Tuesday NBA Props: Expect Durant To Put Desperate Nets On His Back

Brooklyn Nets forward Kevin Durant (7) against the Boston Celtics during second quarter NBA action. The Boston Celtics host the Brooklyn Nets during an NBA game at TD Garden in Boston on March 6, 2022.
Image Credit: Matthew J. Lee/The Boston Globe via Getty Images

Each weekday, Props.com selects five intriguing player and/or team NBA props from a busy night of action. Then, we do what we do best: Provide in-depth analysis that you can choose to use (or not use!) for wagering purposes.

Props.com compared the top platforms to find that DraftKings Sportsbook has the most robust offerings for NBA Props. They also have a generous welcome offer for new members (see below).

With that, let’s dive into our top NBA Props for Tuesday’s six-game slate.

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook updated as of 12 p.m. ET on Mar. 8. 

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Brooklyn Nets: F Kevin Durant

Brooklyn Nets forward Kevin Durant dribbles the ball with his right hand and points with his left
Image Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

The prop: 41.5 points + rebounds + assists
The odds: Over -120/Under -115

Durant recently returned to the lineup following a 21-game absence, but the Nets don’t have the luxury of easing him back into action. They’re currently in ninth place in the Eastern Conference, so there’s not much wiggle room as far as playoff positioning goes. Brooklyn needs to push incredibly hard over the season’s final month to avoid the play-in tournament.

Durant logged 35.8 minutes in his first game back, and he followed that up with 38.9 minutes in his second game. The Nets will benefit from playing on the road vs. the Hornets, which means Durant will have running mate Kyrie Irving in the lineup. (The unvaccinated Irving still isn’t allowed to play in home games.) Even with the explosive Irving at his side, Durant can do a whole lot of damage himself in nearly 40 minutes of playing time. He’s averaged 29.5 points, 7.3 boards, and 5.8 assists per game in 36.5 minutes this season. That’s 42.6 points, rebounds, and assists as a baseline.

Durant also benefits from a tremendous matchup. The Hornets have played at the second-fastest pace this season and rank 20th in defensive efficiency. That’s a great combination for scoring, and the Nets’ implied team total of 121.25 on Tuesday represents a significant increase from their season average of 110.8.

Phoenix Suns: SG/SF Mikal Bridges

Mikal Bridges #25 of the Phoenix Suns handles the ball during the second half of the NBA game at Footprint Center on January 22, 2022 in Phoenix, Arizona.
Image Credit: Christian Petersen/Getty Images

The prop: 25.5 points + rebounds + assists
The odds: Over -110/Under -120

The Suns are in rough shape at the moment. Not only are Chris Paul and Devin Booker sidelined, but they’ll also be without Cam Johnson on Tuesday. That’s going to open up plenty of minutes and opportunities for the rest of the roster.

However, Bridges is not the type of player who figures to benefit. He’s out there to play defense and knock down 3-pointers regardless of who he’s sharing the court with. He’s played 101 minutes this season with Booker, Paul, and Johnson off the floor this season, and he’s seen just a +0.9% usage rate bump in that situation. His assist rate stays exactly the same, and his rebound rate actually decreases.

That makes him the perfect candidate for an Under bet. Bridges has gone Under 25.5 PRA in four of his past five games, and I really have no clue why this line is so high. Let’s take advantage.

Cleveland Cavaliers: PF Evan Mobley

Evan Mobley #4 of the Cleveland Cavaliers attempts a free throw in the third quarter against the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on February 11, 2022 in Indianapolis, Indiana.
Image Credit: Dylan Buell/Getty Images

The prop: 10.5 rebounds
The odds: Over -105/Under -125

Mobley is having an excellent rookie season, and he’s emerged as a sizable favorite to take home the Rookie of the Year award. That said, his candidacy is based more on the Cavaliers’ success than his own numbers. He’s averaging 14.6 points, 8.2 rebounds, and 2.6 assists per game, and while those are solid marks, they don’t exactly scream Rookie of the Year.

Grabbing the under on 10.5 boards stands out as an excellent value. Mobley has grabbed 11 or more rebounds in just 11 of 56 games this season, meaning he’s hit the under on his current prop in more than 80% of his games. The under being listed at -125 is pure larceny.

New Orleans Pelicans: PF/C Jaxson Hayes

Jaxson Hayes #10 of the New Orleans Pelicans reacts against the Houston Rockets during a game at the Smoothie King Center on February 08, 2022 in New Orleans, Louisiana.
Image Credit: Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images

The prop: 15.5 points + rebounds
The odds: Over -105/Under -130

Hayes was the No. 8 pick in the 2019 NBA Draft, and he’s started to find his footing with the Pelicans. It helps that Zion Williamson may never play basketball again – at least for the Pelicans – which has allowed Hayes to slide in as the team’s starting power forward. Instead of having to compete with Jonas Valanciunas for minutes, Hayes has played alongside him of late.

That’s done wonders for his production. He disappointed in his last game, finishing with just six points and six rebounds, but he’s still averaged 11.1 points and 5.9 boards over his past eight games. In 10 games as a member of the starting lineup, he’s averaged 12.3 points and 7.1 rebounds. This is a nice opportunity to buy low on Hayes in a pace-up spot vs. the Grizzlies.

Los Angeles Clippers: F Nicolas Batum

Nicolas Batum #33 of the Los Angeles Clippers reacts to a play during the second quarter against the Golden State Warriors at Crypto.com Arena on February 14, 2022 in Los Angeles, California.
Image Credit: Katelyn Mulcahy/Getty Images

The prop: 7.5 points
The odds: Over +100/Under -125

The Clippers are another team that has been decimated by injuries of late. They’ve already been without Kawhi Leonard and Paul George for most of the season, and they also lost their big trade deadline acquisition in Norman Powell. Robert Covington will also miss Tuesday’s contest due to personal reasons.

Even with all those absences, the Clippers still have an abundance of options on the wing. Terance Mann, Marcus Morris, Luke Kennard, and Amir Coffey are all ahead of Batum in the pecking order at the moment, which doesn’t leave a ton of minutes for the Frenchman. He’s logged 22.4 minutes or fewer in each of his past six games, and he’s scored seven points or fewer in each of them.

The Clippers also face one of the toughest matchups possible vs. the Warriors. They rank second in defensive efficiency, and the Clippers’ implied team total of 108.5 is the second-lowest mark on the slate. Add it all up, and the under on Batum seems like a slam dunk.