The Mavericks and Indiana Pacers will matchup on Tuesday, Mar 5. Tip-off for the game is 8:30 ET and will be shown on BSSW. Dallas is favored by 4.5 points in this game, and the total is 245.5. Who do we think will come out on top? Keep reading for our top Mavericks vs. Pacers predictions.
Mavericks vs. Pacers Odds
- Spread: Mavericks -4.5
- Total 245.5
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Game Info
- Date: Tuesday, Mar 5
- Time: 8:30 ET
- Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas TX
- TV: BSSW
Pacers Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Pacers have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Across the Pacers last ten road games, the team averaged 113 points per game while allowing 116. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 3-6-1, while going 3-7 straight-up.
- Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Pacers have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
Mavericks Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Across their last three home contests, Dallas has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 121 points per game.
- As the betting favorite, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 3-2.
Are the Pacers Ready for a Road Win?
The Pacers have gone 33-29 on the over/under this season, and the under has hit in three straight games. Today’s O/U line of 245.5 is just above their season average of 243.5.
Indiana’s ATS record for the season is 32-28, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last two games. On the road, they are 15-14 vs. the spread and have an average scoring differential of -3.1 points per game.
The Pacers are currently 8th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 34-28. In their last game, they lost to the Spurs by a score of 117-105. Indiana was favored by 6.5 points going into the game, and they are 16-16 as the underdog this season.
This year, the average scoring total in Pacers games is 245.3 points per game, just below today’s O/U line. The team’s O/U record for the season is 33-29.
When it comes to scoring, the Pacers are the top-ranked team in the NBA at 123.3 points per game. They have been just as potent on the road, averaging 120 points per contest.
Indiana has been the best shooting team in the league this season, hitting 50% of their shots. They are also the top team in two-point shooting at 58%.
Despite their impressive scoring numbers, the Pacers have only attempted the 12th most three-pointers in the NBA. Overall, they have hit 37% of their shots from beyond the arc.
So far, the Pacers’ defense is ranked 28th in the league at 122.0 points per contest. The Pacers defense is coming off a game in which they held the Spurs offense to just 44.1% shooting. Overall, they gave up 117 points to San Antonio.
Can Dallas Pull Off a Home Win?
Today, the Mavericks are favored by 4.5 points at home against the Pacers. This season, Dallas has been favored in 35 of their 61 games and has a record of 25-10 in those games. As the favorite, they are 21-14 against the spread.
In Western Conference play, the Mavericks are 21-18, which has them in 8th place. Against the East, they are 13-9 compared to 21-18 vs. the West.
Dallas is coming off a 120-116 loss to the 76ers, where they were favored by 7.5 points. The O/U line for that game was 237.5, and the teams combined for 236 points.
This season, the Mavericks have an O/U record of 31-30, and 52 of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s line of 245.5. On average, their games have finished with 236.7 points.
The Mavericks are currently 2nd in the Southwest Division with a record of 34-27. At home, they are 18-14 and have an average scoring differential of +3.8 points per game. Their ATS record at home is 14-18.
At home, the Mavericks are averaging 120.3 points per game (8th) compared to 116.9 on the road (9th). Overall, they are 6th in the league at 118.7 points per game. They have outscored the NBA scoring average in 59.0% of their games.
Dallas is 13th in field goal percentage (48%) and 9th in true shooting percentage. They are 12th in pace at 99.7 possessions per game. In terms of two-point shooting, they are 7th in the league at 56%.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Mavericks are 3rd in made threes per game (15) and 2nd in attempts. They have made 37% of their threes this season (11th).
At this time, the Mavericks’ defense is positioned 24th in the NBA, permitting 118.0 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Mavericks are forcing 12 per game, which is 7th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 24th in blocked shots at 4.6 per game.
Mavericks vs. Pacers Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Luka Doncic and his points prop of 34.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -111 while the under is at -123. In his matchup vs. the Mavericks, we are recommending to take the under on Luka Doncic and his prop of 34.5 points. Our player projection model has him falling short of his prop with a projected 34.
- The Prop: Luka Doncic Under 34.5 Points (-123)
Mavericks vs. Pacers Predictions
The Mavericks is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 120-115. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Mavericks at -4.5.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 245.5 and our model has the Pacers and Mavericks finishing with a combined 235 points. Our pick is to take the under.
The Pick: Mavericks -4.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook