Phillies vs. D-Backs Predictions & Picks – NLCS Game 2

Sean McIvor takes a bite of his Bryce Harper chain at Citizens Bank Park before the gates open on their NLCS game against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia on Oct. 16, 2023.
Image Credit: Joe Rondone/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK

The Arizona Diamondbacks (84-78), who finished second in the NL West during the regular season, are set to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (90-72), who finished second in the NL East. The Phillies currently lead the series 1-0, riding a 5-game winning streak, while the Diamondbacks are looking to bounce back from their recent loss.

How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies player props, predictions, odds, and picks below.

Phillies vs. D-Backs Odds

  • Moneyline: Phillies -156 (FanDuel) / Diamondbacks +145 (Bet365)
  • Total: 7.5

Game Info

  • Date: Tuesday, Oct. 17
  • Time: 8:07 PM ET
  • Location: Citizens Bank Park – Philadelphia, PA
  • TV: TBS

Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks have a mixed record in their last 10 games, going 5-5. Interestingly, they have a better record when they are the underdog, with a win-loss record of 42-30. On the road, they have a balanced record of 41-40.

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies, on the other hand, are on a roll, going 7-3 in their last 10 games. They have a strong record when they are the favorite, with a win-loss record of 66-42. Their home record is impressive, standing at 49-32.

Breaking Down The Pitchers

The Phillies are coming into this game with a strong home record and a 3-game winning streak. Their pitcher, Aaron Nola, has a win-loss record of 12-9 with an ERA of 4.46. He has started 32 games this season, with the team winning 19 of those games. Nola’s performance will be crucial in this game.

On the other hand, the Diamondbacks’ pitcher, Merrill Kelly, has a win-loss record of 12-8 with an ERA of 3.29. He has started 30 games this season, with the team winning 16 of those games. Despite having a lower ERA than Nola, Kelly’s team has a lower win percentage when he starts.

Looking At Offense

Looking at the offenses, the Phillies have a batting average of .256, ranking 9th in the league, and have scored 796 runs, ranking 8th. Their top batter, Bryce Harper, has a batting average of .293 with 21 home runs. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have a batting average of .250, ranking 14th in the league, and have scored 746 runs, ranking 14th. Their top batter, Corbin Carroll, has a batting average of .285 with 25 home runs.

Phillies vs. D-Backs Predictions

Given the Phillies’ strong home record, their current winning streak, and their superior offensive stats, they are the favorites to win this game. However, the Diamondbacks have shown that they can compete, especially with Kelly on the mound. This game will likely be a close one, but the Phillies’ home advantage and recent form give them the edge.

Phillies vs. D-Backs Picks

Given the Phillies’ strong home record and recent form, as well as their superior offensive stats, the best value pick for this game is the Philadelphia Phillies.

They have shown consistency and reliability, especially when playing at home. Their current winning streak and the performance of their top players, such as Bryce Harper, give them the edge in this game.

The Pick: Philadelphia Phillies -156 (FanDuel)