Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Wednesday, Feb 28

Nov 14, 2023; San Francisco, California, USA; Minnesota Timberwolves forward Karl-Anthony Towns (32) shoots over Golden State Warriors forward Jonathan Kuminga (00) during the first half at Chase Center.
Nov 14, 2023; San Francisco, California, USA; Minnesota Timberwolves forward Karl-Anthony Towns (32) shoots over Golden State Warriors forward Jonathan Kuminga (00) during the first half at Chase Center. Mandatory Credit: John Hefti-USA TODAY Sports

The Timberwolves are gearing up to take on the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday, Feb 28. The game is slated for 8:00 ET and will be broadcast on BSN. Minnesota comes into this game as 11.5-point favorites with the total set at 209.5. How will this matchup unfold? Let’s get into the Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies predictions below.

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Odds

  • Spread: Timberwolves -11.5
  • Total 209.5

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, Feb 28
  • Time: 8:00 ET
  • Location: Target Center, Minneapolis MN
  • TV: BSN

Grizzlies Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Grizzlies have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Across their ten previous road games, Memphis has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 107 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Memphis has an ATS mark of 4-1 while going 2-3 straight up.

Timberwolves Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Timberwolves have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 124 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • Against the spread, the Timberwolves have put together 1-2 in their last three games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 2-1 straight up.

Is Memphis Ready for a Road Win?

Today, Memphis is looking to end a two-game losing streak as they face the Timberwolves. The Grizzlies are 20-38 on the season and are currently 13th in the Western Conference.

As the underdog, Memphis has dropped their last two games and are 14-30 as the underdog this season. On the road, they are 16-13 ATS compared to 12-17 ATS at home.

This season, Memphis has an O/U record of 25-32-1, and 57 of their 58 games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line of 209.5. The Grizzlies have hit the under in their last two games.

In their most recent game, the Grizzlies lost to the Nets by a score of 111-86. Memphis was also 2.5-point underdogs in that game. The combined scoring in the game was 197 points, and the O/U line was 214.5.

For the season, Memphis games have averaged 219.3 points per game, and today’s line is 209.5. In their last four games, the Grizzlies have gone 0-4 ATS as the favorite.

When it comes to scoring, the Grizzlies are one of the worst teams in the NBA. They are averaging just 106.5 points per game, which is the 30th in the league. On the road, Memphis is scoring 109.1 points per game.

So far this season, the Grizzlies have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 20.7% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, Memphis is shooting 44%, which is 29th in the league.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Grizzlies are one of the most active teams in the league. They are averaging 38.9 three-point attempts per game, which is 5th in the NBA. However, they are shooting just 34% from beyond the arc.

At this time, the Grizzlies’ defense is positioned 9th in the NBA, permitting 112.8 points per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Grizzlies defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 53.8% while allowing 37.9% from downtown.

Taking a Look at the Timberwolves Chances at Home

In terms of their overall record, Minnesota is 41-17 and is currently in 1st place in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 28-8 and 8-2 against division opponents.

Minnesota has won their last two games and is favored by 11.5 points today. As the favorite, the Timberwolves have a record of 35-12 and have gone 23-23 against the spread as the favorite.

Looking at their ATS record, Minnesota is 30-27 for the season and 14-13 at home. The Timberwolves have won straight-up in their last two home games and are 21-6 at home this season.

In their last game, Minnesota beat the Spurs by a score of 114-105. The O/U line for that game was 222, and the Timberwolves were favored by 12.5 points. This improved their ATS record to 14-13 at home.

Minnesota’s O/U record for the season is 28-30, and their games have averaged a combined 220 points. In all of their games this season, the O/U line has been higher than 209.5.

Minnesota’s last three games have gone under the O/U line, and they are also 7-4 vs. the spread as the underdog. Today’s O/U line of 209.5 is lower than their season average of 222.7.

At home this season, the Timberwolves are averaging 112.1 points per game, which is 24th in the NBA. Overall, Minnesota is 20th in scoring at 113.6 points per game.

So far, the Timberwolves have outscored the league average in 44.8% of their games. In terms of pace, Minnesota is 25th in the NBA at 97.4 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Timberwolves are 8th in field goal percentage at 48%. From beyond the arc, they are 3rd in three-point shooting at 39%.

So far, the Timberwolves defense is giving up 106.4 points per contest, which has them sitting 1st in the NBA. One thing to note, is they have given up more points than their season average in five straight matchups. Most recently, the Timberwolves’ defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 105 points to the Spurs.

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Jaren Jackson Jr. and his points prop of 23.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -125 while the under is at -109. According to our projections, Jaren Jackson Jr. is expected to record 22 points, 6 rebounds, and 2 assists. Regarding his points prop, we recommend taking the under at 23.5.

  • The Prop: Jaren Jackson Jr. Under 23.5 Points (-109)

Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Predictions

We’re putting our money on the Timberwolves to win, and have the projected score sitting at 99-78. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Timberwolves at -11.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 209.5 and our model has the Grizzlies and Timberwolves finishing with a combined 177 points. Our pick is to take the under.

The Pick: Timberwolves -11.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook