For your Nuggets vs. Timberwolves predictions needs, we’ve got you covered as the Timberwolves hit the road to face the Nuggets on Saturday, May 4 at 7:00 ET. Currently, the total sits at 208.5, with the Nuggets favored by 4.5 at home. Keep reading to get our Nuggets vs. Timberwolves player props and predictions.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds
- Spread: Nuggets -4.5
- Total 208.5
Game Info
- Date: Saturday, May 4
- Time: 7:00 ET
- Location: Ball Arena, Denver CO
- TV: TNT
Timberwolves Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Timberwolves have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 118 per game. The team went 2-1 overall in these games.
- As the betting underdog, the Timberwolves have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 2-1.
Nuggets Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Denver has played well in their previous three home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 115 points per game while allowing 111. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
- Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 7-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
The Timberwolves are coming off a 122-116 win over the Suns, which gave them a 4-0 series win. This win came on Phoenix’s home floor. The over/under line for the game was 213 points, and the teams combined for 238 points.
Offensively, the Timberwolves were led by Anthony Edwards, who scored 40 points and hit seven threes. As a team, they made 15 threes and shot 41.7% from beyond the arc. Karl-Anthony Towns also had a big game, finishing with 28 points and 10 rebounds.
Denver’s win over the Lakers helped them close out the series in five games. The Nuggets picked up a 108-106 win at home to close out the series. Heading into the game, the over/under line was set at 216.5 points, and the teams finished just under that line.
Offensively, Denver was led by Jamal Murray, who finished with 32 points and hit five threes. Michael Porter Jr. also hit five threes and finished with 26 points. Nikola Jokic added 25 points and 20 rebounds for the Nuggets.
Will the Timberwolves Win on the Road?
Minnesota has won four straight games and is currently 3rd in the Western Conference with a record of 56-26. In non-conference games, they are 19-11 compared to 37-15 against the West.
The Timberwolves have an ATS record of 44-41 for the season, including going 24-18 ATS on the road. As the underdog, they are 13-8 ATS on the road and 11-10 overall.
On average, Minnesota’s games have finished with 219.6 points per game, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 208.5. This season, their games have averaged an O/U line of 220.6.
In their last game, the Timberwolves beat the Suns by a score of 122-116. The O/U line for that game was 213 points, and Minnesota was a 1-point underdog going into the game.
So far this season, Minnesota is 45-41 on O/U bets, and their last two games have gone over the posted totals.
Minnesota comes into the game as the NBA’s 8th-ranked team in field goal percentage, at 48%. They are also one of the league’s best three-point shooting teams, hitting 38% of their looks from beyond the arc. Overall, the Timberwolves are averaging 113 points per game this season, which is 18th in the league.
Anthony Edwards has been carrying the Timberwolves offense of late, averaging 27.4 points per game over his last five games. In these games, he hit 50.6% of his shots from the field. Karl-Anthony Towns has hit 47.6% of his threes in his last five games and is averaging 21.8 points and 8.3 rebounds for the season. Rudy Gobert is averaging 12.9 rebounds per game this year and 16.2 points in his last five games.
So far this season, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been the best defensive team in the NBA, allowing just 106.4 points per game. This number is even more impressive when you consider that they are also the best team in the league at defending the three-point line, allowing opponents to shoot just 35.6% from beyond the arc.
Minnesota has also been one of the best teams in the league at blocking shots, ranking 7th in the NBA at 6.1 blocks per game. In terms of steals, they are 6th in the NBA at 7.9 per game.
Over their last five games, the Timberwolves have allowed 107.6 points per game. During this stretch, opponents have shot 48.2% from the field and 40.3% from three-point range.
Will Denver Find a Way to Win at Home?
In their last game, the Nuggets defeated the Lakers by a score of 108-106. The O/U line for that game was 216.5, and Denver was favored by 6.5 points going into the game.
This season, the Nuggets have an overall record of 57-25, which is 2nd in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they went 24-6 compared to 33-19 against the West.
As the home team, the Nuggets have an average scoring margin of +9.5 points per game. They have won seven straight games at home and are favored by 4.5 points today.
Denver’s ATS record at home is 22-21 and 18-24 on the road. They have failed to cover the spread in their last two home games and are 40-45 ATS for the season.
This year, the Nuggets have been favored in 76 of their 82 games and have a record of 56-20 in those games. Their ATS record as the favorite is 34-40, while their ATS record as the favorite is 6-5.
The average O/U line in Denver’s games this season is 225.4, and their games have averaged 223.9 points per game. Today’s O/U line is set at 208.5, and the Nuggets have a season record of 35-50-2 on the over/under.
Denver comes into the game as the 13th ranked scoring offense, at 114.9 points per game. On their home floor, they are 10th in the league, averaging 117.8 points per contest. The Nuggets have been one of the most efficient shooting teams in the NBA this season, with a field goal percentage of 49%, which is the 4th best mark in the league. Their three-point shooting percentage is just 37%, which is 25th in the NBA.
Nikola Jokic has been carrying the Nuggets offense of late, averaging 28.2 points and 16.2 rebounds in his last five games. He also averaged 9.8 assists in those games. Over his last five games, Michael Porter Jr. has hit 48.8% of his threes and averaged 22.8 points. Jamal Murray is questionable for the game with a calf injury. In his last five games, he shot 40% from the field but still averaged 23.6 points and 7.2 assists.
When it comes to defense, the Denver Nuggets have been one of the best in the NBA this season. They come into tonight’s game ranked 6th in the league in points allowed per game at 109.4. Over their last five games, they have been even better, ranking 9th in points allowed at 106.4.
One of the reasons for their defensive success has been their ability to defend the three-point line. On the season, they are 2nd in the league in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 35.1%. Over their last five games, they have been even better, ranking 3rd in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 29.8%.
Overall, opponents have been held under their season average 76.8% of the time against the Nuggets. When it comes to three-point shooting, opponents have made fewer threes than their season average 74.4% of the time.
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Player Props
A player prop we are looking at is Anthony Edwards and his points prop of 27.5.
Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -105 while the under is at -115. Our projections have Anthony Edwards finishing with a stat line of 27 points, 6 and 5 assists. As for his points prop, we like the under at 27.5.
- The Prop: Anthony Edwards Under 27.5 Points (-115)
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Predictions
For a pick on the point-spread in this Nuggets vs. Timberwolves matchup, our bet is to grab the Timberwolves at +4.5. Even though our projections have the Nuggets winning 113-112, we see the Timberwolves as the play on the point-spread.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 208.5, and our model predicts the Timberwolves and Nuggets to score a combined 225 points. We recommend betting on the over.
The Pick: Timberwolves +4.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves player props
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