Raiders vs. Packers Predictions, Odds & Free Picks – MNF Week 5

Green Bay Packers wide receiver Romeo Doubs celebrates with fans after scoring a touchdown against the New England Patriots on Oct. 2 at Lambeau Field.
Image Credit: Dan Powers / USA TODAY NETWORK

The Raiders are set to face the Green Bay Packers on Monday, Oct 9. The game is scheduled for 8:15 ET while airing on ABC. Las Vegas enters this game as 1-point favorites with the total set at 44.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Raiders vs Packers predictions below.

Raiders vs. Packers Odds

  • Spread: Raiders -1
  • Total 44.5
  • Total 43

Game Info

  • Date: Monday, Oct 9
  • Time: 8:15 ET
  • Location: Allegiant Stadium — Las Vegas NV
  • TV: ABC

Packers Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Packers have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Green Bay has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 29 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
  • Through their last three games as the betting underdog, the Packers have a strong record vs the spread, going 2-1. Their straight up mark in these contests is 1-2.

Raiders Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Raiders have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last three home games, Las Vegas has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 14 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the favorite, Las Vegas has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.

Can the Packers Grab a Win in Las Vegas?

As they prepare to face the Raiders, the Packers hold a 2-2 record. Within the NFC-North, they currently sit in 2nd place and are 9th place in the NFC. With a scoring margin of +1, the Packers’ have achieved an ATS record of 3-1 so far.

After their 34-20 loss to the Lions, the Packers are looking to bounce back in week 5. In addition to their 14-point loss, the Packers also lost vs. the spread. They were 2-point underdogs heading into the game. The over/under line for the game was 45 points, and the teams managed to surpass it, recording a combined total of 54 points.

On offense, the Packers finished with 230 yards against the Lions. When it came to third downs, the Packers had a 27.3% conversion rate. Leading the ground game was Aaron Jones with 18 yards, and Jordan Love contributed 246 passing yards.

The Packers’ defense has, on average, allowed 352.5 yards and 24 points per contest (18th). Leading up to this game, they’ve permitted a 64.9% completion rate and yielded four passing touchdowns. In terms of run defense, they rank 29th in the NFL.

Will the Las Vegas Defense Show Up at Home?

Having played four games, the Raiders have a record of 1-3. This puts them at 3rd in the AFC-West and 14th in the AFC. Against the spread, the Raiders have a record of 1-3. Their average scoring margin for the season is currently -9.8.

Most recently, the Raiders were handed a 24-17 loss by the Chargers. In addition to their 7-point loss, the Raiders also lost vs. the spread. They were 6.5-point underdogs heading into the game. Going into the game vs. Los Angeles, the over/under line was 49. With a combined total of 41 points, the under hit in this game.

In their matchup against the Chargers, the Raiders ran the ball 23 times, with Josh Jacobs emerging as the top rusher with 58 yards. In the passing game, Aidan O’Connell finished with 39 passes, resulting in 238 yards and a passer rating of 68.

When it comes to yards allowed, the Raiders rank 18th in the league, conceding an average of 337.0 yards per contest. Las Vegas’ defense has allowed 25.2 points per game, which has them 22nd in the NFL.

Raiders vs. Packers Predictions

Monitor the point spreads closely for this matchup, as there has been early movement. Initially, the Raiders were favored by 1 point, but now the spread is Las Vegas -2.5. 

Both of these defenses have had issues in big spots this season. However, neither offense is necessarily top tier, and that could give both defensive units a chance to settle in. On top of that, the betting splits show that 50% of the tickets are on the under, but 72% of the money has been in that direction.

Let’s take the under here while expecting both teams to play conventional football and turn this into a moderate final score.

The Pick: Under 46.5 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook

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