Here we go with our best college football bets for conference championship week of the NCAAF season, which will take place on Friday, December 1 and Saturday, December 2.
Our Props.com analysts were asked to list their top two NCAAF picks for the weekend. You can view each writer’s overall record in the section towards the bottom of this article.
Also, don’t forget to check out our College Football Parlay Picks article for conference championship week, as some of these picks are also used in that article.
Best College Football Bets: Conference Championship Week
These best college football bets were compiled earlier in the week, so there’s a chance the lines have shifted since publishing this article.
Michigan -22.5 (-105)
Analyst: Justin Bales
Michigan and Iowa have been nearly identical against the spread (ATS) this season. They both bring a 6-5-1 ATS record into this game. The only small difference is that Michigan is beating the spread by an average of 3.3 points and Iowa is beating it by only 1.2 points.
There is a massive talent gap between Michigan and Iowa, and it’s a bit sad that Iowa is even in this game. The Big Ten is broken down poorly, but it gives us a spot to attack in terms of betting.
Iowa boasts the best defense in the NCAA this season. They’re allowing a country-low 0.171 points per play in 2023. Ohio State and Penn State also rank in the top-5 of the NCAA in that category, and Michigan posted 24 and 30 points against them.
The biggest key here is that there’s very little reason to believe Iowa is going to find success against this defense. Michigan is allowing only 0.176 points per play in 2023, which ranks third in the NCAA.
Iowa doesn’t have an offense that is going to be able to score in this game. Ultimately, I’d expect 30 points to get the job done for Michigan here. Truthfully, this is a spot where 23 points could give us the win against the spread.
I wouldn’t quite bet on that, but I do believe Michigan is better than Iowa basically everywhere.
Where to Bet: Michigan -22.5 | -105 at FanDuel Sportsbook
Georgia -5.5 (-108)
Analyst: Justin Bales
This is an extremely interesting game in terms of the spread. Georgia’s been overrated the majority of the season, posting a 4-7-1 ATS record. Alabama’s found drastically more success, entering this game with an 8-4 ATS record.
Georgia’s struggled against the spread because of wide lines, though. They’ve been less than a two-touchdown favorite in only two games this season. The Bulldogs won those games by an average of 31.5 points per game.
Georgia’s less than a touchdown favorite against Alabama this week. That wouldn’t be the case if it weren’t for a 31-yard touchdown with 30 seconds left in their last game. If Alabama loses to Auburn last week, Georgia is likely a 7-point or larger favorite.
I believe Georgia is the best team in the country once again, and they have a chance to go undefeated this season. They’ll lock up a top-two seed in the College Football Playoffs with a win, and this is a spot where they can completely knock out an SEC rival from the conversation.
Where to Bet: Georgia -5.5 | -108 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Oregon -9.5 (-110)
Analyst: John Supowitz
This game has a lot on the line, and the winner will likely punch a ticket to the CFB Playoffs. Washington is the higher-ranked team, with the better record, but Oregon has been much better since the last time they faced each other. Washington has played too many close games against some of the under-performing teams of the Pac-12; six of their last eight wins have been by one score, and three of those teams have been under .500.
Oregon has not had that problem; seven of their eight wins have been by two possessions, over 20 in two, over 30 in three, over 40 in two, and one by 68. The Ducks also benefit with playing on neutral site, there is a reason why they are the favorite.
Where to bet: Oregon -9.5 | -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Michigan -22 (-108)
Analyst: John Supowitz
This is a highlighted game, but not for competitive reasons. Michigan is coming in as one of the best overall teams in the nation with the top scoring defense and 13th-best offense, including quarterback J.J. McCarthy, who is a Heisman favorite.
This is a team that has dominated their below-average opponents and still able to find way ways to beat their equals. The last time Iowa faced Michigan in the Big Ten Championship, they were embarrassed 42-3.
You could even believe that the offense is even worse now at 121st out of 130 in points scored per game. The question isn’t if Michigan can cover, but will Iowa even get a point?
Where to bet: Michigan -22 | -108 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Best College Football Bets: Results
- Justin Bales: 13-13
- John Supowitz: 12-14
More College Football Bets & Props
Props.com has plenty of NCAAF picks and predictions for Week 6, including the following: