For each game of the NBA season, we provide the best Patrick Mahomes prop bets. His next game is Sunday, December 10 against the Buffalo Bills.
Best Patrick Mahomes Player Props Bets vs. the Buffalo Bills
As the Kansas City Chiefs prepare to host the Buffalo Bills in a pivotal Week 14 matchup, all eyes are on Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs’ superstar quarterback is set to play a crucial role in a game that could have significant playoff implications. With the Bills’ defense dealing with key injuries, Mahomes has an opportunity to exploit their vulnerabilities and continue his trend of strong performances at home.
Patrick Mahomes Over 36.5 Passing – Attempts (-115)
Patrick Mahomes is known for his dynamic passing game, and the statistics suggest he’s likely to go over the line of 36.5 passing attempts in the upcoming game against the Bills. Over the last 10 games, Mahomes has averaged 36.4 attempts, nearly hitting the line, and his season average stands at 37.0. Moreover, when playing at home, Mahomes tends to throw even more, with an average of 37.83 attempts per game. Considering the high stakes of this matchup and the Chiefs’ recent offensive struggles, it’s reasonable to expect head coach Andy Reid to rely heavily on Mahomes’ arm to control the game and keep the chains moving. The Bills’ defense, while formidable, has shown cracks in recent weeks, and Mahomes’ ability to spread the ball around could be key to exploiting those weaknesses.
Patrick Mahomes Over 25.5 Passing – Completions (-125)
Patrick Mahomes’ ability to connect with his receivers is second to none, and the over on 25.5 completions is a strong bet for this game. Mahomes has averaged 25.1 completions over his last 10 games, which is just shy of the line. However, his projection for this game is slightly higher at 25.67 completions, indicating a favorable matchup against the Bills’ secondary. With the Bills’ defense dealing with injuries to key players like cornerback Kaiir Elam and linebacker Matt Milano, there will be opportunities for Mahomes to find his targets in space. Additionally, the Chiefs’ receiving corps, despite missing some pieces, still has the talent to create separation and make plays. Mahomes’ competitive nature and the Chiefs’ need for a win to maintain their playoff positioning should see him pushing the ball downfield and racking up completions.
All Patrick Mahomes Player Prop Picks for Sunday, Dec 10
| Player Name | Prop | Line | Over Rate | Over Odds | Under Odds | Last 10 Average | Projection | Our Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mahomes | Passing Attempts | 36.5 | 5/10 | -115 | -115 | 36.4 | 36.87 | Over |
| Patrick Mahomes | Completions | 25.5 | 4/10 | -125 | -105 | 25.1 | 25.67 | Over |
| Patrick Mahomes | Interceptions | 0.5 | 6/10 | +100 | -130 | 0.8 | 0.95 | Over |
| Patrick Mahomes | Longest Pass | 35.5 | 5/10 | -110 | -120 | 34.4 | 33.54 | Under |
| Patrick Mahomes | Passing Touchdowns | 2.5 | 2/10 | +165 | -215 | 1.8 | 1.76 | Under |
| Patrick Mahomes | Passing And Russhing Yards | 307.5 | 2/10 | -115 | -115 | 285.2 | 284.00 | Under |
| Patrick Mahomes | Rushing Attempts | 5.5 | 4/10 | +114 | -145 | 4.4 | 4.11 | Under |
| Patrick Mahomes | Longest Rushing Attempt | 13.5 | 6/10 | -105 | -125 | 13.3 | 12.56 | Under |
Patrick Mahomes Stats for the 2023/24 NFL Season
- Passing Interceptions Per Game
- Season: 0.83
- Home: 0.67
- Passing Attempts Per Game
- Season: 37.0
- Home: 37.83
- Longest Rushing Attempt Per Game
- Season: 13.58
- Home: 16.5
- Passing Longest Pass Per Game
- Season: 36.0
- Home: 34.33
- Passing Completions Per Game
- Season: 25.08
- Home: 25.17
- Rushing Attempts Per Game
- Season: 4.75
- Home: 5.17
- Passing and Rushing Yards Per Game
- Season: 288.17
- Home: 297.5
- Passing Touchdowns Per Game
- Season: 1.83
- Home: 2.33
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Dec. 10
- Time: 04:25 PM
- Location: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City, MO
- TV: CBS