Looking for the best NFL player props today? You’ve come to the right place! In this article, Our expert analysts outline their favorite NFL prop bets for every week of the season.
Below, you’ll see our top NFL prop picks across different categories like yardage, touchdowns, interceptions, completions, attempts, and more. In other words, if there’s an NFL player prop with value, then you better believe we are going for it.
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Best NFL Player Props Today: Super Bowl
Our analysts run through their favorite NFL player props for the major slates each week.
Looking for more analysis? Check out all of our Super Bowl content linked below.
- Super Bowl: Content Hub
- Super Bowl: First TD Props
- Super Bowl: Anytime TD Props
- Super Bowl: Last TD Props
Saquon Barkley Rushing Attempts – Lower Than 22.5 (1.0x)
This is an absolutely massive number, and for anyone other than Barkley, it would really jump off the page. That said, Barkley has been an anomaly all season. He’s had at least 23 carries in nine games this season (including playoffs), and he’s been at 25 or higher in four of his past five games.
Still, I just can’t justify this number vs. the Chiefs. All the Chiefs do is win football games, so there’s a good chance that the Eagles are playing this contest from behind. Even if the game is competitive, that can still have an impact on Saquon’s touches. The Bills’ running backs combined for just 21 carries last week, with James Cook receiving merely 13. He was still really effective when he had the ball – he averaged more than 6.5 yards per attempt – but his volume was his lowest of the postseason by a decent mark.
If the Eagles are going to contend in this game, they’re going to need to be more than just a one-dimensional offense. We saw that last week when Hurts put together his most impressive performance of the postseason. He had 246 passing yards, while Barkley was limited to just 15 carries. The offense was better as a whole, racking up 459 yards and a whopping 55 points.
Last week notwithstanding, the Chiefs’ defense has ultimately been vastly improved against the run this season. It has been their biggest Achilles heel for years, but they were up to 11th in rush defense EPA during the regular season. It’s a big increase from last year when they were merely 28th.
Add it all up, and I’m seeing some value with less than 22.5 attempts for Barkley in this contest.
Where to play: Saquon Barkley Rushing Attempts – Lower Than 22.5 | Underdog
A.J. Brown Receiving Yards – Higher Than 99.5 (1.84x)
If we’re selling the Eagles’ rushing attack, it makes sense to buy their pass-catchers. That makes Brown a primary target for me in this contest.
The Eagles haven’t taken to the air all that often this season. They were one of the most pass-heavy teams in football during the regular season, and that makes sense with Barkley and Hurts in the backfield.
However, when they have thrown the ball, Brown has been one of the biggest alphas in all of football. He’s posted a massive 34% target share for the year, and he’s racked up 50% of the team’s air yards. In terms of Weighted Opportunity Rating (WOPR), Brown was first in the league at 88%. Malik Nabers was the only player even in the same ballpark (85%), with the rest of the league sitting at 74% or lower.
Brown was quiet during the first two rounds of the postseason. He had more of an impact on the New York Times Bestseller list than he did on the box score. However, he broke out in a big way in the NFC Championship, racking up eight targets, six catches, 96 yards, and a score. That’s the type of production he’s provided for most of the year, and it’s what the Eagles are going to need from him vs. the Chiefs.
Brown’s traditional yardage number is listed at 69.5, but I like the idea of getting more aggressive. If the Eagles are going to have to throw the ball – like they did last week – there’s a chance for Brown to post a big number.
Where to play: A.J. Brown Receiving Yards – Higher Than 99.5 | Underdog
Kareem Hunt Rush + Rec TDs – Higher Than 0.5 (1.17x)
The Chiefs’ backfield has been interesting to monitor throughout the postseason. Isiah Pacheco started the year as the team’s clear No. 1 option, but an injury forced him to miss nine games during the regular season. The team was looking for answers in his absence, leading to the signing of Hunt. It didn’t take Hunt long to take over in the team’s backfield with Pacheco sidelined, beating out the likes of Carson Steele and Samaje Perine.
After Pacheco returned to the lineup in Week 13, it was assumed that he would resume his lead-back responsibilities. That hasn’t been the case. This has become a clear committee situation, with Hunt, Pacheco, and Perine all factoring into the equation at times.
That might have been the plan originally, but Pacheco’s ineffectiveness has forced their hand. Pacheco has averaged 3.93 yards per carry or fewer in six straight games, so Hunt has been the superior option. He’s not an explosive runner, but he’s been effective at keeping the offense moving in the right direction. Among runners with at least 150 carries this season, Hunt ranks fourth in Success Rate.
Hunt has earned more and more of the workload in recent weeks, and he was on the field for 56% of the team’s offensive snaps last week. He’s also been their preferred option around the goal line down the stretch, garnering 74% of the short-yardage opportunities and 75% of the carries from inside the five-yard line since Week 16.
Ultimately, Hunt feels like the most likely member of the Chiefs’ backfield to score, and we’re getting him at a solid number in this matchup.
Where To Place NFL Prop Bets
The sportsbooks and daily fantasy sites featured in this article offer more than enough options to satisfy your NFL player props needs. As outlined before, always shop around for the best price when it comes to NFL player props.
You can’t go wrong with DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook when it comes to any kind of sports bet. Take a look at the following guides to see if DraftKings and FanDuel are legal in your state:
NFL Fantasy Player Props
We love the NFL player props available at top-flight daily fantasy sites like Underdog Fantasy, PrizePicks, and Sleeper Fantasy. These fantasy player props aren’t technically sports betting picks, but they offer a very similar experience to prop-betting parlays.
You’ll often find the juiciest lines and payouts odds for NFL props available at legal DFS sites. These apps are available in many states that don’t yet have legal online sports betting.
More Sports Betting Resources
Check out the Props.com NFL Betting Guide and Guide To Prop Betting for more on how to bet NFL props.
For more on the available sports betting bonuses in your state, take a look at some of these Props.com resources:
Top Online Sportsbook And Daily Fantasy Promos By State
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PrizePicks and other DFS apps offer fantasy prop contests that are very similar to prop betting. Check out our Apps Like PrizePicks guide, which outlines some of the best sports gaming options available in most U.S. states (even the ones that haven’t legalized sports betting).
Wondering if the PrizePicks daily fantasy app is legal in California? Check out the Is PrizePicks Legal in California? Guide.
