NFL Sacks Leader Predictions, Odds & Sleepers For 2023

Myles Garrett #95 of the Cleveland Browns celebrates a sack in a 2021 home game.
Sep 26, 2021; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Cleveland Browns defensive end Myles Garrett (95) celebrates a sack during the second half against the Chicago Bears at FirstEnergy Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

With the 2023 NFL season on the horizon, fans and pundits alike are placing bets on who will triumph in the sack race. Reigning champion Nick Bosa of the San Francisco 49ers, with his impressive 18.5 sacks in the 2022 season, sets a high bar.

Will he maintain his reign, or will a new contender rise to the top? Join us as we analyze the odds, scrutinize the favorites, and uncover potential dark horses in this race.

NFL Sacks Leader Odds 2023

PlayerOdds
Nick Bosa550
Myles Garrett650
Micah Parsons750
TJ Watt850
Haason Reddick1800
Matthew Judon1800
Aidan Hutchinson1800
Brian Burns2500
Chris Jones2500
Maxx Crosby2500
Danielle Hunter3000
Aaron Donald3000
Za'Darius Smith4000
Alex Highsmith4000
Josh Allen (JAX)5000
Joey Bosa5000
Josh Sweat5000
Josh Uche5000
Cameron Jordan5000
Yannick Ngakoue5000
Uchenna Nwosu5000
Von Miller5000
Will Anderson5000
Trey Hendrickson5000
Jaelan Phillips5000
Preston Smith5000
Montez Sweat5000
Leonard Floyd5000
Quinnen Williams6500
Jermaine Johnson7500
Harold Landry7500
Demarcus Lawrence7500
Daron Payne7500
Chase Young7500
Carl Lawson7500
Brandon Graham7500
Bradley Chubb7500
Shaquil Barrett7500
Greg Rousseau7500
Rashan Gary7500
Leonard Williams10000
Khalil Mack10000
Jerry Hughes10000
Emmanuel Ogbah10000
George Karlaftis10000
Drake Jackson10000
DeForest Buckner10000
Darrell Taylor10000
Chandler Jones10000
Cameron Heyward10000
Tyree Wilson10000
Travon Walker10000
Romeo Okwara10000
Sam Hubbard10000
Marcus Davenport13000
Justin Madubuike15000
Kayvon Thibodeaux15000
Dre'Mont Jones15000
Dexter Lawrence15000
Christian Wilkins15000
Arik Armstead15000
Randy Gregory15000
Lukas Van Ness15000
Jalen Carter20000
Jonathan Allen20000
Frank Clark20000
Jeffery Simmons20000
Myles Murphy20000
Calais Campbell20000
Will McDonald IV20000
Nolan Smith20000

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook as of Wednesday, July 12.

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The Four Horsemen Of The QB Apocalypse

The NFL sack leaderboard is always in flux, shaped by player performance, injuries, and team strategies. In the past five years, no player has managed to clinch the ‘Most Sacks’ title consecutively, making this year’s race a thrilling open field.

Among the favorites are four dominant forces: Nick Bosa, Myles Garrett, Micah Parsons, and TJ Watt.

49ers DE Nick Bosa (+550)

Bosa, fresh off his 2022 victory, is a formidable competitor. His combination of speed, power, and technique makes him a fearsome edge rusher, but past injuries could hinder his quest for consecutive titles.

Browns DE Myles Garrett (+650)

Myles Garrett, a 4-time Pro Bowler and 2-time First-Team All-Pro from the Cleveland Browns is another serious contender. Garnering a total of 74.5 career sacks as of June 2023, Garrett’s consistent performance and skill make him a formidable threat.

Cowboys LB Micah Parsons (+750)

Micah Parsons of the Dallas Cowboys, the versatile linebacker who won the 2021 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year, is a potential game-changer. Already boasting 26.5 sacks in his early career, he’s shown he’s got what it takes to be in the race.

Steelers LB T.J. Watt (+850)

Pittsburgh Steelers TJ Watt is a sack machine. A 2-time Pro Bowler and 3-time First-Team All-Pro, Watt equaled the single-season sack record in 2021 with a whopping 22.5 sacks.

Sleeper: Lions DE Aidan Hutchinson (+1800)

While it’s easy to focus on the favorites, one can’t overlook the potential dark horses. A prime example is Aidan Hutchinson, the 2nd overall pick of the Detroit Lions in the 2022 NFL Draft. With 9.5 sacks, 52 tackles, 3 interceptions, and 2 fumble recoveries in his rookie season, his raw talent could make him the underdog who clinches the title.

NFL Sacks Leader Prediction

After analyzing the odds, trends, favorites, and sleepers, we are looking toward Myles Garrett to lead the pack at +650 odds.

Even though he hasn’t led the NFL in sacks at any point in his career, his consistent performance, combined with his skill set and experience, makes him a strong contender. He’s always near the top of the pack, and some good fortune could put him over the top in 2023.