Buccaneers vs. Lions Predictions, Odds & Player Props – Week 6

Oct 1, 2023; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield (6) warms up before a game against the New Orleans Saints at Caesars Superdome.
Image Credit: Matthew Hinton-USA TODAY Sports

The Buccaneers are all set to face off against the Detroit Lions on Sunday, Oct 15. This week 6 game is slated to kick off at 4:25 ET and will be shown on FOX. Detroit enters this contest as 3-point favorites, and the over/under total stands at 42.5. Can the Lions come out on top as the favorite? Our Buccaneers vs. Lions predictions await you below.

Buccaneers vs. Lions Odds

  • Spread: Lions -3
  • Total 42.5

Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Oct 15
  • Time: 4:25 ET
  • Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa Bay FL
  • TV: FOX

Lions Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Lions have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last road games and 4-1 straight-up.
  • Detroit has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.

Buccaneers Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Buccaneers have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last three home contests, Tampa Bay has been good against the spread, posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 21 points per game.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Buccaneers have a straight-up record of 5-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.

Will Detroit Be The Talk of Raymond James Stadium?

Heading into week 6, the Lions are 1st in the NFC-North on a record of 4-1. When comparing their mark to other teams in the NFC, they are 3rd. So far, they have gone 2-0 on the road and 2-1 at home. This season, the Lions find themselves above .500 versus the spread with a record of 4-1. Their average scoring margin for this season stands at +8.2.

Most recently, the Lions faced off against the Panthers at home. This game ended in a 42-24 win for Detroit. The Lions covered the spread, as they were favored by 9 against the Panthers. The game’s over/under line was 43.5 points, leading to the over hitting with a combined 66 points.

Facing the Panthers, the Lions rushed the ball 30 times, with David Montgomery leading the team with 109 yards. Jared Goff attempted 28 passes, accumulating 236 yards and a passer rating of 132.

The Lions are 7th in the league in terms of yards allowed, giving up 292.8 yards per contest. Detroit’s defense comes in with an average of 21.4 points per game allowed, which is 14th in the NFL.

Do the Buccaneers Have What it Takes to Win as Home Underdogs?

Entering week 6, Tampa Bay is positioned 1st in the NFC-South with a 3-1 record. In the NFC, they are currently in 4th place. With a scoring margin of +4, the Buccaneers’ have achieved an ATS record of 3-1 so far.

The last time Tampa Bay played, the Buccaneers beat the Saints with a final score of 26-9. Going into the game, the Buccaneers were actually 4.5-point underdogs. This resulted in an ATS win for the Buccaneers. The over/under line for their most recent game against New Orleans was 40.5. Finishing with a combined total of 35 points, the under hit in this matchup.

On offense, the Buccaneers finished with 353 yards against the Saints. When it came to third downs, the Buccaneers had a 53.3% conversion rate. Leading the ground game was Rachaad White with 56 yards, and Baker Mayfield contributed 246 passing yards.

On the defensive side of the ball, the Buccaneers give up an average of 223.8 passing yards and 94.8 rushing yards per game. Looking at their sack numbers, Tampa Bay is currently ranked 8th in the league. So far, they are giving up 17 points per game and 318.5 yards.

Buccaneers vs. Lions Player Prop

For this week 6 matchup, Rachaad White has a rushing yards prop set at 45.5.

White faces the Lions as the 15th-ranked running back in rushing attempts for the season, amassing 206 yards. Coming into the game, his average yards per carry stands at 3. White is facing the league’s 3rd ranked rush defense, which makes me inclined to take the under on his prop of 45.5 rushing yards.

The Prop: Rachaad White Under 45.5 Rushing Yards (-121)

Buccaneers vs. Lions Predictions

Detroit initially opened as 2.5 point favorites on the road. The lines have shifted in their favor, now standing at -3.

The Bucs haven’t really impressed me this season. The Minnesota Vikings and Chicago Bears basically gift-wrapped them a pair of wins to start the season. Then they beat up on a New Orleans Saints team with an injured quarterback who couldn’t throw the ball more than 15 yards.

Now, Tampa will go up against a legitimate Detroit team that should control this game, pull out the road win, and cover the spread.

The Pick: Lions -3 | -106 at Fanduel Sportsbook

More NFL Props & Predictions 

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