Suns vs. Timberwolves Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Friday, Apr 26

Mar 27, 2024; Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA; Minnesota Timberwolves center Naz Reid (11) backs towards the basket and keeps the ball away from Detroit Pistons guard Cade Cunningham (2) in the second half at Target Center.
Image Credit: Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

The Suns are set to face the Minnesota Timberwolves on Friday, Apr 26. The game is scheduled for 10:30 ET while airing on ESPN. Phoenix enters this game as 4-point favorites with the total set at 207.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Suns vs Timberwolves predictions below.

Suns vs. Timberwolves Odds

  • Spread: Suns -4
  • Total 207.5

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Friday, Apr 26
  • Time: 10:30 ET
  • Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix AZ
  • TV: ESPN

Timberwolves Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Timberwolves have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last three road contests, the Timberwolves offense has averaged 107 points per game while allowing an average of 110. Minnesota posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Timberwolves have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.

Suns Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Suns have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Although Phoenix has a straight up record of 1-2 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-2. The team averaged 104 points per game in these games.
  • In their last five contests as the favorite, Phoenix has a poor record vs the spread going 2-3. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 3-2.

The Timberwolves picked up a 105-93 win over the Suns in the most recent game of this series. They were 3-point favorites heading into the game and easily covered the spread. Minnesota was up 78-71 heading into the 4th quarter and outscored the Suns 27-22 in the final quarter. The game fell 13.5 points short of the over/under line of 211.5 points.

On the defensive side of the ball, both teams shot just 44.9% from the field. The Suns made just eight threes on 36.4% shooting from downtown. Jaden McDaniels led all scorers with 25 points and also added eight rebounds for the Timberwolves. Devin Booker had 20 points for the Suns.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?

In Minnesota’s games this season, the average over/under line is 220.8, which is higher than today’s line of 207.5. The Timberwolves have a record of 43-41-0 on the over/under this season.

Minnesota’s ATS record for the season is 42-41, and they have covered the spread in their last two games. On the road, they are 22-18 ATS compared to 20-23 ATS at home.

As the underdog, Minnesota has gone 9-10 straight-up and 11-8 ATS. Their average scoring differential as the underdog is -0.7 points per game.

In their last game, the Timberwolves defeated the Suns by a score of 105-93. They were favored by 3 points in that game and covered the spread by 12 points. The O/U line for that game was 211.5.

Minnesota is currently 3rd in the Western Conference with a record of 56-26. In non-conference games, they are 19-11 compared to 37-15 against the West. On the road, the Timberwolves are 26-15.

Minnesota comes into the game ranked 18th in the league in scoring, at 113 points per game. Their scoring average on the road is slightly better, at 114 points per game. The Timberwolves have been an efficient shooting team this season, connecting on 48% of their shots from the field, which is the 9th best mark in the league.

Anthony Edwards is averaging 20 points per game over his last five games, while shooting 45.2% from the field. In these games, he also averaged 5.2 rebounds and 5.2 assists. Karl-Anthony Towns is averaging 21.8 points and 8.3 rebounds for the season, and he has hit 41.6% of his threes. Rudy Gobert is averaging 12.9 rebounds per game for the Jazz.

The Timberwolves defense has been the best in the NBA this season, allowing just 106.2 points per game. They have been especially strong at home, giving up just 103.3 points per game.

Minnesota has done a great job of defending the three-point line this season, allowing opponents to shoot just 35.6% from beyond the arc. Overall, they are 1st in field goal percentage defense at 45.1%.

Over their last five games, the Timberwolves have given up 107 points per game, which is 8th in the NBA over that span.

Will Phoenix Come Through as Home Favorites?

In terms of their ATS record, the Suns have gone 16-24 at home and 19-24 on the road. Currently, they are favored by 4 points and have an ATS record of 25-35 as the favorite and 9-14 as the underdog. In their last two games, they have not covered the spread.

The Suns’ O/U record for the season is 37-46-1, and their games have averaged a combined 228.9 points. Today’s O/U line of 207.5 is lower than all of their previous games this season.

Phoenix is currently 6th in the Western Conference with a record of 49-33. In the Pacific Division, they are in 2nd place. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 29-23 and 20-10 against the East.

The Suns are coming off a 105-93 loss to the Timberwolves. They were 3-point underdogs in that game and are favored by 4 points today. In their last two games, they have been favored and have a 40-21 record as the favorite this season.

Phoenix comes into the game as the NBA’s 10th ranked scoring offense, at 116.2 points per game. They have been a little better than that at home this year, at 115.8 points per contest. The Suns are 5th in field goal percentage this season, hitting 49% of their shots. Looking at their three-point shooting, the Suns are 5th in three-point percentage, but they are near the bottom of the league in three-point attempts.

Devin Booker and Kevin Durant are both averaging 27.1 points per game this season, which is the 4th best mark in the league. For the season, Durant has hit 52.7% of his shots and 41.3% of his threes, while Booker has hit 48.3% of his shots and 36.4% of his threes. Bradley Beal is averaging 22.2 points per game over his last five games while hitting 56.4% of his shots and 60.9% of his threes in that stretch. For the season, he is shooting 43% from beyond the arc.

So far this season, the Suns are 13th in the league in points allowed per game at 113.2. At home, they are giving up 112.8 points per game, which is 16th in the NBA.

One area where Phoenix has been strong is in defending the paint. They are 6th in the NBA in two-point shooting percentage allowed at 53.2%. Overall, opponents are shooting 46.5% from the field against the Suns.

In terms of three-point shooting, the Suns are 18th in the league in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 36.3%. On average, opponents are making 13.0 threes per game against Phoenix.

Over their last five games, the Suns have been a bit better on the defensive end. During this stretch, they are 15th in field goal percentage allowed at 47.3%. In terms of three-point shooting, they are 10th in the league at 34.1%.

Suns vs. Timberwolves Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Anthony Edwards and his points prop of 24.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -121 while the under is at -120. Our model predicts that Anthony Edwards will finish the game going 9/20 from the field and scoring 26 points. Our suggested wager is to bet on the over for his prop bet, which comes with a payout of -121.

  • The Prop: Anthony Edwards Over 24.5 Points (-121)

Suns vs. Timberwolves Predictions

Coming in as the underdogs at +4, we have the Timberwolves as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 207.5, and our model predicts the Timberwolves and Suns to score a combined 227 points. We recommend betting on the over.

The Pick: Timberwolves +4 | at Fanduel Sportsbook