Warriors vs. Knicks Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Monday, Mar 18

Nov 30, 2023; New York, New York, USA; New York Knicks forward Julius Randle (30) runs up court after a basket against the Detroit Pistons during the second half at Madison Square Garden.
Image Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

The Warriors are ready to clash with the New York Knicks on Monday, Mar 18. Today’s matchup is set to tip off at 10:00 ET and will be televised on ESPN. Golden State enters this game as 5.5-point favorites, and the over/under total is currently at 211.5. Can the Warriors pull this one out as the favorite? Below you will find our Warriors vs. Knicks predictions.

Warriors vs. Knicks Odds

  • Spread: Warriors -5.5
  • Total 211.5

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Monday, Mar 18
  • Time: 10:00 ET
  • Location: Chase Center, San Francisco CA
  • TV: ESPN

Knicks Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Knicks have an over/under record of 0-5 and are 3-1-1 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last five road contests, New York has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-1-1. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 104 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, New York has an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 2-3 straight up.

Warriors Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Warriors have a straight up record of 8-2 while going 8-2 vs. the spread. The team averaged 118 points per game in this stretch.
  • As the betting favorite, the Warriors have an ATS record of 3-2 in their last five games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 3-2.

Can the Knicks Pull the Upset on the Road?

In their last three games, the Knicks have won straight up and have also covered the spread. As the underdog, they have won their last two games against the spread.

This season, the Knicks have been the underdog in 29 of their 67 games. As the underdog, their ATS record is 13-16, and they are 11-18 straight up. Today, they are 5.5-point underdogs.

New York’s O/U record for the season is 23-43-1, and their games have averaged 219.8 points per game. The under has hit in their last five games.

The Knicks’ most recent win came against the Kings, where they won by a score of 98-91. Going into the game, they were 3.5-point underdogs, and the O/U line was 217.

Currently, the Knicks are 40-27 on the season, which puts them in 4th place in the Eastern Conference. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 27-15 and 8-5 against other teams in the Atlantic Division.

On the road, the Knicks have an ATS record of 18-13, and they have covered the spread in four straight games. Their straight-up road record is 18-14.

This season, the Knicks have been a below-average offensive team, ranking 24th in the NBA in scoring at 111.9 points per game. However, they have actually been slightly better on the road, averaging 113.5 points compared to 110.5 at home.

So far, the Knicks have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 40.3% of their games. They have also had a tendency to struggle offensively recently, scoring below their season average in each of their last nine games.

Despite being one of the worst offensive teams in terms of pace (30th), the Knicks have been one of the more efficient three-point shooting teams in the league. They are currently 13th in three-point makes, hitting an average of 13 per game.

This season, the Knicks’ defense has been impressive, holding the 2nd position in the league while permitting an average of 107.8 points per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Knicks’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 53.7% and allowing 36.3% from beyond the arc.

Will Golden State Make it Happen at Home?

In their last game, the Warriors defeated the Lakers by a score of 128-121. The combined scoring in that game was 249 points, which was well above the over/under line of 233.5.

Against the spread, Golden State covered the spread as 2-point underdogs. This improved their ATS record to 36-29 for the season.

Today, the Warriors are favored by 5.5 points against the Knicks. As the favorite, Golden State has a scoring margin of +5 points per game and a record of 28-14.

On average, the Warriors’ games have seen a combined scoring total of 235.2 points this season. Their O/U record for the season is 32-33-1.

Looking at their Western Conference standings, the Warriors are currently in 9th place with a record of 35-31. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 18-23 compared to 17-8 in non-conference games.

Golden State’s ATS record at home is 14-19, and they have failed to cover the spread in their last two home games. Overall, their home record is 17-17.

At home, the Warriors have averaged 117.7 points per game this season, which is 11th in the NBA. Overall, they are 7th in the league at 118.4 points per game.

Golden State is one of the top three-point shooting teams in the NBA, making an average of 14.8 threes per game (2nd). In terms of pace, they are 7th at 100.1 possessions per game.

So far, the Warriors have outscored the NBA scoring average in 60.6% of their games this season. When it comes to field goal percentage, they are 16th in the league at 47%.

Coming into today’s game, the Warriors’ defense is giving up an average of 116.8 points per contest. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Warriors are forcing 13.8 per game, which is 23rd in the league. They also come into the game sitting 27th in blocked shots at 4.3 per game.

Warriors vs. Knicks Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Stephen Curry and his points prop of 26.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -120 while the under is at -110. In his matchup vs. the Warriors, we are recommending to take the under on Stephen Curry and his prop of 26.5 points. Our player projection model has him falling short of his prop with a projected 25.

  • The Prop: Stephen Curry Under 26.5 Points (-110)

Warriors vs. Knicks Predictions

For a pick on the point-spread in this Warriors vs. Knicks matchup, our bet is to grab the Knicks at +5.5. Even though our projections have the Warriors winning 111-109, we see the Knicks as the play on the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the line is currently at 211.5, and our model projects the Knicks and Warriors to reach a combined total of 220 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

The Pick: Knicks +5.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook