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Marlins vs. Phillies Predictions – Wild Card Game 1 (Tuesday 10/3)

Bryce Harper #3 of the Philadelphia Phillies reacts after striking out against Spencer Strider #65 of the Atlanta Braves during the second inning in game three of the National League Division Series at Citizens Bank Park on October 14, 2022 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Image Credit: Patrick Smith/Getty Images

The Philadelphia Phillies (90-72) are set to host the Miami Marlins (84-77) in a thrilling Wild Card Series showdown.

How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Marlins vs. Phillies predictions, odds, and picks below.

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

  • Moneyline: Philadelphia Phillies -155 (Bet365) / Miami Marlins +140 (BetMGM)
  • Total: 7.5

Game Info

  • Date: Tuesday, Oct. 3
  • Time: 8:08 PM ET
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park – Philadelphia, PA
  • TV: ESPN

Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins are 2-3 ATS in their last 5 games. They have 40 wins and 46 losses this season as the underdog.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. They have 66 wins and 42 losses this season as the favorite.

Marlins vs. Phillies Predictions

The stage is set for a pitching duel as the Phillies’ Zack Wheeler squares off against the Marlins’ Jesus Luzardo. Wheeler, with his 13-6 record and 3.61 ERA, has been a consistent force for the Phillies. His ability to control the game from the mound has been instrumental in the Phillies’ success this season.

However, Luzardo, the Marlins’ left-handed dynamo, is no pushover. With a 10-9 record and a 3.63 ERA, he’s been a consistent force for the Marlins. He’s been the rock in the storm, and he’s ready to bring the thunder to the Phillies’ lineup.

When it comes to offense, the Phillies have the upper hand. They’ve been lighting up the scoreboard all season, ranking 8th in the MLB with 796 runs. The Marlins, on the other hand, have been struggling to keep up, ranking a dismal 26th with 668 runs.

However, the Marlins have been a defensive powerhouse, boasting a lower ERA of 4.22 and fewer errors with 96. The Phillies, despite their offensive prowess, have been lagging behind with a 4.02 ERA and 92 errors.

Marlins vs. Phillies Picks

Given the pitching prowess on both sides and the contrasting strengths of the two teams, this game is likely to be a low-scoring affair. The Phillies’ offensive firepower will be tested against the Marlins’ solid defense, and the Marlins’ struggling offense will face a tough challenge against the Phillies’ pitching.

Therefore, the under on the total seems to be the best bet here. Expect a tightly contested game where every run counts, and every pitch matters.

The Pick: Under 7.5 total runs | -108 at FanDuel Sportsbook