Kraken vs. Maple Leafs Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Thursday, Nov. 30

Oct 21, 2023; Seattle, Washington, USA; Seattle Kraken defenseman Vince Dunn (29) plays the puck during the first period against the New York Rangers at Climate Pledge Arena.
Image Credit: Steven Bisig-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Seattle Kraken vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Seattle Kraken hit the road to face the Toronto Maple Leafs.

The Toronto Maple Leafs (11-6-3) are set to host the Seattle Kraken (8-10-5) in a cross-conference clash at Scotiabank Arena. As the Leafs aim to build on their recent home victory, the Kraken are looking to snap a two-game losing streak and regain their footing on the road.

Seattle Kraken vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Odds Info

Moneyline: Seattle Kraken +150 (FanDuel) / Toronto Maple Leafs -182 (FanDuel)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Seattle Kraken -155 (DraftKings) / Toronto Maple Leafs +133 (BetRivers)

Total: 6.5 – +100 (BetMGM) / -110 (FanDuel)

Game Info

Date: Thursday, Nov. 30

Time: 07:00 PM

Location: Scotiabank Arena – Toronto, ON

TV: ESPN+

Seattle Kraken Betting Trends

  • This season, the Seattle Kraken have hit 13 overs and 10 unders.
  • On the road this season, the Seattle Kraken have hit 7 overs and 5 unders.
  • As the underdog this season, the Seattle Kraken have hit 6 overs and 10 unders.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  • This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 10 overs and 10 unders.
  • At home this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 7 overs and 3 unders.
  • As the favorite this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 9 overs and 10 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last three seasons, the Seattle Kraken and the Toronto Maple Leafs have faced off four times, with the Maple Leafs emerging victorious in three of those encounters. The visiting team has had the upper hand in this matchup, claiming three wins compared to just one for the home side. When it comes to betting statistics, Toronto has covered the spread in three games, while Seattle has done so once. The total score has equally split bettors, with the over hitting twice and the under also occurring twice. In terms of game dynamics, the Maple Leafs have shown a strong offensive presence, outscoring the Kraken with a cumulative score of 18-12 across all four games. The Maple Leafs have also been more disciplined, taking fewer penalties in three out of the four games, which may have contributed to their success. Additionally, Toronto has been more effective in faceoffs, winning a majority in three games, which could have given them better control over the game flow.

The most recent game between the two teams took place on February 26, 2023, where the Toronto Maple Leafs defeated the Seattle Kraken with a decisive 5-1 victory. The Maple Leafs, who were the visitors and favorites with a closing moneyline of -152, dominated the game from the first period, overcoming an early goal by Vince Dunn of the Kraken. Toronto’s Mark Giordano, John Tavares, and Timothy Liljegren quickly responded with goals to end the first period with a 3-1 lead. Auston Matthews extended the lead in the second period and added another in the third, totaling two goals for the game. The Maple Leafs’ offensive strength was on full display, with Matthews leading the charge and support from Mitchell Marner and Michael Bunting, who each tallied multiple assists. The Kraken, on the other hand, struggled offensively, managing only one goal throughout the game and failing to capitalize on their power play opportunities. Toronto’s goaltender, Ilya Samsonov, had an impressive save percentage of 0.963, stopping 26 out of 27 shots, which was instrumental in securing the win for his team.

Seattle Kraken vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions

The upcoming game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Seattle Kraken promises to be an intriguing encounter, with both teams coming off contrasting fortunes in their recent outings. The Maple Leafs, who have been finding their rhythm at home, are coming off a nail-biting shootout victory against the Florida Panthers. With a potent offense led by William Nylander, who tops the team with 27 points, and Auston Matthews, the current goal leader with 14, the Leafs are a formidable force on their home ice. Toronto’s power play, although not drawing many penalties, remains a threat that the Kraken must be wary of.

On the other side, the Seattle Kraken are looking to bounce back after a disappointing loss to the Chicago Blackhawks. The Kraken’s power play has been a point of concern, failing to score in their last five chances, and will be a key area for improvement if they hope to challenge the Leafs. Seattle’s penalty kill, however, has been perfect in the last three games, which could be pivotal against Toronto’s attack. The Kraken will rely on the offensive contributions of Jared McCann and Oliver Bjorkstrand, their leading scorers, to penetrate the Leafs’ defense.

Defensively, both teams have had their struggles, but the Leafs have shown more consistency in recent games. The Kraken’s puck play has been sloppy, leading to turnovers and scoring chances for their opponents, an issue they’ll need to address before facing the quick and high-quality attack of the Leafs. This game could come down to which team capitalizes on their power play opportunities and manages to maintain discipline, avoiding costly penalties. With both teams eager to secure a win, key player matchups like Nylander against Kraken’s top defenseman Vince Dunn could be where the game is decided.

Seattle Kraken vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Pick

The decision to pick ‘Over’ for the upcoming game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Seattle Kraken is influenced by several factors that suggest a high-scoring affair. Firstly, the Maple Leafs’ offense, led by Nylander and Matthews, has been consistently strong, especially at home where they have hit 7 overs in 10 games. The Kraken’s recent games have also trended towards high scoring, with 13 overs hit this season and a perfect 7 overs in their last seven road games. Additionally, the historic head-to-head data indicates that the over has hit in half of the previous encounters, with the Maple Leafs outscoring the Kraken 18-12 across all four games, showcasing their offensive prowess.

Despite the Kraken’s power play struggles, they have been creating a high volume and quality of shots, which could translate into goals against the Leafs. Moreover, the Leafs’ power play, while not drawing many penalties, is still potent and could exploit the Kraken’s penalty kill that has been perfect in the last three games. Given these trends and the offensive capabilities of both teams, the ‘Over’ pick seems justified as we can expect both teams to push offensively and potentially capitalize on power play opportunities, leading to a game that surpasses the total line of 6.5 goals.

The Pick: Over 6.5 -110 (FanDuel)

Seattle Kraken vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Seattle Kraken

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Vince Dunn Assists 0.5 7/10 +105 -135 0.8 0.80
Vince Dunn Points 0.5 7/10 -120 -110 0.9 0.85
Vince Dunn Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -175 +135 2.1 2.09

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
William Nylander Shots On Goal 3.5 7/10 -150 +120 4.2 4.06