Tuesday NBA Odds: Warriors A Rising Favorite Vs T-Wolves

Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (right) shoots the basketball over the outstretched left hand of Minnesota Timberwolves center Naz Reid (left)
Image Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

The Tuesday NBA odds menu offers only six games, but that’s still enough action to affect the ever-evolving Western Conference playoff race.

Taking center stage tonight are the Warriors, who were expected to challenge the first-place (and Chris Paul-less) Phoenix Suns after the All-Star break, only to struggle upon their return to action. Golden State heads to the Twin Cities for an encounter with a Timberwolves team that’s long on young talent but short on patience for reaching the postseason party.

A couple hours later in Los Angeles, the spotlight will be on the Lakers, as they attempt to rebound from one of the most dubious home defeats of the LeBron James era. Tonight’s opponent: Red-hot Luka Doncic and the surging Mavericks.

Which teams have the edge in these two matchups? Props.com breaks it all down in our Tuesday NBA betting preview.

Odds via WynnBet and updated as of 7 p.m. ET on March 1.

Golden State Warriors Vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves forward Anthony Edwards (right) tries to dribble past Golden State Warriors guard Klay Thompson (left)
Image Credit: Bruce Kluckhohn-USA TODAY Sports

Tipoff/TV: 8 p.m. ET/NBA League Pass
Warriors: 43-18 SU/30-27-4 ATS
Timberwolves: 33-29 SU/32-29-1 ATS
Spread/Total: Golden State -3/232
Last meeting: On Jan. 27, Golden State improved to 2-1 SU/ATS against the TWolves this season with a 124-115 victory, cashing as a 6.5-point home favorite
Did you know: The home team has won the last 10 meetings in this rivalry, going 9-1 ATS. Dating back to the 2015-16 season, the host is 17-3 SU/15-4-1 ATS

About Golden State: The Warriors have dropped five of their last seven games, going 1-6 ATS along the way. Most recently, Golden State blew a big early lead to Dallas on Sunday and fell 107-101 as a 3.5-point home favorite. On the bright side, Steph Curry and Co. are 4-2 SU (3-2-1 ATS) in their last six road outings, including Thursday’s 132-95 rout of the Blazers as 10-point favorites. Golden State’s offense has been hit and miss during its recent seven-game slump, scoring 114-plus points four times but 104 or less three times. For the season, the Warriors rank second in the NBA in 3-pointers made (14.5 per game), assists (27.3 per contest), and steals (9.4 per game). They’re also third in scoring defense (allowing 103.6 ppg).

About Minnesota: The Timberwolves rebounded from Friday’s ugly 133-102 home loss to Philadelphia as a 2.5-point underdog with Monday’s 127-122 victory in Cleveland, cashing as a 3.5-point road chalk. Defense has been virtually nonexistent lately for Minnesota, which has given up 120 or more points in six of its last eight games. During this stretch, the TWolves are 4-4 SU/3-4-1 ATS. That said, Minnesota has surrendered 106 or fewer points in nine of its last 14 home contests. Since the calendar flipped to 2022, the TWolves — who currently rank second in the NBA in 3-pointers made (14.4 per game) — are 8-2 on their home floor (6-3-1 ATS). That includes victories over the Grizzlies, Jazz, Nuggets, Nets, and Warriors. Minnesota is on a back-to-back tonight. It’s worth noting that the Wolves have lost five straight games played on a back-to-back, and all those losses were of double-digits.

Editor’s Note: Looking to become a sharper NBA bettor? Check out our NBA betting guide for a few wagering tips. 

Notable Trends

  •     Golden State is 1-7-1 ATS in its last nine overall
  •     Minnesota is 6-2-1 ATS in its last nine at home
  •     Minnesota is 0-5 ATS in its last five back-to-back situations
  •     Over is 4-1-1 in Golden State’s last six road games
  •     Over is 18-5 in Minnesota’s last 23 overall
  •     Minnesota is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 home games vs. Golden State
  •     Over is 8-2 in the last 10 series meetings (6-0 last six)

Golden State Warriors Vs Minnesota Timberwolves Odds and Action

UPDATE 7 P.M. ET: On Monday afternoon, WynnBet opened Golden State -2.5 in the Tuesday NBA odds market, and the line has since advanced a notch to -3. It’s all Warriors on the point spread, with tickets running 6/1 and money 5/1. The total dipped from 234 to 232, although ticket count is approaching 3/1 and money is just beyond 4/1 on the Over.

Dallas Mavericks Vs Los Angeles Lakers

Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James (right) drives to the basket past Dallas Mavericks forward Dorian Finney-Smith (left)
Image Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Tipoff/TV: 10 p.m. ET/TNT
Mavericks: 36-25 SU/34-26-1 ATS
Lakers: 27-33 SU/26-34 ATS
Spread/Total: Mavericks -5/216.5
Last meeting: On Dec. 15, the Lakers outlasted the Mavericks in overtime, winning 107-104 but failing to cover as a 4-point road favorite
Did you know: Dallas has the NBA’s seventh-best point-spread record, while the Lakers have the sixth-worst mark versus the number

About Dallas: The Mavericks have already collected three victories — including beating the Heat and Warriors — during their current five-game road swing that ends tonight. On Sunday, Dallas rallied past Golden State 107-101 as a 3.5-point road pup. Since Dec. 31, the Mavericks are 20-7 SU/18-9 ATS, including 7-2 SU/8-1 ATS in their last nine. The Mavericks continue to rank in the bottom half of the league in such categories as assists (18th), field-goal shooting (19th), scoring offense (24th) and rebounds (26th). Yet they enter Tuesday tied with Denver for fifth place in the Western Conference standings, 2.5 games behind Utah.

About Los Angeles: The Lakers’ season-long freefall hit a low point Sunday night, as they suffered a 123-95 shellacking at the hands of the Pelicans as a 2.5-point home chalk. Los Angeles has dropped 14 of its last 20 games, including five of the last six (2-4 ATS). The only silver lining during this prolonged funk? Sunday aside, the Lakers have been mostly competitive, as 10 of their last 14 defeats were single-digit setbacks. And prior to dropping its last two home games to the Pelicans and Clippers, L.A. had been on an 8-3 SU/7-4 ATS roll in its building. Overall, the Lakers rank in the middle of the pack in several key statistical categories, including field-goal shooting (11th), scoring offense (12th), rebounding (13th), assists (16th), 3-pointers made (17th), and 3-point shooting (19th).

Notable Trends

  •     Dallas is 4-0 ATS in its last four (all on the road)
  •     Los Angeles is 13-20 ATS at home this season
  •     Under is 28-13 in the Mavericks’ last 41 overall
  •     Over is 5-2 in Dallas’ last seven road games
  •     Under is 4-1 in the Lakers’ last five overall
  •     Under is 6-2 in Los Angeles’ last eight at home
  •     Prior to their meeting in December, the SU winner was on a 9-0 ATS roll in this rivalry

Dallas Mavericks Vs Los Angeles Lakers Odds and Action

UPDATE 7 P.M. ET: WynnBet opened the Mavericks as 3.5-point road favorites and stretched to Mavs -5.5, before nudging down to -5 in the past hour. Point-spread ticket count is 4/1 and spread money 3/1 on Dallas. The total fell from 217.5 to 216.5, despite tickets and money running just shy of 4/1 on the Over.