The Boston Celtics are down 3-1 in the series, but they’ll face the Miami Heat at home for Game 5 on Thursday, May 25.
Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 pm ET while airing on TNT. The Celtics enter this game as 7.5-point favorites with the total set at 215.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Celtics vs. Heat predictions, odds, and picks below.
Celtics vs. Heat Odds
- Spread: Celtics -7.5
- Total: 215.5
Odds via Bet365. If you are new to Bet365, click our exclusive promo link below to Bet $1 to Win $200.
- Date: Thursday, May 25
- Time: 8:30 pm ET
- Location: TD Garden – Boston, MA
- TV: TNT
Our top NBA props. Everyday. Matt LaMarca runs through his Best NBA Player Props Today for this playoff game.
Celtics Betting Trends
- Celtics are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Over is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 games following a ATS win.
Heat Betting Trends
- Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
- Over is 10-1 in Heat last 11 road games.
Celtics vs. Heat Predictions
Looking back at the series, every game has exceeded the total except Game 4. The total for that one was 216.5, and the 116-99 final score finished just 1.5 points shy of that. While it was a close call, it’s worth noting that the over is 6-1 in the Celtics’ last seven games following an ATS win.
On the other side of the court, the Miami Heat have been lighting it up on the road. They’ve gone over the total in 10 of their last 11 road games, proving that they’re not afraid to bring the heat (pun intended) when they’re away from home. Furthermore, the Heat have gone over the total in 11-of-15 playoff games and 66.7% of the time as a road underdog this season. This is a testament to their consistency and ability to keep up with high-scoring opponents.
The Celtics, on the other hand, are no slouches when it comes to scoring. They’ve gone over 61.2% of the time at home on the season, making their home court a hotspot for action-packed games. With the series hanging in the balance and the Celtics fighting for survival, it’s only natural to expect an all-out offensive showdown.
Celtics vs. Heat Picks
But let’s not forget the key players who have been making waves in this series. Jayson Tatum has been an absolute beast for the Celtics, dropping 33 points and grabbing 11 rebounds in Game 4. His performance, along with the rest of the Celtics’ starters scoring in double figures, was instrumental in their victory. If Tatum and his teammates can continue this hot streak, there’s no doubt that the Celtics will keep racking up points.
As for the Miami Heat, their Game 4 loss can be attributed to costly turnovers and their inability to stop the Celtics from draining three-pointers. With 16 turnovers in the game, the Heat will need to tighten up their ball control if they want to have a shot at winning Game 5. However, given their track record in the playoffs, it’s not unreasonable to expect them to bounce back and keep this game competitive.
With both teams evenly matched and having a history of high-scoring games, it’s no surprise that the over 215.5 is an attractive play for Game 5. As the Celtics fight for their playoff lives and the Heat look to secure a spot in the Finals, this game promises to be a thrilling, high-stakes battle that goes over the listed total.
The Pick: Over 215.5 total points | -110 at Bet365