Warriors vs. Pelicans Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Friday, Apr 12

New Orleans Pelicans center Jonas Valanciunas (17) looks on against the Minnesota Timberwolves during the second half at the Smoothie King Center.
Image Credit: Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports

The Warriors are ready to clash with the New Orleans Pelicans on Friday, Apr 12. Today’s matchup is set to tip off at 10:00 ET and will be televised on NBCS. Golden State enters this game as 4.5-point favorites, and the over/under total is currently at 220. Can the Warriors pull this one out as the favorite? Below you will find our Warriors vs. Pelicans predictions.

Warriors vs. Pelicans Odds

  • Spread: Warriors -4.5
  • Total 220

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Friday, Apr 12
  • Time: 10:00 ET
  • Location: Chase Center, San Francisco CA
  • TV: NBCS

Pelicans Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Pelicans have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • The Pelicans are 2-1 ATS in their three last road games and 3-0 straight-up.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Pelicans have a straight up record of 6-4. But, their mark vs the spread was just 7-3.

Warriors Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Golden State has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 8-2 while averaging 115 points per game.
  • Over the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Warriors struggled vs the spread going just 1-2. However, they still had a straight up mark of 3-0.

Does New Orleans Have a Shot at a Road Win?

In today’s game against the Warriors, the Pelicans will be looking to extend their winning streak to four games. They are currently in 6th place in the Western Conference with a record of 48-32.

This season, the Pelicans have an ATS record of 42-37, including a mark of 22-18 on the road. As underdogs, they are 19-12 ATS on the road and have covered the spread in their last two games as underdogs.

On average, Pelicans games have finished with a combined scoring total of 225.7 points, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 220. This season, their games have averaged an over/under line of 227.2.

New Orleans’ O/U record for the season is 35-45, and 62 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 220. In their last game against the Kings, the teams combined for 258 points, surpassing the O/U line of 217.5.

In the Western Conference, the Pelicans are 19-11 in non-conference games and 29-21 against Western Conference opponents. On the road, they have a record of 27-14 compared to 21-18 at home.

The Pelicans’ ATS win over the Kings was their 2nd straight as underdogs. They covered the spread by 12 points, going into the game as 1.5-point underdogs.

When it comes to scoring, the Pelicans are 13th in the NBA at 115.2 points per game. On the road, they are averaging 115.3 points per game compared to 115.1 at home. In terms of field goal percentage, New Orleans is 8th in the league at 48%.

When it comes to pace, the Pelicans are 18th in the NBA at 97.2 possessions per game. In terms of three-point shooting, they are 7th in the league at 38% but are just 20th in three-pointers made at 12.3 per game.

Overall, the Pelicans are 10th in true shooting percentage and 12th in assists. When it comes to free throws, they are 11th in makes at 17.8 per game and 8th in attempts at 23 per contest.

At present, the Pelicans’ defense is ranked 8th, allowing 110.5 points per game. On two point field goal attempts, the Pelicans’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 55.4% and allowing 34.9% from beyond the arc.

Is A Home Victory Likely for Favored Golden State?

Golden State has a record of 45-35 this season and is currently 9th in the Western Conference. In games against other Western Conference teams, they are 25-25 and 20-10 against the East.

The Warriors have won three straight games and are favored by 4.5 points today. At home, they have an average scoring differential of +0.7 points per game.

Golden State’s ATS record at home is 16-22 and 43-36 overall. As the favorite, they are 26-27 against the spread and 36-17 straight-up.

This season, the average over/under line in Warriors games is 231.2 points, and their games have averaged a combined 233 points. Today’s O/U line is set at 220 points, and they have an O/U record of 39-40-1.

In their last game, the Warriors defeated the Trail Blazers by a score of 100-92. Golden State was favored by 13 points in that game, and the O/U line was 220.5.

At home this season, the Warriors are averaging 117.6 points per game (11th) compared to their overall average of 117.8 (8th). In terms of field goal percentage, Golden State is 13th in the league at 47%. They have made 14.8 three-pointers per game this season (2nd) and are shooting 38% from beyond the arc (5th).

Overall, the Warriors have outscored the NBA scoring average in 57.5% of their games this season. In terms of pace, Golden State is 12th in the league at 99.3 possessions per game.

When it comes to free throws, the Warriors are 27th in the league in attempts at 20 per game. They are also 26th in free throws made at 15.6 per contest.

Currently, the Warriors’ defense holds the 17th rank in the NBA, allowing 115.2 points per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Warriors defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 53.9% while allowing 35.6% from downtown.

Warriors vs. Pelicans Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Zion Williamson and his points prop of 26.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -105 while the under is at -125. In this game against the Warriors, we suggest betting on the under for Zion Williamson and his points prop set at 26.5. Our player projection model anticipates him not reaching his prop, with a projected total of 24.

  • The Prop: Zion Williamson Under 26.5 Points (-125)

Warriors vs. Pelicans Predictions

In this Pelicans vs. Warriors matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Pelicans at +4.5. While we project the Warriors to win 113-111, our recommendation is to bet on the Pelicans for the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the line is currently at 220, and our model projects the Pelicans and Warriors to reach a combined total of 224 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

The Pick: Pelicans +4.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook