Props Staff

Chargers vs. Dolphins Predictions, Odds & Player Props – Week 1

Aug 26, 2023; Jacksonville, Florida, USA; Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (1) drops back to pass against the Jacksonville Jaguars in the first quarter at EverBank Stadium.
Image Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

The Chargers are set to face the Miami Dolphins on Sunday, Sep 10. The game is scheduled for 4:25 ET while airing on CBS. Los Angeles enters this game as 3-point favorites with the total set at 50.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Chargers vs Dolphins predictions below.

Chargers VS. Dolphins Odds

  • Spread: Chargers -3
  • Total 50.5

Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Sep 10
  • Time: 4:25 ET
  • Location: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood CA
  • TV: CBS

Dolphins Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Dolphins have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Miami has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 23 per game. The team went 0-5 overall in these games.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Dolphins have a straight-up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 3-0.

Chargers Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Chargers have an over/under record of 2-2-1 and are 3-1-1 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Chargers offense has averaged 24 points per game while allowing an average of 23. Los Angeles posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 2-3 ATS.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Chargers have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 5-4-1.

Will Miami Find a Way to Win on the Road?

The Dolphins finished with a 9-8 record last season and finished with a Wild-Card round loss to the Bills (34-31). Their road record last year was 3-7, while they held a 6-2 record at home. In the AFC-East, the Dolphins finished 2nd, on a 3-4 record in games within their division.

On offense, the Dolphins finished the 2022 season 11th in scoring at 23.8 points per game. Miami ranked 27th in rushing yards, with an average of 96.0 yards per contest. In terms of overall yardage, the Dolphins were 8th (357.1) and had a red-zone conversion rate of 18.0%, putting them 19th in the NFL.

Last season, the Dolphins’ defense was 14th in turnovers, having forced 14 takeaways. At season’s end, they had a turnover differential of -7 which put them 16th in the league. Overall, they allowed an average of 24.1 points per game (23rd) and 342.6 yards.

Are Los Angeles Ready for a Home Win?

Recapping last season, the Chargers wrapped up with a 10-7 record and finished with Wild-Card round defeat to the Jaguars (31-30). Their road record last year was 5-5, while they held a 5-3 record at home. In the AFC-West, the Chargers finished 2nd, going 2-4 record in games within their division.

Los Angeles is coming off a season where they ranked 12th in points per game, on an average of 23.4 points per contest. In terms of offensive efficiency, they averaged 5.3 yards per play, which placed them 20th in the NFL. On the ground, the Chargers averaged 23.7 rushing attempts per contest, which was 27th in the NFL. Additionally, they finished 3rd in passing yards.

Defensively, the Chargers wrapped up last season at 20th in yards allowed. Overall, they allowed 23.1 points per game (22nd). When examining their pass rush, Los Angeles finished 4th in quarterback hits and ranked 9th in sacks.

Chargers vs. Dolphins Player Prop

Hill has set ambitious goals for himself this season, claiming throughout the offseason that he aims to accumulate 2,000 or more receiving yards. To achieve this, he would need to average 118 yards per game. While it’s uncertain if he’ll reach this lofty target, a strong start to the season is crucial.

Last year, Hill kicked off the season with impressive performances, posting 94 and 190 yards in his first two games.

This week, Hill faces the Los Angeles Chargers, a matchup with both pros and cons. In their previous encounter, Hill had a lackluster efficiency, securing only 4 receptions from 10 targets. However, he still managed to rack up 81 yards. There’s been offseason chatter about this being a redemption game for Hill.

The game environment is expected to be electric, which is particularly beneficial for the Dolphins and Hill.

Where to Bet: Tyreek Hill over 81.5 receiving yards | -110 at Bet365

Chargers VS. Dolphins Predictions

One trend working in the Dolphins’ favor in this matchup is the fact that road underdogs covered the spread at a rate of 54.8% last season. Look for the Dolphins to cover the spread in this week one matchup vs. the Chargers.

The Pick: Dolphins +3 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook

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