PrizePicks College Football Props Week 5: Mountain Of Value

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PrizePicks is technically a fantasy sports site, although they allow you to wager on a series of prop bets within their platform. They are legal in 30 states as well, including some places that don’t allow sports betting at the moment. 

You can read more details on how and where to play Prizepicks by clicking here. 

Another cool thing about PrizePicks is that they have college football props listed. I have perused those lines to find the best College Football Prop Bets for Week 5 – all of which can be found on the PrizePicks app. 

With that, let’s get to the best props! 

RB Leddie Brown – West Virginia: OVER 88.5 Rushing Yards

Image Credit: Ben Queen/USA TODAY Sports

Brown is averaging 80 rushing yards per game this season, meaning this 88.5-yard prop seems pretty reasonable, right? Insert a gif of Lee Corso saying “not so fast my friend!” here. 

According to my projections, Brown could have an easy time cracking the century mark, and his median outcome is closer to 115 rushing yards. 

His opponent, Texas Tech, got absolutely shredded on the ground last week, letting Texas running backs rack up 294 yards and three touchdowns on 44 carries. Bijan Robinson led the way with 137 yards on 18 attempts. 

I wouldn’t be surprised if Brown did a copy/paste on Bijan’s numbers against Tech. 

West Virginia checks in as a 7.5 point favorite, meaning game flow supports the Mountaineers’ rushing attack. 

QB Henry Colombi – Texas Tech: OVER 238 Passing Yards

Image Credit: Brian Powers/USA TODAY Sports.

I just ripped on Texas Tech’s defense in the previous write-up. As it turns out, that rationale supports this pick as well. 

Colombi has been named Texas Tech’s starting QB heading into the West Virginia game. We all know the Red Raiders love to sling the ball to all corners of the field, and that should hold true with Tech serving as an underdog in this conference battle. 

In other words, Colombi could sail above this threshold on volume alone. He tossed for 324 yards while going 13-17 in garbage time against Texas last week. To be honest, this number should be closer to 260 or 270 passing yards. 

I’m confidently locking the OVER. 

RB Treyson Potts – Minnesota: OVER 104.5 Rushing Yards

Image Credit: Ron Chenoy/USA TODAY Sports

Minnesota’s boat capsized last week. As it turns out, gophers can’t swim. 

Bowling Green entered last Saturday’s game as 30.5 point underdogs and left Minneapolis with a 14-10 upset victory. Ouch! 

Despite that, Trey Potts surpassed his rushing yardage prop by piling up 141 yards on 27 carries. The sophomore RB continues to serve as PJ Fleck’s workhorse with Mo Ibrahim done for the season. Here are his rushing totals over the last three games:

  • vs. Miami Ohio: 34-178-2
  • at Colorado: 26-121-3
  • vs. Bowling Green: 27-141-0

Potts is a lock for 25-30+ carries in this Minnesota power-running scheme. PrizePicks refuses to raise his rushing prop too far above the century mark. Potts’ median projection is somewhere in the 125-130 area, creating value with this pick. 

His opponent, Purdue, allowed Josh McCray (Illinois RB) to run for 156 yards on 24 touches last week, and Potts is a much better player with a more established offensive line. 

More PrizePicks College Football Props

Tanner Mordecai (QB – SMU) UNDER 334.5 Passing Yards. SMU is favored by 21 points on Saturday. In other words, I don’t think they’ll need to pass much. Mordecai surpassed this total in just one of four games this season, and that was a close contest at Louisiana Tech. 

Travell Harris (WR – WSU) OVER 5.5 Receptions. Harris is the top receiver for a Washington State scheme that loves to throw short passes. As a result, Harris has gone over this mark in three of four games this season. A tight contest at Cal should keep him going. 

Jameson Williams (WR – ALA) OVER 3.5 Receptions. Maybe Alabama will need to throw more than usual in a high-scoring game against Mississippi? Williams has emerged as a top receiving option on this team, hauling in four receptions in both games against power-five opponents. This line seems low compared to Williams’ expected involvement with an efficient passer throwing his way.