Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Thursday, Mar. 07

WASHINGTON, DC - APRIL 8: John Carlson #74 of the Washington Capitals looks to make a pass during a game against the Florida Panthers at Capital One Arena on April 8, 2023 in Washington, D.C. (Photo by
Image Credit: John McCreary/NHLI via Getty Images

We have your Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Washington Capitals hit the road to face the Pittsburgh Penguins.

The Pittsburgh Penguins (28-24-8) are set to host the Washington Capitals (28-23-9) in a highly-anticipated matchup. With both teams neck-and-neck in the standings and fighting for a playoff spot, this game could be a critical turning point in their seasons.

Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Odds Info

Moneyline: Washington Capitals +142 (DraftKings) / Pittsburgh Penguins -162 (BetRivers)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Washington Capitals -165 (BetMGM) / Pittsburgh Penguins +154 (DraftKings)

Total: 6.0 – +100 (BetMGM) / -120 (BetMGM)

Game Info

Date: Thursday, Mar. 07

Time: 07:00 PM

Location: PPG Paints Arena – Pittsburgh, PA


Washington Capitals Betting Trends

  • This season, the Washington Capitals have hit 29 overs and 31 unders.
  • On the road this season, the Washington Capitals have hit 15 overs and 14 unders.
  • As the underdog this season, the Washington Capitals have hit 21 overs and 23 unders.

Pittsburgh Penguins Betting Trends

  • This season, the Pittsburgh Penguins have hit 25 overs and 35 unders.
  • At home this season, the Pittsburgh Penguins have hit 12 overs and 18 unders.
  • As the favorite this season, the Pittsburgh Penguins have hit 15 overs and 21 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the course of the last two seasons, the Washington Capitals and Pittsburgh Penguins have faced off five times, with the Penguins holding a slight edge with three wins to the Capitals’ two. The visiting team has come out on top in three of these encounters, while the home team has secured victory in the remaining two games. When it comes to betting statistics, the Penguins have also been slightly more successful, covering the spread in three of the five games, compared to the Capitals’ two. In terms of totals betting, the ‘Over’ has hit twice, while the ‘Under’ has prevailed on three occasions. The games have showcased a mix of offensive and defensive battles, with the total score ranging from as low as 4 to as high as 7 goals in a game. The Capitals have demonstrated a strong penalty kill, particularly in the most recent game where they had a 100% success rate, while the Penguins have shown resilience, often fighting back from deficits.

The most recent game between the two teams took place on January 2, 2024, and ended with a narrow 4-3 victory for the Washington Capitals. The Capitals stormed ahead in the first period, establishing a 4-0 lead with goals from Tom Wilson, Beck Malenstyn, Martin Fehervary, and Alex Ovechkin. Despite this early dominance, the Penguins mounted a comeback in the second period with Sidney Crosby and Jake Guentzel narrowing the gap to 4-3. However, the Capitals managed to hold off the Penguins for the remainder of the game. The Capitals’ penalty kill was particularly effective, contributing to their ability to maintain the lead. The game ended with the Capitals as the victors, successfully covering the spread as the underdog with a closing moneyline of 143, while the Penguins were the favorites with a closing moneyline of -176. The total score of 7 meant the game finished ‘Over’ the closing over-under line of 5.5.

Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Predictions

The Penguins and Capitals find themselves in a fierce battle for playoff positioning as they prepare to face off at PPG Paints Arena. Pittsburgh, coming off a win but with a middling home record of 16-10-4, looks to capitalize on their home-ice advantage. The Penguins’ offense is led by the ever-dynamic Sidney Crosby, who tops the team with 32 goals and 63 points, while defenseman Erik Karlsson has been a playmaking force with 35 assists. Despite their offensive prowess, the Penguins have been inconsistent, with a recent record reflecting a mix of wins and losses.

Washington, on the other hand, has been struggling on the road with a 12-13-4 record and is looking to rebound from a recent loss. Center Dylan Strome has been a bright spot for the Capitals, leading the team with 22 goals and 47 points, and defenseman John Carlson has been a key setup man with 30 assists. The Capitals’ penalty kill has been a strength, particularly in their last meeting with the Penguins, but they’ll need to step up their game to overcome Pittsburgh’s power play, which has been finding the back of the net with increasing frequency.

This game not only features a clash of two high-caliber teams but also showcases a duel between star players. Crosby’s offensive genius and leadership will be put to the test against Strome’s scoring touch and Carlson’s defensive acumen. With both teams eager to secure a win to boost their playoff chances, expect a tightly contested game with strategic plays and potential game-changing moments from the marquee players. The Penguins will be looking to improve their home record, while the Capitals aim to prove their mettle on the road in this Eastern Conference showdown.

Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Pick

Given the current trends and the high-stakes nature of this matchup, the ‘Under’ seems to be the most prudent pick for this game. The Penguins have been hitting more unders than overs this season, with a significant 35 unders to 25 overs. Additionally, when playing at home, they have a tendency to engage in lower-scoring games, as evidenced by their 12 overs to 18 unders record. The Capitals, while more balanced in their over-under record, have also leaned towards the under on the road, with 14 unders to 15 overs. Both teams have demonstrated strong defensive capabilities, and with playoff implications on the line, a tighter, more cautious game is likely to unfold, leading to fewer scoring opportunities and a lower total score.

Historically, the head-to-head matchups between these two teams have also favored the under, with three of the last five games going below the total line. The most recent encounter, although ending with a total score of 7, was an outlier and not indicative of the usual defensive battles these teams engage in. Considering the Penguins’ recent trend of unders at home and the Capitals’ road under record, combined with the historical tendency for these games to be lower-scoring, the under is a compelling pick for this Eastern Conference showdown.

The Pick: Under 6.0 +100 (BetMGM)

Washington Capitals vs. Pittsburgh Penguins Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Washington Capitals

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Dylan Strome Assists 0.5 8/10 +154 -200 1.1 1.10
Dylan Strome Points 0.5 8/10 -130 +100 1.3 1.20
Alex Ovechkin Points 0.5 8/10 -180 +140 1.0 1.02