Tuesday College Basketball Betting: Purdue Favored Vs Big Ten Leader Illinois

Illinois Fighting Illini guard Da'Monte Williams (left) and Purdue Boilermakers forward Mason Gillis (right) battle for position under the basket during a Big Ten basketball game
Image Credit: Ron Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

A seismic Big Ten doubleheader involving a quartet of Top 25 teams headlines the Tuesday college basketball betting slate.

First place is on the line in West Lafayette, Indiana, where No. 3 Purdue hosts conference leader Illinois in a rematch of a double-overtime classic from mid-January. Can the Boilermakers knock off the Illini again and forge a tie atop the Big Ten standings? Or will Illinois exact revenge and solidify its hold on first place?

About 250 miles to the northeast, the Tuesday college basketball betting menu also features No. 14 Wisconsin looking to grab share of the Big Ten lead with a victory over No. 17 Michigan State in East Lansing. It’s also a revenge situation for the Badgers, who were blown out by the Spartans at home last month.

Props.com breaks down the Tuesday college basketball betting odds for Illinois-Purdue and Wisconsin-Michigan State — four squads that have the talent to make deep runs in the NCAA Tournament.

Odds via DraftKings and updated as of 3 p.m. ET on Feb. 8.

No. 13 Illinois Vs No. 3 Purdue

Purdue Boilermakers center Zach Edey (right) tries to knock the ball from Illinois Fighting Illini center Kofi Cockburn (left) as he drives to the basket during a Big Ten basketball game
Image Credit: Ron Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

Tipoff/TV: 9 p.m. ET/ESPN
Illinois: 17-5 SU (10-2 Big Ten)/11-11 ATS
Purdue: 20-3 SU (9-3 Big Ten)/12-11 ATS
Spread/Total: Purdue -5.5 (-105)/146.5
Last meeting: On Jan. 17, Purdue outlasted Illinois 96-88 in double overtime, as a 1.5-point road underdog
Did you know: Eight of the last nine series meetings have been decided by at least eight points, including six double-digit margins

About Illinois: The Fighting Illini have won four straight games (2-2 ATS). The streak started with narrow non-covering victories over Michigan State (56-55 as a 2-point home favorite Jan. 25) and Northwestern (59-56 as a 5.5-point road chalk Jan. 29). Then last week, Illinois thumped Wisconsin (80-67 as a 7-point home favorite) and Indiana on Saturday (74-57 as a 2-point road favorite). Among Big Ten programs, Illinois ranks first in rebounds (40.3 per game), third in scoring offense (77.1 ppg), third in scoring defense (allowing 65.5 ppg), and fourth in 3-point proficiency (37.0%).

About Purdue: The Boilermakers are riding a five-game winning streak (3-2 ATS) in which they’ve cleared 80 points every time. Most recently, Purdue outlasted Michigan 82-76 on Saturday but failed to cover as a 9.5-point favorite, with the teams easily toppling the 145-point total. In Big Ten circles, the Boilermakers rank first in scoring offense (84.5 ppg, 4th nationally), field-goal shooting (50.8%), 3-point proficiency (41.1%), and assists (18.2 per game). They’re also second in rebounding (39.8 per contest).

What’s At Stake: With a victory, Purdue (9-3) not only would tie Illinois (10-2) for first place, but the Boilermakers would own the head-to-head tiebreaker by virtue of a season sweep. Purdue and Illinois rank fifth and 12th, respectively, in the NCAA’s NET rankings, meaning both schools are in the hunt for a 1- or 2-seed in the NCAA Tournament.

Players To Watch

Illinois guard Alfonso Plummer poured in a team-high 24 points to go with four rebounds in last month’s double-overtime home loss to Purdue. The 6-foot-1 junior is second on the team in scoring (15.3 ppg), having reached double digits in 15 of his last 18 games. He also ranks sixth nationally in free-throw shooting (92.42%).

Sophomore guard and NBA lottery prospect Jaden Ivey continues to shine for Purdue, having scored 20-plus points in three straight games and four of his last five. But Ivey isn’t carrying the entire load, as 7-foot-4 center Zach Edey leads the nation in field goal shooting (68.5%). Edey, who has scored in double figures in 18 of 23 games this season, ranks second to Ivey in scoring (14.9), and leads the Boilermakers in rebounding (7.6) and blocked shots (1.1).

Notable Trends

  • Illinois has followed an 0-4 ATS funk with back-to-back spread covers
  • Saturday’s blowout win at Indiana ended Illinois’ 0-3 ATS slump on the road
  • Illinois is 1-1 SU/ATS as an underdog this season
  • Purdue is 2-6 ATS in its last eight home games (2-4 vs. Big Ten opponents)
  • Purdue is 1-3 ATS in its last four as a single-digit favorite
  • Over is 12-5-1 in Illinois’ last 18 overall
  • Over is 9-2 in Purdue’s last 11 overall (including four in a row) and 5-1 in its last six at home

Illinois Vs Purdue Odds and Action

UPDATE 8 P.M. ET: WynnBet opened Purdue -5.5 in its Tuesday college basketball betting market, then spent some time at -5 before returning to -5.5 in the past 30 minutes. It’s solid underdog action, with Illinois nabbing 70% of tickets and 81% of money on the spread. The total is down to 146 from a 147.5 opener, with 82% of bets on the Over, but 62% of cash on the Under.

Previous Illinois vs Purdue Odds Updates

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET: Purdue landed on DraftKings’ Tuesday college basketball betting board as a 6.5-point favorite, dipped to -6 within a couple hours Monday evening, and got as low as -5 within the past hour. That lasted just a couple of minutes before the Boilermakers ticked up to -5.5. Four hours ahead of tipoff, road ‘dog Illinois is drawing 71% of spread tickets and 79% of spread money. The total opened at 148, bottomed out at 145.5 and has been at 146.5 since late this morning. The Over is seeing 78% of tickets/76% of money.

No. 14 Wisconsin Vs No. 17 Michigan State

Wisconsin Badgers guard Chucky Hepburn (left) dribbles the ball while being closely guarded by Michigan State Spartans guard Tyson Walker (right) during a Big Ten basketball game
Image Credit: Mary Langenfeld-USA TODAY Sports

Tipoff/TV: 7 p.m. ET/Big Ten Network
Wisconsin: 18-4 SU (9-3 Big Ten)/12-10 ATS
Michigan State: 17-5 SU (8-3 Big Ten)/12-10 ATS
Spread/Total: Michigan State -4.5 (+100)/138.5
Last meeting: Michigan State traveled to Madison on Jan. 21 and upset the Badgers 86-74 as a 3-point road underdog
Did you know: The underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings, including 3-0 SU/ATS in the last three

About Wisconsin-Michigan State: Wisconsin pulled out an ugly 51-49 win over Penn State on Saturday — a sloppy game in which the Badgers had only 18 first-half points. Wisconsin, which never came close to covering as a 9-point favorite against the Nittany Lions, has struggled offensively in conference play, ranking 10th in scoring offense (71.2 ppg), 13th in 3-point proficiency (31.7%), and last in field-goal shooting (41.8%). The Spartans went to Rutgers on Saturday and got roughed up, falling 84-63 as a 2.5-point road favorite. It was their second straight non-cover following a 3-0 ATS run. In Big Ten circles, Michigan State ranks first in blocks (6.0 per game), second in scoring offense (73.7 ppg) and 3-point proficiency (39.3%), and third in rebounds (38.3 per game) and assists (16.1 per contest).

Notable Trends

  • Wisconsin has followed a 5-0 ATS run with an ongoing 0-5 ATS slump
  • Wisconsin is 4-2 SU/3-3 ATS in Big Ten road games
  • Michigan State is 3-5 ATS since starting the season 9-4-1 ATS
  • Michigan State is 1-4 ATS in its last five at home (all as a favorite)
  • Over is 9-3 in Wisconsin’s last 12 overall (4-1 on the road)
  • The Over/Under has alternated in Michigan State’s last eight overall (last game: Over)
  • The last two head-to-head clashes went Over the total. Previously, the Under was on a 5-0-1 run in this rivalry

Wisconsin Vs Michigan State Odds and Action

UPDATE 5 P.M. ET: Michigan State toggled between -4.5 and -4 multiple times over the past 24 hours at DraftKings. Two hours ahead of tipoff, the Spartans are -4 (-115), while taking 64% of tickets and 60% of cash. The total opened at 138.5 Monday afternoon and surged straight to 141.5 a few hours later, then dialed down to 139.5 late Monday night. After spending much of today at 138.5, the number rose to 139 late this afternoon. Ticket count is almost dead even, while 69% of money is on the Under.