So who out there in Wager Land wants a piece of the Baltimore Orioles at juicy plus-money odds against Gerrit Cole in the Bronx tonight? What about the Washington Nationals as a fat, near-$2 underdog at home against the L.A. Dodgers? Eh, you’re not alone in violently shaking your head, as MLB betting action swings significantly in the direction of the heavily favored Yankees (vs. Baltimore) and Dodgers (at Washington).
But that doesn’t mean there aren’t some differences of opinion in the 10 other games scheduled on the diamond Monday night. So let’s take a look at where the tickets and cash are flowing in Monday’s MLB betting market.
All betting splits information from PointsBet USA (as of 4 p.m. ET) and DraftKings (as of 5 p.m. ET).
All odds updated as of 6 p.m. ET on May 23.
One-Way Street
Since we referenced Orioles-Yankees and Dodgers-Nats at the top, we might as well take a moment to reveal just how lopsided the moneyline action is in those two contests. Over at PointsBet USA, New York is a -325 home favorite with the Orioles priced at +255. Cole and the Yankees are fetching 88% of the moneyline tickets and 84% of the cash. The gap is even wider at DraftKings, with 91% of wagers and 92% of dollars on the Bronx Bombers at -300 (Orioles +235).
The discrepancy is just as great in D.C., where 88% of PointsBet’s tickets and 95% of the money are on Los Angeles, which is a-236 road chalk (Washington +190). At DraftKings, it’s 91% tickets/95% dollars on the Dodgers at -225 (Nationals +185).
There’s also serious one-way action at PointsBet on Guardians (+170) vs Astros (-206). Houston is attracting 90% of all wagers and 89% of all dollars. At DraftKings, 87% of tickets/90% of money is on the Astros at -180 (Guardians +155).
Same goes for Tigers (+175) vs Twins (-216) at PointsBet. Only 15% of all bets and just 7% of all dollars are rolling with a road underdog that’s 5-3 in its last eight games (granted, four of the victories were against Baltimore and Cleveland). DraftKings’ splits on Tigers/Twins: 86% bets/92% cash on Minnesota at -225 (Detroit +185)
Show Me The Money(line)
Here’s a look at the games drawing solid two-way moneyline MLB betting action at PointsBet:
Royals (+100) at Diamonbacks (-121): It’s Zack (Greinke) vs. Zach (Davies) in the desert tonight. The former returns to a place where he earned a huge chunk of a six-year, $206.5 million contract for four mediocre seasons on the mound. Now back with the team that drafted him (and striking out about as many batters every fifth day as you do), Greinke is a slight road underdog. At PointsBet, the money favors Greinke and the Royals at roughly a two-to-one rate (64%). However, ticket count skews in favor of Davies and the DBacks (71%).
Brewers (-110) at Padres (-110): Much like Royals-DBacks, this game features a short price. Unlike Royals-DBacks, this game involves two quality teams. San Diego has baseball’s third-best record (behind only the Yankees and Dodgers). The Brewers are comfortably perched atop the NL Central standings. Ticket count at PointsBet is fairly even (55% Padres/45% Brewers), but the cash is strongly in Milwaukee’s favor (74%).
Mets (+120) at Giants (-140): San Francisco is licking its wounds after getting swept at home by the Padres over the weekend. New York, meanwhile, is simply wounded, with Max Scherzer (oblique) joining co-ace Jacob deGrom (shoulder) on the sidelines for at least the next six weeks. Still, the Mets have won four of five and remain atop the NL East. That’s probably why 54% of the tickets at PointsBet are on New York. However, 67% of the money is backing San Francisco (which dropped three of four in Queens last month).
Interestingly, not a single MLB game at DraftKings is seeing two-way action.
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Over Here, Under There
Here are the top-five totals seeing split MLB betting action Monday at both PointsBet and DraftKings:
Rockies at Pirates (O/U 7.5 at DraftKings): 66% bets on the Over/67% money on the Under.
Tigers at Twins (O/U 8 at PointsBet): 52% bets on the Over/68% money on the Under.
Tigers at Twins (O/U 8 at DraftKings): 56% bets on the Under/51% money on the Over.
Blue Jays at Cardinals (O/U 7.5 at PointsBet): 52% bets on the Over/74% money on the Under.
Blue Jays at Cardinals (O/U 7.5 at DraftKings): 71% bets on the Over/65% money on the Under.
Guardians at Astros (O/U 8 at PointsBet): 53% bets on the Under/73% money on the Over.
Guardians at Astros (O/U 8 at DraftKings): 59% bets on the Under/51% money on the Over.
Royals at Diamondbacks (O/U. 8.5 at PointsBet): 53% bets on the Over/70% money on the Under.
Royals at Diamondbacks (O/U. 8.5 at DraftKings): 65% bets on the Over/50% money on Over and Under.
The most lopsided totals at PointsBet: 81% of tickets are on Orioles-Yankees Over 7.5 and Mets-Giants Over 7.5; 92% money is on Mets-Giants Over 7.5.
The most lopsided totals at DraftKings: 88% of tickets are on Brewers-Padres Over 7.5; 96% money is on Phillies-Braves Over 8.5;