The Chargers may have lost their shot at the AFC West title with their overtime loss to the Chiefs last Thursday night. But they are very much in the wild card mix, and with the offensive weapons that they have, two things are certain. First, head coach Brandon Staley will continue to go for it on fourth down. And second, this offense is going to put up some big yards, big points, and if they’re in the playoffs, they are going to make life very difficult for some division-winning defensive coordinator. Let’s take a look at some of the best NFL props for this Chargers’ offense against the Texans.
All odds via BetPrep as of 6 a.m. ET on Dec. 22.
Justin Herbert Vs. Houston Texans
The Prop: Justin Herbert Passing Yards vs. Houston Texans
The Odds: Over 295.5 yards (-114)/Under 295.5 yards (-118)
After three straight games of more than 300 passing yards, Justin Herbert has not gone for less than 300 in two straight. He went for 275 in the Chargers’ easy win over the Giants, but just 236 in the high-scoring overtime loss to the Chiefs.
A big reason for that was how well the Chargers ran the ball against a Chiefs defense ranked 19th against the run. Well, the Texans rank 32nd against the run, giving up 145 yards per game, and 179.3 yards the last three games.
An easy win for L.A. and a potent running game will keep Herbert UNDER 295.5 yards passing.
Editor’s Note: New to NFL props? Check out our complete NFL Props Betting Guide to get up to speed!
Keenan Allen Vs. Houston Texans
The Prop: Keenan Allen Receiving Yards
The Odds: Over 76.5 yards (-116)/Under 76.5 yards (-114)
Three-time Pro Bowler Keenan Allen just went over 1,000 yards for the fourth time in the last five years and continues to be the steadiest presence in the Chargers offense. He had 78 yards against the Chiefs, even though the overall passing yards were below average. And other than his 34-yard game at Cincinnati, he was on a streak of 85, 112, 98, 104, and 77 yards.
THURSDAY NIGHT THOUCHDOWN BAYBEEEE#ProBowlVote + @Keenan13Allen
(📺: fox, nfln, prime) pic.twitter.com/7HlIvTw980— Los Angeles Chargers (@chargers) December 17, 2021
Allen is consistently good, and Herbert looks to throw his way whenever he needs a big play. For those reasons, Allen goes OVER against the Texans.
Mike Williams Vs. Houston Texans
The Prop: Mike Williams Receiving Yards
The Odds: Over 65.5 yards (-114)/Under 65.5 yards (-116)
Coming into Week 16, Mike Williams is just 36 receiving yards away from his second career 1,000-yard season. With 38 yards he will set a new career high at 1,002 yards.
He will get there, but getting over 65 yards is going to be more challenging. When Keenan Allen does well, Williams seems to shrink a little. And that works the other way as well. Allen struggled against the Bengals, and Williams went for 110.
Since Allen has the hot hand, Williams will only be average this week against the Texans. Houston is terrible against the run, average against the pass, and not since the Rams in Week 8 have the Texans allowed multiple wide receivers to go over 60 yards.
For Mike Williams, take the UNDER.