titans – thanks once again to some awful decisions from Levis – but none of their success has come from the passing attack. Williams has racked up just 245 yards through his first two outings, and he’s still looking for his first career touchdown pass.
Last week’s contest vs. the Texans showed how far the Bears still have to go. Williams averaged just 2.27 adjusted yards per attempt, and he was sacked a whopping seven times.
Given Williams’ struggles, it’s not surprising that his receivers haven’t put up huge numbers. Moore has been the clear No. 1 target in the passing game, racking up a 30% target share through the first two weeks. He’s had at least eight targets in both contests, yet he’s still failed to crack 60 receiving yards. Overall, his average of 8.6 yards per target is his worst mark as a professional.
The Bears do draw a favorable matchup Sunday vs. the Colts, but until Williams shows he’s ready to perform at the NFL level, the Bears’ pass-catchers are clear fades for the foreseeable future.
Where to play: D.J. Moore Receiving Yards – Less Than 61.5 | Sleeper
Bo Nix Passing Yards – More Than 177.5
Williams is far from the only rookie quarterback struggling to find his footing in the NFL. Nix has started the first two games for the Broncos, and he’s been one of the worst QBs in football. He leads the league with four interceptions, and he’s yet to throw a touchdown pass. He’s also completing less than 60% of his passes while averaging just 2.65 adjusted yards per attempt.
Nix’s efficiency is definitely a concern, but there have been zero concerns about his volume so far. He’s attempted at least 35 passes in both games, and his numbers were slightly better vs. the Steelers in Week 2. He finished with 246 passing yards while averaging 4.46 adjusted yards per attempt.
Nix will draw his best matchup of the season this week vs. the Buccaneers. Tampa Bay was stout against the run last season – ranking fifth in EPA – but they were a much more exploitable 22nd against the pass. They’ve allowed the fifth-most yards per game through the first two weeks of 2024, so they don’t seem much improved defensively this season.
The Buccaneers’ offense is also capable of putting plenty of points on the scoreboard, which should create a scenario where the Broncos are playing from behind. It’s another contest where Nix should have to throw the ball 35+ times, and if that’s the case, he should be able to rack up more than 177.5 passing yards.
Where to play: Bo Nix Passing Yards – More Than 177.5 | Sleeper
Justin Watson Receiving Yards – Less Than 30.5
The Chiefs’ offense looks back to being one of the best in football in 2024. After the worst statistical season of the Patrick Mahomes era, the Chiefs are sixth in points per game through the first two weeks. They weren’t quite as impressive in Week 2 as they were on opening night, but the addition of Xavier Worthy and the emergence of Rashee Rice gives the Chiefs most explosive potential than they had last season. Travis Kelce hasn’t even joined in on the fun yet, racking up just four catches for 39 yards through the first two weeks.
The Chiefs have suffered a few blows from an injury perspective. Isiah Pacheco will miss at least four weeks after landing on IR, while Marquise Brown will not suit up until “at least mid-January” after undergoing shoulder surgery.
That has allowed Watson to step into the No. 3 receiver role for the Chiefs. He’s had a route participation of at least 52% in back-to-back weeks, and anyone who is on the field with Mahomes that often is a threat to do damage.
Still, most of Watson’s routes have been unproductive. He’s had a target share below 10% in both contests, and he’s finished with 25 yards or less in both. He’s yet to eclipse two targets in a single game, and he should continue to be well behind Rice, Worthy, and Kelce in the Chiefs’ pecking order.
Ultimately, this number is a bit too high. I have Watson projected for closer to 20 yards, so I’m happy to take the value with less than 30.5.
Where to play: Justin Watson Receiving Yards – Less Than 30.5 | Sleeper
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Where To Place NFL Prop Bets
The sportsbooks and daily fantasy sites featured in this article offer more than enough options to satisfy your NFL player props needs. As outlined before, always shop around for the best price when it comes to NFL player props.
You can’t go wrong with DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook when it comes to any kind of sports bet. Take a look at the following guides to see if DraftKings and FanDuel are legal in your state:
NFL Fantasy Player Props
We love the NFL player props available at top-flight daily fantasy sites like Underdog Fantasy and Sleeper Fantasy. These fantasy player props aren’t technically sports betting picks, but they offer a very similar experience to prop-betting parlays.
You’ll often find the juiciest lines and payouts odds for NFL props available at legal DFS sites. These apps are available in many states that don’t yet have legal online sports betting.
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Check out the Props.com NFL Betting Guide and Guide To Prop Betting for more on how to bet NFL props.
For more on the available sports betting bonuses in your state, take a look at some of these Props.com resources:
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PrizePicks and other DFS apps offer fantasy prop contests that are very similar to prop betting. Check out our Apps Like PrizePicks guide, which outlines some of the best sports gaming options available in most U.S. states (even the ones that haven’t legalized sports betting).
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