Patriots vs. Chargers Player Props & Predictions – Sunday, Dec 3

Nov 12, 2023; Frankfurt, Germany; New England Patriots quarterback Mac Jones (10) calls a play at the line against the Indianapolis Colts in the fourth quarter during an International Series game at Deutsche Bank Park.
Image Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

The Patriots are ready to clash with the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday, Dec 3. This week 13 matchup is set to kick off at 1:00 ET and will be televised on CBS. Los Angeles enters this game as 5.5-point favorites, and the over/under total is currently at 40.5. Can the Chargers pull this one out as the favorite? Below you will find our Patriots vs. Chargers player props and predictions.

Patriots VS. Chargers Odds

  • Spread: Chargers -5.5
  • Total 40.5

Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Dec 3
  • Time: 1:00 ET
  • Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough MA
  • TV: CBS

Chargers Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Chargers have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games away from home, the Chargers have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 23 points per game in this stretch.
  • Los Angeles has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.

Patriots Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Patriots have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
  • Across the Patriots last three home games, the team averaged 13 points per game while allowing 20. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 0-3, while going 0-3 straight-up.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Patriots have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.

Is a Win at Foxborough Possible for the Chargers?

Coming into this week’s matchup, the Chargers will be looking to snap their three-game losing streak. Overall, they are 4-7 and in 4th in the AFC-West. Thus far this season, the Chargers hold a record above .500 against the spread, marked at 4-7. Their average scoring margin in the current season is +1.

The Chargers recently suffered a 20-10 defeat at the hands of the Ravens. Alongside their 10-point loss, the Chargers also suffered an ATS defeat. They were 3.5-point underdogs before the game. In the Chargers’ latest game, the under bettors were correct as the teams totaled 30 points, below the line of 48.5 points.

Against the Ravens’ defense, Justin Herbert led the way with 217 passing yards and a completion rate of 65%. On the ground, the Chargers ran the ball 19 times for 86 yards. The team had 7 third-down conversions (46.7%).

The Los Angeles defense has recorded 15 takeaways this season, which places them 8th in the NFL. In terms of points allowed, their average of 23.5 is 21st in the league while giving up 390.6 yards per contest.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen at Home?

Going into this week 13 matchup, the Patriots seek to end their four-game losing streak. So far, they have an overall record of 2-9 and are positioned 4th in the AFC East. Taking a look at the Patriots’ scoring margin this season, it is currently at -9.1. This has resulted in an ATS record of 2-9.

Last time they played, the Patriots were handed a 10-7 loss by the Giants. Given that the Patriots were favored by 4, they were also handed a loss vs. the spread. The pre-game over/under line in their most recent game vs. New York was 35.5. The teams fell short of this figure with 17 points.

New England’s offense produced a total of 283 yards against the Giants. When it came to third downs, the Patriots had a conversion rate of 28.6%. The leading rusher for the Patriots was Rhamondre Stevenson, who had 98 yards, and Mac Jones contributed 89 passing yards.

In terms of defense, the Patriots hold the 15th position in tackles for loss and are ranked 15th in sacks. Opponents are managing to score an average of 22.5 points and gain 316.8 yards per game against them.

Patriots vs. Chargers Player Prop

Joshua Kelley comes in with a rushing yards prop of 17.5 for this week’s game. Betting the over offers a payout of -118, which translates to implied odds of 54%, while the under pays out at -113 (53%). Across 11 games, Joshua Kelley has 88 rushing attempts and gained 360 yards. Heading into week 13 he is 40th among running backs in yardage. Given that Kelley is matched up against the league’s 7th-ranked rush defense, I’m going to be taking the under on Joshua Kelley’s prop of 17.5 rushing yards.

  • The Prop: Joshua Kelley Under 17.5 Rushing Yards (-113)

Patriots VS. Chargers Predictions

Los Angeles initially opened as 3.5 point favorites on the road The lines have shifted in their favor, now standing at -5.5.

New England’s most recent game against New York saw them look on the defensive side of the ball. I see them as the best bet to cover the spread for this week, with the line at +5.5.

The Pick: Patriots +5.5 | -112 at Fanduel Sportsbook