Underdog Fantasy NFL Props: Divisional Round Saturday

Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase lines up for the next play.
Image Credit: Jorge Lemus/NurPhoto via Getty Images

Do you feel like a sharp football fan? Does winning money sound appealing to you? Of course! Thankfully, Underdog Fantasy offers sports fans many gaming options such as best ball fantasy drafts and pick ’em NFL props challenges. As for the initial question posed, I’m here to help sharpen your football acumen by utilizing several helpful resources such as BetPrep projections to topple the over/under and rivals picks.

It’s easy to get started. Here’s how it works:

  • Create an account on Underdog Fantasy.
  • Use the promo code PROPS to claim an extra $10 on your first deposit.
  • Go to the Pick’em Games.
  • Make two or more selections to receive a correlated payout of 3x, 6x, 10x, or 20x.
Use promo code PROPS for $10 free!

It’s pretty fun, and Underdog Fantasy is available in most states except for the following: Arizona, Connecticut, Hawaii, Idaho, Nevada, Louisiana, Montana, Washington, Delaware, and Iowa.

Now, let’s take a look at my favorite Underdog Fantasy NFL props for Saturday’s Divisional Round contests.

Ja’Marr Chase OVER 80.5 Receiving Yards

Cincinnati wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase celebrates a big play.
Image Credit: Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports

Ja’Marr Chase had a prolific rookie season, not slowing down in last week’s postseason debut. The phenomenal rookie opened the season as an efficient man on fire, hitting a mid-season lull, culminating with an eruption down the stretch.

According to Pro-Football-Reference, Chase played only five offensive snaps in a meaningless Week 18 game. However, if you toss that game from the equation, he’s surpassed 115 receiving yards in three straight games.

However, I’m not just chasing a recent heater. I also love the matchup. The Tennessee Titans allowed the second-fewest rushing yards per game (84.6). Conversely, they surrendered the eighth-most passing yards per game (245.2). Moreover, they were barbecued by wide receivers. According to Pro-Football-Reference, the Titans yielded the second-most receiving yards (3,210) to wide receivers in the regular season.

As a result, the Cincinnati Bengals are foolish if they don’t attack Tennessee through the air. Thankfully, Bet Prep agrees with taking the over. They’re projecting Chase for 83.32 receiving yards.

Editor’s Note: New to NFL props? Check out our complete NFL Props Betting Guide to get up to speed! 

Julio Jones OVER 41.5 Receiving Yards

Tennessee Titans wide receiver Julio Jones catches a pass during warmups before the game against the Buffalo Bills
Image Credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

Julio Jones’ first season in Tennessee didn’t go according to plan. He battled nagging injuries all year, playing in only 10 games. However, after practicing all week, he ended the regular season with one of his best games, including two full practices to close out the week. Unsurprisingly, he’s not on the injury report after last week’s Wild Card Round bye.

Thus, Jones might be the healthiest he’s been all year. A healthy Jones amassed 58 receiving yards in Week 18, garnering an eye-catching nine targets. Now, he has a stellar matchup against the Bengals.

According to Football Outsiders, the Bengals are 24th in pass defense Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA). Additionally, they allowed seventh-most passing yards per game (248.4).

Finally, Jones is an excellent matchup fit from a usage perspective. According to Sharp Football Stats, Cincinnati allowed the fourth-highest average explosive pass rate (10%) in the regular season. Meanwhile, according to Pro Football Focus, in the eight games that Jones played with stud wideout A.J. Brown, he had an average depth of target of 13.5 yards downfield that was highest on the team among players targeted more than twice. Therefore, Jones is tailor-made for this specific matchup.

Davante Adams OVER 93.5 Receiving Yards

Davante Adams #17 of the Green Bay Packers warms up before the game against the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium on December 19, 2021 in Baltimore, Maryland.
Image Credit: Rob Carr/Getty Images

Davante Adams is one of the top receivers in the NFL in every measurable way. According to Sports Info Solutions, he was second in target share (28.2%). However, he didn’t squander his chances. Per Pro Football Focus, out of 72 receivers targeted at least 50 times in 2021, he was third in yards per route run (2.82 Y/RR).

Predictably, Adams parlayed eye-popping usage and elite efficiency for jaw-dropping production, ranking second in receptions per game (7.7) and receiving yards per game (97.1). Thankfully, he was also a model of consistency.

Adams went over 93.5 receiving yards in eight of 16 games. However, he played only 32% of the team’s offensive snaps in the last game of the regular season. So, it’s wise to dismiss that game.

Finally, the matchup is good. The 49ers are 16th in pass defense DVOA but struggle with wide receivers, allowing the 10th-most receiving yards (2,745) to them this year. And, of course, Adams had his way with them in Week 3. Green Bay’s No. 1 receiver took them to school, catching 12 of 18 targets for 132 receiving yards. As a result, I expect him to burn them again.