If you followed our advice on Derrick Henry and Ezekiel Elliott last week, you won your running back Overs. Both players easily eclipsed 100 yards and were among the top rushers of the week.
These are the best bets to win your running back props for Week 6.
Ezekiel Elliott – Under 81.5 Rushing Yards
You just made money on Ezekiel Elliott hitting the Over last week against the Giants, but now the smart play is to bet him to hit the Under.
New England’s defense just gave up more than 300 yards to Davis Mills, and that came a week after Tom Brady threw for 269 yards. The fact is that right now; the Patriots are vulnerable through the air, which means a big day for Dak Prescott and a less big day for Elliott.
Plus, the Pats D has continued to make life difficult for top running backs, like Alvin Kamara and Leonard Fournette. For Zeke, take the Under.
Aaron Jones – Under 66.5 Rushing Yards
Aaron Jones is expected to have a good game against the Bears on Sunday, but he’ll do it both receiving and rushing, and his total rush yards will be less than 67 because of the number of catches he makes out of the backfield.
Look for his total to be closer to the 48 yards that he got against the Steelers in Week 4. Plus, while the Bears’ defense has cracks, they’ve held up against top running back talent. Joe Mixon struggled to find running lanes, so did Josh Jacobs, and even Nick Chubb averaged less than four yards per carrying.
Jones goes Under 66.5 yards rushing.
Najee Harris – Over 66.5 Rushing Yards
The formula for the Steelers was unlocked last week against the Broncos. Najee Harris finally looked like the rookie of the year candidate many thought he would be when Pittsburgh selected him in the first round. He went for 122 yards on 23 carries, and he led the Steelers’ offense to victory.
Now they face the Seahawks, who have given up at least 67 yards to the following running backs: Derrick Henry, Alexander Mattison, Trey Sermon, and Darrell Henderson.
With JuJu Smith-Schuster gone for the season, the Steelers run the ball even more, and Harris blows out the Over, getting close to 100 yards.
This is one of the better running back props of the week.
Austin Ekeler – Over 104.5 Total Yards
The rushing yards line for Austin Ekeler is just Over 60. But the Ravens have been decent against the running game while getting torched through the air. That is why we are going for total yards on our Austin Ekeler bet, not just what he gets on the ground.
In each of the last four weeks, he’s gone Over 107 in total yards, including 119 last week (66 rushing and 53 receiving) and 145 the week before (117 rushing and 28 receiving).
The Ravens have given up 169 total yards to Johnathan Taylor and 107 yards to D’Andre Swift, and they will give up at least 105 yards to Ekeler.