Ottawa Senators vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Monday, Feb. 19

Nov 24 2023; Ottawa, Ontario, CAN; Ottawa Senators right wing Drake Batherson (19) shoots the puck in the third period againstthe New York Islanders at the Canadian Tire Centre.
Image Credot: Marc DesRosiers-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Ottawa Senators vs. Tampa Bay Lightning prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Ottawa Senators hit the road to face the Tampa Bay Lightning.

The Tampa Bay Lightning (30-21-5) are set to clash with the Ottawa Senators (22-27-2) in a matchup that pits resilience against resurgence at the Amalie Arena.

Ottawa Senators vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Odds Info

Moneyline: Ottawa Senators +140 (Bet365) / Tampa Bay Lightning -156 (FanDuel)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Ottawa Senators -160 (Bet365) / Tampa Bay Lightning +142 (DraftKings)

Total: 6.5 – +125 (PointsBet) / -150 (PointsBet)

Game Info

Date: Monday, Feb. 19

Time: 07:00 PM

Location: Amalie Arena – Tampa, FL

TV: ESPN+

Ottawa Senators Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Ottawa Senators have 7 wins and 14 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the Ottawa Senators have 9 wins and 19 losses.
  • This season, the Ottawa Senators have hit 31 overs and 20 unders.

Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 18 wins and 9 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 20 wins and 11 losses.
  • This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have hit 28 overs and 28 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the course of the last two seasons, the Ottawa Senators and Tampa Bay Lightning have faced off five times, with the Senators emerging victorious in three of those encounters while the Lightning claimed two wins. These matchups have been characterized by a strong home advantage, as the home team has secured four wins compared to just one for the visiting side. When it comes to betting statistics, Ottawa has consistently outperformed expectations, beating the spread in four out of the five games, whereas Tampa Bay has only managed to do so once. Notably, all five games have resulted in high-scoring affairs, with the total score surpassing the over-under line each time. The Senators have shown a robust offensive presence, particularly in even-strength situations, while the Lightning have demonstrated their strength in power play scenarios. The goaltending performances have varied, with save percentages fluctuating across games, but neither team has managed to secure a shutout in these encounters.

The most recent game between the two teams took place on November 4, 2023, and saw the Tampa Bay Lightning defeat the Ottawa Senators with a final score of 6-4. The Lightning, who were slight underdogs with a closing moneyline of -106, managed to overcome the odds and secure a win on the road. The game was a showcase of offensive talent, with both teams’ key players, such as Brady Tkachuk for Ottawa and Brayden Point for Tampa Bay, scoring two goals each. The Lightning’s power play unit was particularly effective, converting 33.3% of their opportunities, while the Senators had a power play percentage of 25.0%. The game continued the trend of high-scoring outcomes, with the total score of 10 comfortably exceeding the closing over-under of 6.5. Tampa Bay’s Jonas Johansson faced 28 shots and made 24 saves, resulting in a save percentage of 0.857, while Ottawa’s goaltenders faced a barrage of 37 shots, saving 31 for a save percentage of 0.838.

Ottawa Senators vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Predictions

The Tampa Bay Lightning are looking to bounce back from a recent loss and climb higher in the Eastern Conference standings. With a record of 30-21-5, they sit sixth in the conference and are coming off a tough defeat. The Lightning’s offense is spearheaded by the prolific Nikita Kucherov, who has amassed an impressive 94 points this season, and they’ll be relying on his continued production. Tampa Bay’s power play has been a significant asset, converting at a league-best rate of 30.2%, which could be a key factor in this game.

On the other side, the Ottawa Senators, with a record of 22-27-2, find themselves at the bottom of the Eastern Conference but have shown signs of promise in recent games. The Senators are led by their captain, Brady Tkachuk, who has been a consistent offensive threat with 25 goals to his name. Tim Stutzle has also been a standout, leading the team with 49 points. Ottawa’s recent improvement on the power play, converting three of their last 11 opportunities, suggests they could challenge the Lightning’s defense.

This game could come down to key player matchups and special teams performance. The Senators will need to contain Kucherov and the Lightning’s top scorers, while Tampa Bay must be wary of Ottawa’s top line, especially in power play situations. With both teams eager to claim a victory, this Eastern Conference battle is poised to be an exciting contest filled with strategic plays and standout performances from key players.

Ottawa Senators vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Pick

The Tampa Bay Lightning, despite their recent loss, have shown a strong ability to bounce back and dominate on home ice, boasting an 18-6-3 record at the Amalie Arena. With the Lightning’s top-tier power play unit and Nikita Kucherov’s exceptional scoring prowess, they have the offensive firepower to overcome the Senators’ defense. Additionally, the Lightning’s historical performance against the Senators, particularly at home, gives them an edge, as they have won the majority of their recent matchups in Tampa. Considering these factors, the Lightning’s moneyline bet offers a promising pick for this game.

While the Ottawa Senators have improved their play and have a potent power play unit of their own, the Lightning’s overall depth and experience in high-stakes games should prevail. The Senators’ road record this season has been less than stellar, and facing a determined Lightning squad aiming to solidify their playoff position presents a significant challenge. Given the odds, recent trends, and the Lightning’s resilience and home-ice advantage, placing a moneyline bet on Tampa Bay is the strategic choice for this Eastern Conference clash.

The Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -156. (FanDuel)

Ottawa Senators vs. Tampa Bay Lightning Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Ottawa Senators

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Claude Giroux Shots On Goal 2.5 8/10 -105 -125 3.1 3.15
Claude Giroux Points 0.5 8/10 -150 +120 1.0 1.02
Jake Sanderson Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -145 +114 3.2 3.20

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Brandon Hagel Points 0.5 9/10 -160 +124 1.4 1.20
Anthony Cirelli Points 0.5 8/10 -130 +100 1.0 1.04
Anthony Cirelli Assists 0.5 7/10 +140 -180 0.8 0.83
Steven Stamkos Shots On Goal 2.5 7/10 -130 +100 3.6 3.57
Victor Hedman Assists 0.5 7/10 -166 +130 0.9 0.96
Nikita Kucherov Assists 0.5 8/10 -220 +170 1.1 1.10
Victor Hedman Points 0.5 8/10 -220 +170 1.0 1.08