The Atlanta Braves (104-58, first in the NL East during the regular season) are set to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (90-72, second in the NL East during the regular season) in a crucial Game 4 of the NLDS.
The Braves are coming off a heavy 10-2 defeat in Game 3, while the Phillies are riding high on a victory that puts them one win away from clinching the series.
How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Braves at Phillies predictions, odds, and player props below.
Braves at Phillies Odds
- Moneyline: Braves -148 (DraftKings) / Phillies +130 (FanDuel)
- Total: 8
Game Info
- Date: Thursday, Oct. 12
- Time: 8:07 PM ET
- Location: Citizens Bank Park – Philadelphia, PA
- TV: TBS
Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Braves have won 7 of their last 10 games. As the favorite, the Braves have a record of 96 wins and 50 losses this season. The Braves are 3-2 ATS in their last 5 games.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Phillies have also won 7 of their last 10 games. At home, the Phillies have a record of 49 wins and 32 losses. The Phillies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
Braves at Phillies Preview For NLDS Game 4
The Braves’ starting pitcher, Spencer Strider, has had a solid season with a win-loss record of 20-5 and an ERA of 3.86. He has started 32 games this season, with the Braves winning 26 of those. His right-handed pitching will be crucial against the Phillies’ lineup, which has a mixed record against right-handed pitchers.
On the other hand, the Phillies’ starting pitcher, Ranger Suarez, has had a challenging season with a win-loss record of 4-6 and an ERA of 4.18. He has started 22 games this season, with the Phillies winning 13 of those. His left-handed pitching will be tested against the Braves lineup, which has performed well against left-handed pitchers.
The Braves’ offense has been dominant this season, leading the league in hits (1543) and runs (947). Their batting average of .276 is also the best in the league. Ronald Acuna Jr. has been a standout performer with a batting average of .337, 41 home runs, and 73 steals. Matt Olson has also been impressive with 54 home runs and 139 runs batted in.
The Phillies’ offense, while not as dominant as the Braves, has been solid with 1417 hits (9th in the league) and 796 runs (8th in the league). Their batting average of .256 ranks 9th in the league. Bryce Harper has been their best batter with a .293 average and 21 home runs, while Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 47 home runs.
Braves at Phillies Player Props
Austin Riley Over 1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Riley has been a standout hitter for Atlanta, especially in this series and the last few games of the regular season. He has exceeded 1.5 total bases in four of his last five games.
Furthermore, Riley boasts impressive career statistics against Philadelphia’s starting pitcher, Ranger Suarez, going 6-of-15, which includes three extra-base hits and a home run.
In terms of betting odds, Bet365 offers a generous +135 odds to the over for this prop, while FanDuel provides odds at only +100.
Where to bet: Austin Riley over 1.5 total bases | +135 at Bet365
Braves at Phillies Predictions
Given the Braves’ superior offensive performance this season and their strong record as the favorite, they are the pick for this game. Their starting pitcher, Spencer Strider, has a better win-loss record and ERA than his counterpart, which gives the Braves an edge in the pitching department.
Additionally, the Braves’ strong performance against left-handed pitchers will be a key factor against Ranger Suarez.
The Pick: Braves -148 (DraftKings)