New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Monday, Feb. 05

Oct 14, 2023; Elmont, New York, USA; New York Islanders center Bo Horvat (14) controls the puck in the second period against the Buffalo Sabres at UBS Arena.
Image Credit: Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

We have your New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prop betting and game preview needs covered as the New York Islanders hit the road to face the Toronto Maple Leafs.

The Toronto Maple Leafs (25-14-8) are set to host the New York Islanders (20-17-12) in a clash of Eastern Conference rivals. As the Leafs aim to extend their three-game winning streak, the Islanders are desperate to snap a three-game skid and climb back into playoff contention.

New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Odds Info

Moneyline: New York Islanders +140 (DraftKings) / Toronto Maple Leafs -160 (BetMGM)

Puck Line: -1.5 – New York Islanders -170 (Bet365) / Toronto Maple Leafs +148 (BetRivers)

Total: 6.5 – +100 (BetMGM) / -107 (BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: Monday, Feb. 05

Time: 07:00 PM

Location: Scotiabank Arena – Toronto, ON

TV: ESPN+

New York Islanders Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the New York Islanders have 8 wins and 16 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the New York Islanders have 9 wins and 17 losses.
  • This season, the New York Islanders have hit 30 overs and 19 unders.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 11 wins and 11 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 21 wins and 19 losses.
  • This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 26 overs and 21 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the course of the last two seasons, the New York Islanders and the Toronto Maple Leafs have faced off a total of five times, with the Islanders claiming victory in four of those encounters while the Maple Leafs secured a single win. The home team has proven to be dominant in this matchup, winning four out of the five games. When it comes to betting statistics, the Islanders have consistently outperformed expectations, covering the spread in four games, whereas the Maple Leafs have done so only once. The over/under betting results have also shown a trend, with the total score going over the set line four times and only once did the total score fall under. The Islanders have shown a strong offensive presence in these games, particularly in their 7-2 victory on March 21, 2023, where they scored seven even-strength goals. The Maple Leafs, despite their fewer wins, have demonstrated resilience, with a notable performance from Auston Matthews who scored two goals in their most recent meeting.

The most recent game between the two teams took place on January 11, 2024, where the New York Islanders edged out the Toronto Maple Leafs with a 4-3 victory in an overtime thriller. The Islanders’ success was partly due to their efficient power play, which operated at a 66.7% success rate. The game began with Kyle Palmieri scoring just 40 seconds in, and despite Auston Matthews’ two backhand goals giving the Maple Leafs a 3-1 lead in the second period, the Islanders fought back with goals from Alexander Romanov and Bo Horvat to tie the game. Ultimately, Mathew Barzal’s tip-in goal 21 seconds into overtime secured the win for the Islanders. The Maple Leafs’ goaltender, Martin Jones, faced 30 shots and made 26 saves, ending the game with a save percentage of 0.867, while the Islanders’ Ilya Sorokin faced 35 shots, making 32 saves for a save percentage of 0.914.

New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions

The Maple Leafs are coming off a strong performance before the All-Star break, winning three consecutive games and solidifying their position in the playoff race. With star forward Auston Matthews leading the league with 40 goals, Toronto’s offense has been firing on all cylinders. The team’s power play ranks ninth in the NHL, and their faceoff percentage is second-best, which could be crucial in tight games. However, they’ll need to tighten up defensively, as they’ve allowed the second-most shots per game in the league.

On the other side, the Islanders are looking to rebound after a disappointing stretch that saw them lose three straight. Despite their recent struggles, the Islanders have had the upper hand in recent matchups against the Maple Leafs, winning four of their last five encounters. With Noah Dobson leading the team in points and Brock Nelson as the top goal scorer, the Islanders have the firepower to challenge Toronto’s defense. The return of key defensemen Ryan Pulock and Adam Pelech could also provide a much-needed boost to their back end.

This game features a compelling matchup between two of the league’s top scorers in Matthews and Nelson. Both teams will be looking to their stars to make an impact, but it may come down to goaltending and special teams to decide the outcome. The Maple Leafs will rely on their high-scoring offense to break through the Islanders’ defense, while the Islanders will need to capitalize on their opportunities and contain Toronto’s dynamic attack to come away with a win.

New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Pick

The Toronto Maple Leafs enter this matchup with a strong home record and a three-game winning streak that they’re looking to extend. With Auston Matthews leading the league in goals and the team’s power play ranking ninth, the Leafs have the offensive prowess to challenge the Islanders’ defense. Despite the Islanders’ recent head-to-head success, Toronto’s current form and the advantage of playing at Scotiabank Arena, where they have secured 11 wins this season, make them the favorites in this encounter. The Islanders are on a three-game losing streak and have struggled on the road with 16 losses, which further tilts the odds in favor of the home team.

While the Islanders have historically performed well against the Maple Leafs, Toronto’s recent momentum and the Islanders’ current slump suggest a different outcome for this game. The Maple Leafs’ high-scoring offense is likely to capitalize on the Islanders’ defensive lapses, and the return of key players for the Islanders may not be enough to contain Toronto’s dynamic attack. Considering these factors, the smart money is on the Toronto Maple Leafs to continue their winning ways and secure a victory on home ice.

The Pick: Toronto Maple Leafs -160. (BetMGM)

New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

New York Islanders

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Noah Dobson Assists 0.5 7/10 -135 +105 1.4 1.20
Noah Dobson Points 0.5 7/10 -180 +140 1.4 1.20
Bo Horvat Shots On Goal 2.5 7/10 -160 +124 3.5 3.41

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Morgan Rielly Points 0.5 7/10 -180 +140 1.0 0.96