Nuggets vs. Suns Predictions, Odds & Picks For Game 5

Jamal Murray #27 of the Denver Nuggets drives the ball past Josh Okogie #2 of the Phoenix Suns during Game Four of the NBA Western Conference Semifinals at Footprint Center on May 07, 2023 in Phoenix, Arizona. The Suns defeated the Nuggets 129-124.
(Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

Now we have a series. After dropping two games on the road, the Phoenix Suns came back to tie the series 2-2 after winning the last two contests. Now, the Denver Nuggets will serve as hosts for Game 5 on Tuesday, May 9. Tip-off is scheduled for 10 pm ET while airing on TNT. The Nuggets enter as 5.5-point favorites with the total set at 228. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Nuggets vs. Suns predictions, odds, and picks below.

Nuggets vs. Suns Odds

  • Spread: Nuggets -5.5
  • Total: 228

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Game Info

  • Date: Tuesday, May 9
  • Time: 10 pm ET
  • Location: Ball Arena – Denver, CO
  • TV: TNT

Our top NBA props. Everyday. Matt LaMarca runs through his Best NBA Player Props Today for this pair of playoff games.

Nuggets Betting Trends

  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
  • Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.

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Suns Betting Trends

  • Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win.
  • Over is 4-0-1 in Suns last 5 games following an ATS win.

Nuggets vs. Suns Predictions

You have to credit the Suns, who dropped the first two games of this series by double-digits then worked their way back with a pair of home wins. However, the series returns to the site of those two losses for Phoenix. Can the Suns keep that momentum on the road?

The Nuggets have been outstanding at home while going 6-1 against the spread in their last seven home contests. On the other hand, the Suns haven’t been great as road underdogs, going 9-14-1 against the spread (40.6%) in that situation this season.

This feels like a game where the zig-zag theory will play out: take the team that lost the previous game and bet on them against the spread. In this case, it’s the Nuggets -5.5.

Denver should come out with plenty of energy in front of its home crowd. It still feels like the Nuggets are the better team in this series, although some people may have lost sight of that with Phoenix taking the last two games at home.

Chris Paul is still sidelined for Phoenix, but the Suns haven’t missed him while earning victories in his absence over the last two games.

Expect Nikola Jokic and company to get the job done at home, win the game, and cover the 5.5 point spread.

The Pick: Nuggets -5.5 | -110 at PointsBet