The New York Mets woke up today with the most wins in baseball and the best record in baseball. They also woke up refreshed, having been idle Thursday after playing 20 games in 21 days to begin the season.
New York will try to remain on top of the MLB mountain when it welcomes the suddenly surging Philadelphia Phillies to Citi Field for a weekend series that starts Friday. A check of Phillies vs Mets odds shows New York as a short home favorite against its longtime NL East rivals.
Can Philadelphia exact some revenge after dropping two of three at home to the Mets two weeks ago? Or will New York avoid suffering consecutive losses for the second time this season, and in the process keep the Phillies from extending their season-best four-game winning streak?
Props.com dives into Phillies vs Mets odds and ends in a preview of Friday’s premier NL matchup.
Odds via BetMGM and updated as of 6:30 p.m. ET on April 29.
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Philadelphia Phillies (10-10) vs New York Mets (14-6)
First Pitch/TV: 7:10 p.m. ET/MLB.TV
Moneyline: Mets -125/Phillies +105
Runline: Mets -1.5 (+170)/Phillies +1.5 (-200)
Total: 7 (Over even/Under -120)
Pitching matchup: RHP Aaron Nola (1-2, 3.74 ERA, 0.88 WHIP) vs RHP Tylor Megill (3-0, 2.35 ERA, 0.91 WHIP)
Season series: New York leads 2-1. The Mets have won three of the last four meetings after Philadelphia had taken the previous six in a row.
Did you know: The Under is 9-2-2 in the last 13 Mets-Phillies battles.
About the Phillies
Hits & Misses: Philadelphia arrives in Queens fresh off a dominating four-game home sweep of the Rockies. The Phillies, who outscored Colorado 32-9, allowed just 17 runs during a 5-2 homestand against the Rockies and Brewers. That 2.43 runs-per-game average is in stark contrast to Philadelphia’s first 13 games, when it surrendered 5.15 runs per contest. The Phillies still have the eighth-highest team ERA (4.11) and fourth-highest bullpen ERA (4.17) in the majors. Manager Joe Girardi’s club went 2-5 on its only previous road trip (Miami and Colorado) and is positioned in third place in the NL East, four games behind the Mets. RF and reigning NL MVP Bryce Harper is batting .276 with three homers, 17 runs (tied for second-most in MLB) and 14 RBI in 20 games.
Nola vs Mets: Nola is coming off his best start of the season, limiting the Brewers to just two baserunners (one hit, one walk) and striking out nine in seven shutout innings. However, the Phillies wasted the effort in a 1-0 loss. Nola, who has a 25-5 K/BB ratio in 21.2 innings, faced the Mets on April 13 and yielded three runs on three hits and three walks in 3.1 innings, losing 9-6. The 28-year-old right-hander is 9-4 with a 3.26 ERA in 21 career starts against New York (5-3, 3.70 ERA in 10 starts at Citi Field).
Key injuries: Harper has been playing through a right elbow strain, although he’s been relegated to DH duties. Philadelphia is otherwise healthy.
About the Mets
Hits & Misses: New York gave up a season high in runs in Wednesday’s 10-5 loss at St. Louis that featured some extracurricular activity. In fact, it was just the second time the Mets surrendered more than five runs in a game (the other being a 9-6 victory at Philadelphia on April 13). Despite the defeat, New York went 4-2 on its six-game road trip to St. Louis and Arizona, and enters Friday on an 11-4 run (5-2 at home). The pitching staff leads the league in strikeouts (201); ranks second in WHIP (1.04), opponents’ batting average (.202), and hits allowed per nine innings (6.62); third in runs per game allowed (3.05); and fourth in team ERA (2.93). Offensively, the Mets are first in hits per game (8.70), second in team batting average (.259) and tied for fifth in OPS (.735).
Megill vs Phillies: Megill bounced back from his poorest outing of the season (four runs in six innings against the Giants) with a strong effort at Arizona on Sunday. He allowed two runs on five hits in 6.2 innings, earning a 6-2 victory. The Mets are undefeated in Megill’s first four trips to the mound, including a 2-0 victory in Philadelphia on April 12. In that contest, Megill allowed three hits, walked none and struck out five in 5.1 shutout innings. The 26-year-old southern California native owns a 22-2 K/BB ratio in 23 innings.
Key injuries: 3B J.D. Davis (ankle) left Wednesday’s game in St. Louis and is questionable for Friday’s contest. Other than several pitchers (including ace Jacob deGrom) dealing with long-term injuries, the Mets are healthy.
Betting Trends
- PHI is in slumps of 3-11 on the road, 1-9 as an underdog and 3-11 on the road
- NYM is on runs of 11-4 overall, 17-5 as a favorite, 4-1 at home, 7-1 vs right-handed SPs and 4-0 in series openers
- PHI is 1-4 in Nola’s last five starts
- NYM is 5-0 in Megill’s last five starts
- Under is 7-2-1 in PHI’s last 10 road games
- Over is 7-2-2 in Nola’s last 11 starts
- Under is 5-2-1 in NYM’s last eight following a day off
Phillies Vs Mets Odds and Action
UPDATE 6:30 P.M. ET FRIDAY: Forty minutes ahead of first pitch, New York is a -127 chalk in TwinSpires Sportsbook’s Phillies vs Mets odds market. That’s up from the -112 opener, with a stop at -118 along the way. The Mets are taking 59% of tickets and more notably 77% of money. “It’s a mix of public and sharp play on the Mets,” TwinSpires director of retail sports Zachary Lucas said. The total opened at 7 (Over -120) and is now 7 (Over -114), with 58% of tickets on the Over/53% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 10 A.M. ET FRIDAY: BetMGM opened the Mets as a -120 home favorite early Thursday evening and within three hours dipped to -115. This morning, though, the moneyline moved out to Mets -125/Phillies +105, where it remains. The total opened at 7/Over -120, with the juice reducing to -115, then -110 both ways. It’s now 7/Under -115.
Check back prior to first pitch for additional Phillies vs Mets odds and action updates.
