Best NFL Player Prop Bets Today

Looking for the best NFL player props today? You’ve come to the right place! In this article, Our expert analysts outline their favorite NFL prop bets for every week of the season.

Below, you’ll see our top NFL prop picks across different categories like yardage, touchdowns, interceptions, completions, attempts, and more. In other words, if there’s an NFL player prop with value, then you better believe we are going for it.

Best NFL Player Props Today: Divisional Round

Our analysts run through their favorite NFL player props for the major slates each week.

Looking for more analysis? Check out all of our Divisional Round content linked below.

Saturday Slate

Hollywood Brown Receiving Yards – Higher Than 42.5

The Chiefs are going to be on the field for a meaningful contest for the first time in nearly a month. The last real game that they played was on Christmas. Since then, they chose to rest their starters in Week 18 and then had a bye week in the first round of the playoffs. It’s given them significant time to rest up and prepare for a shot at their third straight championship.

Brown is one player who could benefit from the rest. He didn’t have much time to get integrated into the offense after missing the first 15 weeks of the season with an injury. He returned to the lineup in Weeks 16 and 17, and he was a focal point of the passing attack when on the field. Brown was targeted on 44% of his routes run in those contests, but he was on the field for just 40% of the team’s passing plays.

The extra time off should benefit Brown in multiple ways. For starters, it’s more time for him to get further removed from his injury. Brown suffered a shoulder injury before the start of the year, and he should be pretty close to 100% at this point.

The bigger benefit is that it gives Andy Reid plenty of time to figure out how he wants to deploy his receivers during the playoffs. Xavier Worthy has seen the most snaps at receiver for the Chiefs since Rashee Rice went down with an injury, with Brown and DeAndre Hopkins serving more as part-time players. Now that the games are more important, it’s possible that their involvement gets ratcheted up a bit.

Brown has maintained a target share of roughly 20% despite running just a handful of routes. If he’s on the field more during the playoffs, the sky is the limit. I like him to go more for than 42.5 yards vs. the Texans, and he has the upside to attack some alternate numbers as well.

Where to play: Hollywood Brown Receiving Yards – Higher Than 42.5 | Underdog

David Montgomery Rushing + Receiving TDs – Higher Than 0.5

The Lions were the other team to receive a bye in the first round of the playoffs, and they needed it desperately. They were hit extremely hard by injuries down the stretch, with as many as 22 players on Injured Reserve at one point. The extra rest should allow them to get at least a few players back for their divisional round matchup vs. the Commanders.

Montgomery is one of them. He’s returned to practice in a full capacity, which makes it a near-certainty that he’ll be in the lineup on Saturday. He should resume his spot in the team’s backfield, serving as the 1B to Jahmyr Gibbs’ 1A.

Since joining the Lions, Montgomery has been a touchdown-scoring machine. He found the end zone at least once in nine of his first 12 games this season, and one of the exceptions was a game he left early due to injury. He also found the paint in 13 of 17 games last season (including playoffs), making him one of the safest targets to score on a weekly basis.

Plenty of players should be able to find paydirt in this contest. The total is up to a massive 55.5 points, which is one of the highest marks of the entire season. The Commanders’ defense has been exploitable for most of the year, and only the Bills have averaged more rushing touchdowns per game than the Lions.

Add in a slightly discounted price tag with Montgomery returning from injury, and this is the perfect spot to buy.

Where to play: David Montgomery Rushing + Receiving TDs – Higher Than 0.5 | Underdog

Use Props.com’s coupon code “PLAYERPROPS” when signing up to receive a FREE 5-day Unabated Sports trial! Using our link/code will grant the redeemer $30 off Unabated products (not including NBA Projections plan), which can be used for a trial or discount.

Sunday Slate

DeVonta Smith Receptions – Lower Than 4.5

The Eagles managed to get past the Packers in their first playoff contest, but it was far from a work of art. They were essentially gifted a seven-point lead after the Packers fumbled the opening kickoff, and Jordan Love threw three interceptions. That meant the Eagles didn’t really have to do much on offense but avoid mistakes in order to secure the victory.

Overall, Philly had just 290 yards of total offense against the Packers. That included only 121 net passing yards, with the vast majority of their production coming on the ground.

That’s not a huge surprise. The Eagles have been one of the most run-heavy teams in football this season, with Saquon Barkley and Jalen Hurts combining to give the team one of the most lethal ground games in the league. Those two and Kenneth Gainwell combined for 34 carries on Sunday, while Hurts attempted just 21 passes.

Smith managed to haul in four of those attempts, and it’s possible that the Eagles have to throw a bit more this week vs. the Rams. Still, there’s no guarantee that production goes to Smith. A.J. Brown has been the clear alpha in this passing attack all season, but he finished with a paltry 18% target share last week. He’s likely to see a larger share vs. the Rams, which could potentially come at the expense of Smith.

Ultimately, Smith has finished with fewer than 4.5 grabs in 50% of his outings this season. That includes five of his past eight. I think this number is just a smidge too high against an improving Rams’ defense.

Where to play: DeVonta Smith Receptions – Lower Than 4.5 | Underdog

Mack Hollins Receiving Yards – Lower Than 19.5

The final playoff game of the week is the one that has people most excited. The Ravens will head to Buffalo to take on the Bills in a battle between the top two MVP candidates. Both Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson had excellent showings in their first playoff games this season, but both players have some postseason demons they’re looking to exercise as well.

These two squads met in Baltimore earlier this season, and the Ravens blew the doors off the Bills. That was all the way back in Week 4, but Allen and the Bills managed a season-low 10 points and 236 yards of total offense.

The scary part is that the Ravens’ defense has improved significantly as the year has progressed. Through the first nine weeks, they were 29th in pass defense EPA. Over the final eight weeks of the regular season and the Wild Card round, they’re No. 2 against the pass. That’s one of the largest improvements you’ll ever see.

Hollins managed to secure one of two targets last week vs. the Broncos, and he finished with 19 yards. That wasn’t enough to eclipse his current receiving number, and I think that’s on the optimistic side of what you can expect this week. The Bills have a host of different receivers, with Khalil Shakir, Amari Cooper, and Keon Coleman all ranking ahead of him in the pecking order. Hollins does see a handful of snaps each week, but he’s out there primarily for his blocking ability.

Add it all up, and I think less than 19.5 yards makes a ton of sense.

Where to play: Mack Hollins Receiving Yards – Lower Than 19.5 | Underdog

Where To Place NFL Prop Bets

The sportsbooks and daily fantasy sites featured in this article offer more than enough options to satisfy your NFL player props needs. As outlined before, always shop around for the best price when it comes to NFL player props.

You can’t go wrong with DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook when it comes to any kind of sports bet. Take a look at the following guides to see if DraftKings and FanDuel are legal in your state:

NFL Fantasy Player Props

We love the NFL player props available at top-flight daily fantasy sites like Underdog Fantasy, PrizePicks, and Sleeper Fantasy. These fantasy player props aren’t technically sports betting picks, but they offer a very similar experience to prop-betting parlays.

You’ll often find the juiciest lines and payouts odds for NFL props available at legal DFS sites. These apps are available in many states that don’t yet have legal online sports betting.

More Sports Betting Resources

Check out the Props.com NFL Betting Guide and Guide To Prop Betting for more on how to bet NFL props.

For more on the available sports betting bonuses in your state, take a look at some of these Props.com resources:

Top Online Sportsbook And Daily Fantasy Promos By State

PrizePicks and other DFS apps offer fantasy prop contests that are very similar to prop betting. Check out our Apps Like PrizePicks guide, which outlines some of the best sports gaming options available in most U.S. states (even the ones that haven’t legalized sports betting).

Wondering if the PrizePicks daily fantasy app is legal in California? Check out the Is PrizePicks Legal in California? Guide.