The Ravens are favored on the road against the Saints. The spread is modest, though. So, it should be a competitive affair. The Saints are coming off an impressive win, and Baltimore must overcome a pair of critical injuries on their offense. So, where should gamblers invest their money in this contest?
Saints vs. Ravens Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ravens | -1.5 (-110) | -130 | O 46.5 (-110) |
| @ Saints | +1.5 (-110) | +110 | U 46.5 (-110) |
Odds via BetMGM as of 1 a.m. ET on Nov. 7. Don’t have an account? Check out our BetMGM Sportsbook Review to find out how to grab up to a $1,000 risk-free bet.
Game Info
- Date: Monday, Nov. 7
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Location: Superdome — New Orleans, LA
- TV: ESPN
Saints vs. Ravens Trends
- The Ravens opened on Sunday (10/30) as 3-point favorites, and the line has slowly slipped to its present 1.5 points.
- The Saints are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games after allowing less than 150 passing yards in their previous game.
- New Orleans is 6-2 against the spread in their last eight games following a straight-up win by more than 14 points.
- The Saints are 3-9 against the spread in their last 12 games following an against-the-spread win.
- The Ravens are 2-5 against the spread in their last seven Monday games.
- Baltimore is 1-3-1 against the spread in their last five games.
- The Ravens are 1-3-1 against the spread in their last five games after amassing more than 150 rushing yards in the previous game.
- Baltimore is 2-6 against the spread versus a team with a losing record.
The Saints Are Solid If Unspectacular
The Saints won’t knock anyone’s socks off. They’re 3-5 this year and 2-3 in Andy Dalton’s five starts. New Orleans’ offense scored points under Dalton’s leadership, scoring 25, 39, 26, 34, and 24 in his starts. Further, they’ve scored 39, 34, and 24 points in the three games Dalton started in which Alvin Kamara and Chris Olave played.
The defense has left much to be desired. Nonetheless, they pitched a shutout at home against the Raiders last week. In addition, per Football Outsiders, the Saints are 12th in total defense Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA), 11th in pass defense DVOA, and 12th in rush defense DVOA.
While the Saints have a losing record in Dalton’s starts, they’ve outscored the opposition by 16 points. They’ve also gone 2-1 in Dalton’s starts in New Orleans this year, getting outscored by only four points in the loss to the Bengals in Week 6.
Can the Ravens Overcome Integral Injuries?
The Ravens are 5-3 and lead the AFC North. Unfortunately, they might find it challenging to generate offense this week consistently. Rashod Bateman is out for the rest of the year, and Mark Andrews is out this week. Gus Edwards is doubtful. So, it’s Lamar Jackson and a collection of underwhelming skill-position players.
Jackson can make spectacular plays with his arm and legs, but he’s being asked to make chicken salad out of unsavory non-chicken products. Andrews left last week’s game early. So, we don’t have any games to examine without the stud tight end this year. However, Bateman missed games in Week 5 and Week 6 and exited last week’s game early enough to add to the mix.
According to Pro Football Focus (PFF), Jackson was graded 31st as a passer out of 42 with at least 10 dropbacks during that three-game stretch. Jackson completed 63 of 102 passes for 622 yards, four touchdowns, and two interceptions. Additionally, PFF credited Jackson with four turnover-worthy plays.
With all due respect to Devin Duvernay and Isaiah Likely, they aren’t a fearsome duo headlining a passing attack. Therefore, the Ravens might need their defense to do some heavy lifting. Unfortunately, Baltimore’s defense is just 17th in total defense DVOA. And, according to Pro-Football-Reference, the Ravens are 20th in yards allowed per play (5.7) and tied for 19th in scoring defense (22.9 points per game).
Saints vs. Ravens Predictions
I underestimated the impact of Ja’Marr Chase’s absence from the Bengals when making my pick last week. I won’t make the same mistake this week. The Ravens, like the Bengals, are road underdogs without a stud pass-catcher (Andrews). And Bateman’s absence is troubling, too.
As a result, Jackson might crumble under the immense burden of carrying the entire load. Moreover, Baltimore’s defense is slightly below average, making it unlikely they put the team on their back for a road victory against an average opponent. The Saints aren’t world-beaters, but they’re decent and destroyed the Raiders last week. So, I’ll take the plus money on the moneyline to bet the home underdog.
Pick: Saints Moneyline | +110 at BetMGM Sportsbook