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Steelers vs. 49ers Predictions, Odds & Player Props – Week 1

Dec 18, 2022; Charlotte, North Carolina, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers running back Najee Harris (22) reacts after scoring a touchdown in the first quarter at Bank of America Stadium.
Image Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

The Steelers are set to face the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday, Sep 10. The game is scheduled for 1:00 ET while airing on FOX. San Francisco enters this game as 2-point favorites with the total set at 41.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Steelers vs 49ers predictions below.

Steelers VS. 49ers Odds

  • Spread: 49ers -2
  • Total 41.5

Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Sep 10
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh PA
  • TV: FOX

49ers Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the 49ers have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last five road contests, San Francisco has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 26 points per game.
  • San Francisco has done well both straight up and vs. the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.

Steelers Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Steelers have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Pittsburgh has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 19 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Steelers have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-0 in these scenarios.

Is A Road Victory Likely for the Favored 49ers?

Hoping to build on last year’s post-season run, the 49ers aim to surpass their trip to the NFC Championship game, which concluded with a 31-7 loss against the Eagles. As they entered the playoffs last year, the 49ers held a regular season record of 13-4. Tallying 7-0 against division opponents, San Francisco secured a 1st place finish within the NFC-West standings.

Recapping the 49ers’ 2022 offense, they wrapped up the season 6th in scoring, averaging 25.8 points per game. San Francisco ranked 7th in rushing yards, with an average of 136.8 yards per contest. In terms of overall yardage, the 49ers finished 5th (359.8) and had a red-zone conversion rate of 9.5%, which placed them 25th in the NFL.

Last season, the 49ers’ defense was 2nd in turnovers, having forced 30 takeaways. At season’s end, they had a turnover differential of 13 which put them 1st in the league. Overall, they allowed an average of 17.2 points per game (1st) and 299.6 yards.

Will the Steelers Defense Show Up at Home?

Although the Steelers are coming off a season in which they finished above .500 at 9-8, the Pittsburgh Steelers found themselves outside the playoff picture last season. Within the AFC North, the Steelers concluded their efforts with a 3rd place finish, holding a record of 3-3. All in all, Pittsburgh was 8th in the AFC.

On offense, Pittsburgh was 26th in points per game a year ago, with an average of 18.1 points per contest. At 5.0 yards per play, the Steelers were 26th in the NFL. On the ground, the Steelers ran the ball an average of 29.4 times per contest, which was 10th in the league. Also, they finished 24th in passing yards.

This season, the Steelers will look to become a top-10 defensive unit, as they finished last season ranked 10th in points allowed at 20.4 points per game. On average, opponents averaged 108.1 rushing yards per game (9th) and 222.3 yards per game in the passing game 19th. Last year’s unit ended the season ranked 17th in 3rd down conversion percentage (39.4%).

Steelers vs. 49ers Player Prop

The player prop market currently has odds of +115 for Najee Harris to score a touchdown against the 49ers. Based on this payout, it implies a 47% probability of him finding the end zone at least once in the game. My recommendation for a prop bet is to take Harris to find the endzone vs. 49ers. With the price tag of +115, I’m locking this bet in.

The Prop: Najee Harris to Score a Touchdown +115

Steelers VS. 49ers Predictions

With a point spread sitting at -2 in their favor, I have the 49ers covering vs. the Steelers. Look for the 49ers to come out of Pittsburgh with a straight-up and ATS win.

The Pick: 49ers -2 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook

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