Celtics vs. Heat Predictions, Odds & Picks For Game 7

Miami Heat forward Jimmy Butler (22) controls the ball against Boston Celtics guard Jaylen Brown (7) in the second quarter during game six of the Eastern Conference Finals for the 2023 NBA playoffs at Kaseya Center.
Image Credit: Rich Storry-USA TODAY Sports

Buckle up, folks! The stage is set for an epic Game 7 showdown between the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat in the Eastern Conference Finals.

The Boston Celtics have clawed their way back from an 0-3 series deficit against the Miami Heat, and now they can pull off a historic comeback in Game 7 on Monday, May 29. 

Tip-off from Boston is scheduled for 8:30 pm ET while airing on TNT. The Celtics enter this game as 3-point favorites with the total set at 211.

How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Celtics vs. Heat predictions, odds, and picks below.

Heat vs. Celtics Odds

  • Spread: Celtics -7.5
  • Total: 203.5

Odds via Bet365. If you are new to Bet365, click our exclusive promo link below to Bet $1 to Win $200.

Game Info

  • Date: Monday, May 29
  • Time: 8:30 pm ET
  • Location: TD Garden – Boston, MA
  • TV: TNT

Heat Betting Trends

  • Under is 4-0 in Heat last 4 games following a straight up loss.
  • Heat are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games overall.

Celtics Betting Trends

  • Celtics are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a ATS loss.
  • Over is 11-5 in Celtics last 16 overall.

Celtics vs. Heat Predictions

The Celtics have been on an absolute tear lately, clawing their way back from the brink of elimination after being down 3-0 in the series. Their secret weapon? A renewed focus on defense. After letting the Heat average nearly 121 PPG in the first three games, Boston’s league-best defensive unit has come alive, holding Miami under 100 points in two of their last three meetings.

It’s no coincidence that the under has cashed in three straight games in this series, and with the Celtics playing at home, expect that trend to continue.

Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo, Miami’s dynamic duo, have felt the sting of Boston’s defensive resurgence most acutely. Over the past three games, Butler has made only 19 field goals and is coming off a dismal 5-for-21 effort in Game 6. Adebayo, on the other hand, hasn’t scored more than 16 points since Game 2. If the Celtics can keep up their smothering defense on these two key players, Miami’s offense could be in for a rough night.

History is also on the side of the under bet in this pivotal matchup. Earlier in the playoffs, we saw the under hit in two Game 7 battles – the Celtics vs. 76ers and the Warriors vs. Kings. In high-stakes Game 7 situations like these, teams buckle down on defense, making the under a profitable bet in the NBA playoff series.

Celtics vs. Heat Picks

With both teams bringing their defensive prowess to the forefront in this do-or-die Game 7, the under 203.5 total points bet is a solid choice for those looking to get in on the action. The Celtics’ recent defensive improvements, combined with the historical trends, make this bet an attractive option for anyone looking to place a wager on this must-watch game.

As for the spread, we are leaning toward the Miami Heat +7.5 in what should be a tight, low-scoring game. Boston should win a close one on Monday night.

Spread Pick: Miami Heat +7.5 | -110 at Bet365

Total Pick: Under 203.5 | -110 at Bet365