Alabama vs. Florida Picks and Predictions – Tuesday, Mar. 05

Feb 28, 2024; Gainesville, Florida, USA; Florida Gators guard Walter Clayton Jr. (1) grabs a rebound over Missouri Tigers guard Tamar Bates (2) during the first half at Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O'Connell Center.
Image Credit: Matt Pendleton-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Florida Gators prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Alabama Crimson Tide hit the road to face the Florida Gators.

The Alabama Crimson Tide (20-9) are set to face off against the Florida Gators (20-9) in a high-stakes SEC showdown. With both teams boasting identical records and fighting for conference positioning, this matchup at the Exactech Arena is primed to be a thriller.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Florida Gators Odds Info

Moneyline: Alabama Crimson Tide +105 (Bet365) / Florida Gators -122 (BetPARX)

Spread: -1.5 – Alabama Crimson Tide -105 (DraftKings) / Florida Gators -110 (BetMGM)

Total: 176 – -110 (Ceasars) / -110 (Ceasars)

Game Info

Date: Tuesday, Mar. 05

Time: 07:00 PM

Location: Exactech Arena at the Stephen C. O’Connell Center – Gainesville, FL


Alabama Crimson Tide Betting Trends

  • On the road, Alabama Crimson Tide are 5 and 4 this season.
  • Against the spread this season, Alabama Crimson Tide are 17 and 11.
  • Against the spread on the road, Alabama Crimson Tide are 5 and 7.

Florida Gators Betting Trends

  • At home, Florida Gators are 13 and 1 this season.
  • Against the spread this season, Florida Gators are 14 and 15.
  • Against the spread at home, Florida Gators are 7 and 11.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Florida Gators Predictions

The Alabama Crimson Tide, coming off a narrow loss, are looking to regain their footing as they travel to take on the Florida Gators. Alabama, known for their high-octane offense, leads the nation with an average of 90.9 points per game, largely thanks to the stellar play of guard Mark Sears, who is averaging 20.7 points per game. The Crimson Tide’s ability to convert from beyond the arc, with a 37.5% three-point shooting percentage, will be crucial in this contest.

Florida, on the other hand, has been dominant at home with a 13-1 record at the Exactech Arena. The Gators’ success has been fueled by guard Walter Clayton Jr., who leads the team with an average of 16.9 points per game, and forward Tyrese Samuel, who dominates the boards with 7.8 rebounds per game. Florida’s 7th-ranked rebounding (43.3 per game) could play a significant role in controlling the pace and limiting Alabama’s second-chance opportunities.

This game not only features a clash of offensive firepower but also presents a battle of contrasting styles. Alabama’s fast-paced, perimeter-oriented attack will test Florida’s interior strength and rebounding prowess. With both teams on a 20-win plateau and looking to improve their seeding for the upcoming conference tournament, expect a fiercely competitive game with strategic adjustments playing a key role in the outcome.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Florida Gators Pick

Considering the total line is set at a lofty 176 points, the under is an appealing pick for this SEC showdown. While Alabama boasts the nation’s second-highest scoring offense, they are facing a Florida team that has shown defensive resilience at home, allowing an average of just 68.4 points over their last five home games. Furthermore, the Gators’ ability to control the boards and slow down the pace could limit Alabama’s fast-break opportunities and overall shot volume, which is critical to their scoring output. Additionally, Florida’s less-than-stellar three-point shooting percentage (33.9%) might hinder their ability to keep up in a potential shootout, further supporting the under pick.

Historically, the head-to-head matchups have trended towards high-scoring affairs, with the over hitting in the last five encounters. However, this game presents a different scenario with Florida’s home-court advantage and their emphasis on defense and rebounding. The Gators’ strategy will likely involve dictating a slower tempo, focusing on high-percentage shots, and limiting Alabama’s transition game. Given these factors, along with the pressure of conference standings on the line, a more methodical and defensively focused game is anticipated, making the under the more convincing choice for this matchup.

The Pick: Under 176 -110 (Ceasars)