Vikings vs. Chiefs Predictions, Odds & Player Props – Week 5

Oct 1, 2023; Charlotte, North Carolina, USA; Minnesota Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins (8) passes during the second half against the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium.
Image Credit: Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports

The Vikings are ready to clash with the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, Oct 8. This week 5 matchup is set to kick off at 4:25 ET and will be televised on CBS. Kansas City enters this game as 3.5-point favorites, and the over/under total is currently at 52.5. Can the Chiefs pull this one out as the favorite? Below you will find our Vikings vs. Chiefs predictions and player props.

Vikings vs. Chiefs Odds

  • Spread: Chiefs -3.5
  • Total 52.5

Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Oct 8
  • Time: 4:25 ET
  • Location: U.S. Bank Stadium — Minneapolis, MN
  • TV: CBS

Chiefs Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Chiefs have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Kansas City has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 5-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 27 points per game while allowing 20. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • The last ten games that Kansas City was favored, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 9-1 straight up.

Vikings Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Vikings have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 0-5 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Vikings offense has averaged 23 points per game while allowing an average of 27. Minnesota posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 2-2-1 ATS.
  • Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Vikings have a straight up record of 0-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-4-1.

Will Kansas City Secure A Victory as Road Favorites?

Having played four games, the Chiefs have a record of 3-1. This puts them at 1st in the AFC-West and 1st in the AFC. The Chiefs have a scoring margin of +10.2 this season, which has led to an ATS record of 2-2.

The Chiefs are coming off a win after defeating the Jets with a final score of 23-20. On the point spread, the Chiefs were favored by 8 against the Jets. Even though they won by 3 it was not enough to cover. The over/under line for their game was set at 41.5 points, and the teams exceeded it with a combined total of 43 points.

Against the Jets, the Chiefs ran the ball 35 times, with Isiah Pacheco leading the team with 115 yards. Patrick Mahomes threw the ball 30 times for 203 yards and a passer rating of 63.

Thus far, the Chiefs’ defense has given up an average of 294.5 yards per game and 15 points per contest (4th). Going into this game, they’ve allowed a completion percentage of 60.9% and have surrendered four passing touchdowns. When it comes to run defense, they rank 12th in the NFL.

Can the Vikings Pull Off a Home Upset?

The Vikings enter their matchup against the Chiefs with a 1-3 record. This mark puts them 3rd in NFC North. In the NFC overall standings, they are 12th. When it comes to the spread, the Vikings have a 1-2-1 record. Heading into week 5, their scoring margin is at -1.2 (per game).

The Vikings clinched a win in their most recent contest against the Panthers, finishing with a final score of 21-13. As 4-point favorites against the Panthers, the Vikings picked up an ATS win. In their most recent game against Carolina, the pre-game over/under line was set at 46 leading the under to hit with a combined total of 34 points.

Offensively, Kirk Cousins totaled 139 passing yards with a completion rate of 63%. On the rushing front, the Vikings had 23 attempts, gaining 135 yards. The team converted 1 of 8 third-down attempts.

The Vikings’ defense takes on the Chiefs having given up an average of 23.8 points per game. So far, they are 16th in quarterback hits and are giving up 344.8 yards per contest.

Vikings vs. Chiefs Player Prop

Vikings QB Cousins has thrown 44 pass attempts in three of four games this year. The lone exception was last week at Carolina when the Vikings had the lead in the second half. Look for Cousins to air it out once again to try and keep pace with the Chiefs. He should soar past 37.5 pass attempts more in line with the 44+ tries he had in the first three games of the season.

Where to bet: Kirk Cousins Over 37.5 Passing Attempts | +100 at FanDuel Sportsbook

Vikings vs. Chiefs Predictions

After opening as the 6-point road favorites, the Chiefs are still favored, but the lines have shifted down to -3.5.

According to the betting splits, 77% of the tickets against the spread have been placed on Kansas City. However, the majority of the money (54%) is on Minnesota against the spread. This signals sharp action on the Vikings, who are better than their record indicates.

If Minnesota can keep itself from turning the ball over, then the Vikings will be in a great spot to keep this one close and cover the spread at home.

The Pick: Vikings +3.5 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook

More NFL Props & Predictions 

Props.com is stepping up its game for NFL Week 5 by offering a range of articles focused on props and picks, like the following: