Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Tuesday, May 14

Minnesota Timberwolves center Karl-Anthony Towns (32) shoots against the Los Angeles Clippers during the first half at Arena.
Image Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

If you’re looking for Nuggets vs. Timberwolves predictions, you’ve come to the right place. The Timberwolves are on the move to take on the Nuggets on Tuesday, May 14 at 10:30 ET. At present, the total is set at 205.5, and the Nuggets are favored by 4.5 at home. Keep reading to get our Nuggets vs. Timberwolves player props and predictions.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds

  • Spread: Nuggets -4.5
  • Total 205.5

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Tuesday, May 14
  • Time: 10:30 ET
  • Location: Ball Arena, Denver CO
  • TV: TNT

Timberwolves Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Timberwolves have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • In their last three road games, Minnesota has averaged 111 points per game while allowing 98. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
  • The Timberwolves have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.

Nuggets Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 0-5 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last five home contests, Denver has been good against the spread posting a mark of 4-1. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 115 points per game.
  • As the betting favorite, the Nuggets have an ATS mark of just 0-3 in their last three games. Denver posted a straight up mark of 1-2 in these matchups.

The Nuggets picked up a win in the most recent game of this Nuggets vs. Timberwolves series, winning by a score of 115-107. Denver was the underdog heading into the game, getting 3.5 points, but they covered the spread. The over/under line for the game was at 205 points, and the teams surpassed that number with a combined 222 points. The Nuggets put together a strong 2nd quarter, outscoring the Timberwolves 35-25.

Anthony Edwards had a big game for the Timberwolves, scoring 44 points and knocking down five threes. However, the Nuggets still held Minnesota to just 39.3% shooting from three-point range. Nikola Jokic led all scorers with 35 points, and he also had seven rebounds and seven assists. Aaron Gordon added 27 points for the Nuggets.

Does Minnesota Have A Chance at Ball Arena?

Minnesota has an overall record of 56-26 this season, which is 3rd in the Western Conference. In the West, they are also 3rd in the standings. On the road, the Timberwolves are 30-15 compared to 32-13 at home.

As the underdog, Minnesota has a record of 13-10 this season and they have covered the spread in their last four games as the underdog. Today, they are getting 4.5 points on the spread.

In terms of their O/U record for the season, the Timberwolves are 47-43. In their last two games, the final score has gone over the posted line of 205.5. On average, their games have finished with 218.9 points.

In their most recent game, the Timberwolves lost to the Nuggets by a score of 115-107. The O/U line for that game was 205 points. Minnesota was favored by 3.5 points going into the game.

Minnesota’s offense is averaging 113 points per game this season, which is 18th in the league. On the road, they have been even better, averaging 114.1 points per contest. The Timberwolves are 8th in field goal percentage this season, connecting on 48% of their shots. They are also the 2nd best three-point shooting team, with an average of 38%.

Anthony Edwards has been carrying the Timberwolves’ offense of late, averaging 34.6 points per game over his last five games. In these games, he hit 59.6% of his shots from the field and 47.5% of his threes. Karl-Anthony Towns has hit 2.8 threes per game in his last five games while shooting 58.3% from downtown. Rudy Gobert has not hit a three this season for the Jazz.

When it comes to defense, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been the best unit in the league this season, allowing just 106.2 points per game. On the road, they have been even better, giving up just 108.6 points per contest.

One reason for Minnesota’s success on defense has been their ability to defend the three-point line. On the season, they are fourth in the NBA in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 35.9%. In addition, opponents have made fewer threes than their season average in 76.8% of games vs. the Timberwolves.

Over their last five games, the Timberwolves have been a bit more vulnerable on defense, giving up 105.4 points per contest. During that stretch, opponents have made 40.7% of their three-point attempts.

Can the Nuggets Grab a Win at Home?

Dating back to the regular season, the Nuggets have won their last five games as the underdog. Today, they are favored by 4.5 points and have gone 34-42 ATS as the favorite this season.

Denver’s O/U record for the season is 37-52-2, and the over has hit in their last two games. Today’s line of 205.5 is lower than 89 of their games this season.

In their last game against the Timberwolves, the Nuggets won 115-107 as 3.5-point underdogs. The teams combined for 222 points, and the O/U line was 205.

The Nuggets are 2nd in the Western Conference with a record of 57-25. In non-conference games, they are 24-6 compared to 33-19 against the West.

Denver has an ATS record of 42-47 this season, including going 22-23 ATS at home. They have covered the spread in their last two games and have an average scoring differential of +8.3 points per game at home.

Denver comes into the game as the 15th ranked scoring team in the NBA, at 114.9 points per game. Their average of 116.5 points per game at home is 11th in the league. The Nuggets are near the bottom of the league in free throw attempts and makes but are 4th in field goal percentage.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 26.4 points per game over his last five games to go along with 13 rebounds. For the season, he is averaging 1.1 made threes per game on a three-point shooting percentage of 35.9%. Jamal Murray is questionable with a calf injury but has averaged 20 points per game in his last five games while hitting 40% of his threes.

When it comes to defense, the Nuggets have been one of the best units in the league this season. They are 6th in points allowed per game at 109.1. At home, they are giving up just 108.2 points per game, which is 5th in the NBA.

One of the reasons for their success is their ability to defend the three-point line. On the season, they are 2nd in three-point percentage allowed at 35.2%. Over their last five games, they have been even better, holding opponents to just 35.7% from beyond the arc.

Another area where the Nuggets have been strong is in terms of steals and blocked shots. They are 21st in steals per game at 7.1 and 11th in blocked shots per game at 5.6.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Anthony Edwards and his points prop of 29.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -105 while the under is at -127. With his prop line at 29.5, our model indicates that taking the over is the way to go as we project him to end up with 30. We foresee him having a field goal percentage of 50.0% and connecting on three threes.

  • The Prop: Anthony Edwards Over 29.5 Points (-105)

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Predictions

The Timberwolves come in as the underdog at +4.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 205.5 and our model has the Timberwolves and Nuggets finishing with a combined 227 points. Our pick is to take the over.

The Pick: Timberwolves +4.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook