Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Boston Bruins Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Tuesday, Feb. 13

Oct 15, 2023; Ottawa, Ontario, CAN; Tampa Bay Lightning right wing Nikita Kucherov (86) skates with the puck in the third period against the Ottawa Senators at the Canadian Tire Centre
Image Credit: Marc DesRosiers-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Boston Bruins prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Tampa Bay Lightning hit the road to face the Boston Bruins.

The Boston Bruins (32-11-9) are set to host the Tampa Bay Lightning (28-20-5) in a high-stakes Atlantic Division showdown. With both teams looking to assert their dominance in the conference, this matchup promises to be a thrilling encounter.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Boston Bruins Odds Info

Moneyline: Tampa Bay Lightning +140 (PointsBet) / Boston Bruins -159 (BetRivers)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Tampa Bay Lightning -175 (PointsBet) / Boston Bruins +150 (BetMGM)

Total: 6.0 – -105 (Bet365) / -115 (Bet365)

Game Info

Date: Tuesday, Feb. 13

Time: 07:00 PM

Location: TD Garden – Boston, MA


Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 11 wins and 17 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 9 wins and 14 losses.
  • This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have hit 26 overs and 27 unders.

Boston Bruins Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the Boston Bruins have 17 wins and 9 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Boston Bruins have 29 wins and 17 losses.
  • This season, the Boston Bruins have hit 25 overs and 27 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the course of the last two seasons, the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Boston Bruins have faced off six times, with the Bruins winning four of those encounters and the Lightning claiming victory in two. These matchups have taken place between November 2021 and January 2024. The home team has demonstrated a significant advantage, winning five out of the six games, while the visiting team has only managed to secure a single win. When it comes to betting statistics, the Bruins have covered the spread in four games, whereas the Lightning have done so in two. The total score of these games has been evenly split in terms of the over/under betting line, with three games going over and three games going under. Key statistics from these games reveal that the Bruins have been more successful on the power play, scoring in several games where the Lightning failed to capitalize on their man-advantage opportunities. The Bruins have also shown a slight edge in faceoff wins and have been more disciplined, accruing fewer penalty minutes in most of the games.

The most recent game between the two teams took place on January 6, 2024, with the Boston Bruins hosting the Tampa Bay Lightning. The Bruins emerged victorious with a commanding 7-3 win. The game began with an early goal from the Lightning’s Brayden Point, but the Bruins quickly took control, with Trent Frederic and Charlie McAvoy contributing to a first-period lead. The Bruins continued to dominate in the second period, with Frederic adding another goal to his tally. Despite a second goal from Point, the Bruins maintained their lead with contributions from their roster, including David Pastrnak. The third period saw the Bruins extend their lead further with goals from Morgan Geekie, Jake DeBrusk, and Charlie Coyle. The Lightning struggled on the power play, failing to score on four opportunities, while the Bruins capitalized on one of their four power play chances. Faceoffs were closely contested, but the Bruins edged out with a 52% win rate in the faceoff circle.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Boston Bruins Predictions

The Bruins, leading the Atlantic Division, are coming off a disappointing 3-0 loss to the Washington Capitals and will be looking to bounce back on home ice. With a solid record at TD Garden, the Bruins are relying on their top scorer David Pastrnak, who has been exceptional this season with 33 goals and 42 assists. Boston’s defense, allowing an average of just 2.6 goals per game, will be put to the test against Tampa Bay’s potent offense.

Tampa Bay Lightning, currently third in the Atlantic, are entering the game with momentum after a 4-2 victory over the Columbus Blue Jackets. The Lightning’s offensive firepower is led by Nikita Kucherov, who has tallied 33 goals and 56 assists. Tampa Bay’s power play has been a significant asset, boasting a 30.7% success rate, which could be a critical factor against the Bruins’ penalty kill. However, the Lightning’s defense has been less consistent, allowing an average of 3.3 goals per game.

This game features a compelling goaltender matchup with Boston’s Linus Ullmark and Tampa Bay’s Andrei Vasilevskiy, both of whom have been pillars for their respective teams. Key player matchups, such as the battle between Pastrnak and Kucherov, will be pivotal in determining the outcome. With both teams showcasing strong special teams and offensive talents, this game could very well come down to which team capitalizes on their scoring opportunities and manages to outperform the other defensively.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Boston Bruins Pick

The Boston Bruins have demonstrated a strong home-ice advantage, which is a significant factor in this matchup. With a 17-6-3 record at TD Garden, the Bruins have shown they can capitalize on the energy and familiarity of their home setting. Additionally, their leading scorer, David Pastrnak, has been in exceptional form, and his offensive prowess, combined with the team’s solid defensive record, gives them the edge. The Bruins’ ability to limit their opponents to an average of 2.6 goals per game will be crucial in containing the Lightning’s attack. Despite the Lightning’s strong power play, the Bruins’ penalty kill has been effective, and their overall discipline in avoiding penalty minutes will help them maintain control of the game.

While the Lightning have a potent offense led by Nikita Kucherov, their defensive inconsistencies could be their downfall, especially against a Bruins team that is eager to redeem themselves after a loss to the Capitals. The Bruins’ recent trends, including their ability to cover the spread in four out of six recent head-to-head games against the Lightning, also support the decision to back them. Given the odds, recent trends, and the Bruins’ strong performance at home, a moneyline bet on Boston is the right pick for this game.

The Pick: Boston Bruins -159. (BetRivers)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Boston Bruins Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Brandon Hagel Points 0.5 9/10 -130 +100 1.4 1.20
Nikita Kucherov Assists 0.5 8/10 -166 +130 1.5 1.38
Victor Hedman Points 0.5 8/10 -160 +124 1.3 1.08
Anthony Cirelli Assists 0.5 7/10 +210 -280 0.8 0.80
Anthony Cirelli Points 0.5 7/10 +114 -145 1.1 0.94

Boston Bruins

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Charlie Coyle Points 0.5 9/10 -145 +114 1.4 1.39
David Pastrnak Assists 0.5 7/10 -130 +100 0.8 0.80
Charlie McAvoy Shots On Goal 1.5 8/10 -166 +130 2.1 1.98
Charlie Coyle Assists 0.5 7/10 +114 -145 1.0 1.02
James van Riemsdyk Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -195 +150 2.4 2.36
Pavel Zacha Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -160 +124 1.8 1.77