Hopefully, when the Bills and Patriots met three weeks ago, you did not wager a lot on the Bills offense. Or any offense in that wind tunnel of a football game that produced a total of 24 points and 471 total yards combined. Josh Allen threw for 145 yards, and Buffalo rushed for less than four yards per attempt as a team. We are certain (fingers crossed) that we will see more offense for this Sunday’s rematch in Foxborough. Here’s a breakdown of the NFL props from Buffalo’s perspective in this matchup.
All odds via BetPrep as of 5 a.m. ET on Dec. 22.
Josh Allen Vs. New England Patriots
The Prop: Josh Allen Passing Yards
The Odds: Over 263.5 yards (-115)/Under 263.5 yards (-115)
If Josh Allen is going to take that next step, these are the games in which he must prove himself. For the Bills, this is their biggest game since last year’s AFC Championship Game, and if they are going to be a championship team, beating New England in Foxborough is a must.
Not to say that Allen won’t have a good game, and he won’t lead the Bills to victory, but it’s a tough ask to get him over 263 passing yards. He’s only gone over that total once in the last five games – the overtime loss against the Buccaneers. This game won’t be a high-scoring affair like that was.
The Pats will slow things down, as they like to do, and Allen will finish UNDER.
Stefon Diggs Vs. New England Patriots
The Prop: Stefon Diggs Receiving Yards
The Odds: Over 78.5 yards (-116)/Under 78.5 yards (-114)
Stefon Diggs has had some huge games this season, going for 162 against the Jets and 114 against the Texans. But he hasn’t gone over 78 yards since that Jets game, and that was six weeks ago. And in 14 starts this season, he’s gone over 78 yards in just four games total.
He had 51 yards in that mess against the Patriots the first time around, which is quite productive considering the conditions. But wide receivers, as a rule, don’t have big games against New England. No one has gone over 60 yards since Keenan Allen went for 77 yards in Week 8.
Diggs going over 78.5 yards is a longshot.
Editor’s Note: New to NFL props? Check out our complete NFL Props Betting Guide to get up to speed!
Devin Singletary Vs. New England Patriots
The Prop: Devin Singletary Rushing Yards
The Odds: Over 48.5 yards (-114)/Under 48.5 yards (-118)
If there is a weakness for this Patriots defense, it’s the run. Jonathan Taylor blowing up for 170 yards can be excused away because it’s Taylor. But two games prior to that, D’Onta Foreman and Dontrell Hilliard of the Titans both went for 100 yards.
Devin Singletary puts the @BuffaloBills on the board! #BillsMafia @motorsingletary
📺: #CARvsBUF on FOX
📱: NFL app pic.twitter.com/gIgzlTNOrF— NFL (@NFL) December 19, 2021
The ask for Devin Singletary is less than half that. Yes, the Bills have struggled to run the ball, but they’ve made a concerted effort to get Singletary involved more, with him getting 22 carries for 86 yards last week against Carolina.
For Singletary, bet this OVER.