Each weekday, Props.com selects five intriguing players and/or team NBA props from a busy night of action. Then, we do what we do best: Provide in-depth analysis that you can choose to use (or not use!) for wagering purposes.
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With that, let’s dive into our top NBA Props for Tuesday’s five-game slate.
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook updated as of noon ET on March 29.
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Chicago Bulls: G/F DeMar DeRozan
The prop: 25.5 points (at Washington)
The odds: Over -120/Under -105
We secured a victory with the Over on DeRozan’s scoring prop on Monday, and I’m going right back to the well on Tuesday.
The number has come up slightly, but it still represents excellent value based on what DeRozan has done this season. He’s averaging 27.7 points per game – the top mark of his career – and he’s scored at least 26 points in 41 of 70 games (58.8%).
Also, playing against the Wizards represents a fantastic matchup. Washington ranks 25th in defensive efficiency this season and 24th in defensive efficiency over the past 10 games.
Washington Wizards: SG Corey Kispert
The prop: 15.5 points + rebounds + assists (vs. Chicago)
The odds: Over -120/Under -110
On the other side of that matchup, the Wizards are going to be shorthanded on Tuesday. Bradley Beal remains out with a long-term injury while Kyle Kuzma will miss his sixth straight game.
That should result in healthy minutes for Kispert against the Bulls.
The rookie from Gonzaga has had a disappointing season, averaging just 7.9 points, 2.6 rebounds, and 1.0 assists per game — but he’s done that in limited playing time. Kispert is averaging 32.7 minutes per game over his last seven contests, and he’s averaged 16.5 points + rebounds + assists in those games. That includes a 25-point explosion in his last game.
Expect Kispert to keep the good times rolling against the Bulls, who will be on the road for the second leg of a back-to-back.
Philadelphia 76ers: F Tobias Harris
The prop: 23.5 points + rebounds + assists (vs. Milwaukee)
The odds: Over -110/Under -120
Harris would be a candidate for the most overpaid player in the league if not for the existence of Russell Westbrook and John Wall. He’s making just under $36M, and he has become the 76ers’ clear No. 4 option following the trade for James Harden and the emergence of Tyrese Maxey. In 16 games since the All-Star break, Harris has averaged just 14.0 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 2.8 assists per game.
Still, Harris is a good role player, and he’s starting to find his role for the new-look 76ers. His numbers have been on the rise recently, averaging 26.1 points + rebounds + assists over his past four games. He’s also hit the over on 23.5 in three of those contests.
The 76ers will need a strong performance from Harris in a massive contest vs. the Bucks. These teams are tied for second place in the Eastern Conference standings, and they’re just one game behind the conference-leading Heat. That makes this matchup important for both teams, so the starters could be asked to play a bit more than usual.
Brooklyn Nets: C Andre Drummond
The prop: 11.5 points (vs. Detroit)
The odds: Over -105/Under -125
Drummond was considered a minor piece in the Harden deal, but he’s had the most significant impact of any player acquired by the Nets. Seth Curry has been in and out of the lineup while Ben Simmons has yet to suit up. At this point, it seems unlikely that Simmons will play at any point this season (insert the shrug emoji here).
Drummond has given the Nets a bit of stability at center, which is a position where they’ve gotten minimal production this year. Overall, Drummond has scored at least 13 points in five straight games for Brooklyn.
However, it’s possible that his role could decrease moving forward. LaMarcus Aldridge was available to play in their last contest, and while he didn’t see any playing time off the bench, he figures to re-enter the rotation at some point.
Aldridge has been fantastic for the Nets this season, shooting 55.4% from the field, so he’s earned a spot in the rotation. He figures to cut into Drummond’s minutes, so this feels like a good time to sell high on the big man.
Detroit Pistons: SF Saddiq Bey
The prop: 18.5 points (at Brooklyn)
The odds: Over -120/Under -105
This is probably my favorite wager on the slate. Bey is a capable scorer, but this number has gotten out of control. He exploded for 51 points on a night where the Pistons were without Cade Cunningham, but he’s scored 14 points or fewer in his past three games.
The Nets are far from a juggernaut defensively, but the Pistons are listed as massive 14-point underdogs. The Pistons would benefit from losing as many games as possible down the stretch – they own a slim 2.0-game lead over the Thunder for the crucial third-worst record in basketball – so I’m expecting Bey to spend the fourth quarter on the bench instead of the court.
