The Pacers are gearing up for a showdown against the Milwaukee Bucks on Friday, Apr 26. Today’s game is scheduled to start at 5:30 ET and will be broadcast on ESPN. Indiana comes into this matchup as 6-point favorites, with the over/under set at 223. Will the Pacers manage to secure a win as the favorite? Below, you’ll find our Pacers vs. Bucks predictions.
Pacers vs. Bucks Odds
- Spread: Pacers -6
- Total 223
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Game Info
- Date: Friday, Apr 26
- Time: 5:30 ET
- Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis IN
- TV: ESPN
Bucks Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Bucks have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Milwaukee has an ATS record of 0-3 while averaging 102 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
- The last ten games that Milwaukee was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 5-5 straight up.
Pacers Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Pacers have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- In their last three games at home, the Pacers have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 113 points per game in these contests.
- In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Pacers have a strong straight up record of 4-1. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.
The Pacers picked up a 125-108 win over the Bucks in the most recent game of this series. Indiana was a 1-point underdog heading into the game, and they easily covered the spread. The Pacers outscored the Bucks in all four quarters and were up 92-83 heading into the 4th. The over/under line in the game was 223.5 points, and the teams combined to score 233.
Indiana’s offense was excellent in this game, as they shot 55.6% from the field and 44.4% from three. Pascal Siakam led the Pacers with 37 points, and Myles Turner also chipped in with 22. On the other side, Damian Lillard had 34 points for the Bucks, and Brook Lopez added 22.
Will Milwaukee Win on the Road?
In their games this season, the Bucks have averaged a combined 234.9 points per game, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 223. Overall, their games have averaged 234.1 points per game.
Milwaukee’s ATS record for the season is 36-48, including a 16-24 ATS record on the road. They have failed to cover the spread in their last three road games.
This season, the Bucks have been the underdog in 16 games and have a record of 5-11 in those games. As the underdog, they have an average scoring differential of -9.8 points per game.
In their last game against the Pacers, the Bucks lost by a score of 125-108. The O/U line for that game was 223.5, and Milwaukee was favored by 1 point going into the game.
Currently, the Bucks are 3rd in the Eastern Conference with a record of 49-33. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 34-18 and 10-7 in their division.
Milwaukee comes into the game as the 4th ranked scoring offense, at 119 points per game. But they have been below the league average in terms of scoring in 41.5% of their games this season. The Bucks are also a strong three-point shooting team, ranking 5th in three-pointers made per game and 8th in three-point shooting percentage. Overall, they are 7th in field goal percentage.
The Bucks will be without Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is averaging 30.4 points per game. Khris Middleton has hit 52.8% of his shots from the field in his last five games and averaged 18.2 points per game in that stretch. Bobby Portis has averaged 16 points and 9.8 rebounds in his last five games.
When it comes to points allowed per game, the Bucks are 21st in the league at 116.2. On the road, they are giving up 118.0 points per contest, which is 22nd in the NBA. Over their last five games, they have been better, ranking 17th at 111.2 points per game.
In terms of three-point shooting, Milwaukee is 12th in three-point percentage allowed at 35.4%. On the season, they are giving up 12.6 made threes per game, which is 12th in the league. Over their last five games, they have been even better, ranking 9th in three-point percentage allowed at 33.6%.
When it comes to steals, the Bucks are 28th in the NBA at 6.8 per game. They are also 16th in blocked shots at 5.0 per contest. In terms of personal fouls, they are 10th in the league.
Do the Pacers Have What it Takes at Home?
Indiana’s games have averaged 242.9 points per game this season, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 223. Overall, the Pacers have a record of 44-40 against the O/U.
At home, Indiana is 26-15 straight up and 22-18 against the spread. Their average scoring differential at home is +6.8 PPG. The Pacers have won five straight games at home.
Against the spread, Indiana is 45-37 for the season (22-18 at home and 23-19 on the road). As the favorite, they are 21-23 ATS and 26-18 straight-up. Today, they are favored by 6 points.
Indiana’s last game was also against the Bucks, and they won by a score of 125-108. The Pacers were 1-point underdogs going into the game, and they covered the spread.
In the Eastern Conference, Indiana is currently in 6th place with a record of 47-35. Against other teams in the East, they are 32-20 compared to 15-15 in non-conference games.
Indiana comes into the game as the NBA’s top scoring team, at 123.3 points per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 125.5 points per contest. The Pacers are also one of the faster-paced teams in the league, averaging 101.2 possessions per game.
Pascal Siakam has been playing well of late, averaging 27.2 points per game in his last five games. This has come while hitting 62.6% of his shots from the field. Myles Turner has hit 55.7% of his shots in his last five games and 20.6 points per game. The Celtics will be without Bennedict Mathurin, who is averaging 14.5 points per game for the season.
When it comes to scoring, the Pacers have struggled this season. They are giving up an average of 120.0 points per game, which is 27th in the NBA. At home, they are giving up 118.7 points per game, which is 28th in the league.
One area where Indiana has excelled this season is defending the three-point line. They are giving up just 10.8 made threes per game, which is the best mark in the NBA. Overall, opponents are shooting 36.6% from three against the Pacers.
One area where the Pacers have struggled this season is at the free-throw line. They are giving up 25.8 made free throws per game, which is 30th in the NBA. Over their last five games, they have given up an average of 19.4 made free throws per game.
Pacers vs. Bucks Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Pascal Siakam and his points prop of 27.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -119 while the under is at -115. According to our projections, Pascal Siakam is expected to record 25 points, 8 rebounds, and 5 assists. Regarding his points prop, we recommend taking the under at 27.5.
- The Prop: Pascal Siakam Under 27.5 Points (-115)
Pacers vs. Bucks Predictions
When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Bucks vs. Pacers game, our recommendation is to take the Bucks at +6. Despite our model showing the Pacers winning 111-110, we like Bucks as our point-spread pick.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 223, and our model projects the Bucks and Pacers to reach a combined total of 221 points. Our bet is on taking the under.
The Pick: Bucks +6 | at Fanduel Sportsbook