The AFC West is a wonderful jumbled mess, with all four teams within one game of each other. The Broncos beat the Chargers, who beat the Chiefs, who beat the Raiders, who beat the Broncos. If you keep following the circle, your head will explode. What we do know for certain: the winner of Sunday night’s game between the Broncos and Chiefs will be in first place at the end of the night, and there are sure to be some great individual performances. Let’s take a look at the top NFL player props for this Sunday night showdown.
All odds courtesy of BetPrep, updated 11:00 AM Eastern on Dec. 2.
Patrick Mahomes Vs. Denver Broncos
The Prop: Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards
The Odds: Over 315.5 yards (-118) / Under 315.5 yards (-114)
A line of 315 yards is big, even for a guy like Patrick Mahomes, who has 25 games of at least 300 yards passing. He has four this season, with the lowest of those going for 337 in Week 1 vs. Cleveland. So he’s certainly capable of throwing for big yards against very good defenses.
Denver has only allowed two quarterbacks to throw for more than 315 yards this season – Lamar Jackson, who threw for 316 yards in Week 4, and Derek Carr, who threw for 341 yards in Week 6.
The Broncos are more susceptible against the run, and the Chiefs are healthy at running back for the first time in a month. Look for Kansas City to emphasize the running and short passing games, keeping Mahomes short of 315.
Courtland Sutton Vs. Kansas City Chiefs
The Prop: Courtland Sutton Receiving Yards
The Odds: Over 50.5 yards (-115) / Under 50.5 yards (-115)
Since Week 7, Courtland Sutton made it over 40 yards, let alone 50. His targets are way down, from 14 targets in Week 6 to 17 targets over the last five games combined. Part of it is the emergence of Tim Patrick, but a big part is that the Broncos have leaned heavily on the run during their most recent streak of good play.
Davante Adams had 42 yards against the Chiefs. The Cowboys’ leading receiver was Michael Gallup with 44 yards. The Kansas City defense has been playing great, especially in the secondary, which will hold Sutton under 50.
Editor’s Note: New to NFL player props? Check out our complete NFL Prop Betting Guide to get up to speed!
Clyde Edwards-Helaire Vs. Denver Broncos
The Prop: Clyde Edwards-Helaire Rushing Yards
The Odds: Over 59.5.5 yards (-110) / Under 59.5 yards (-120)
Back from more than a month away, Clyde Edwards-Helaire is one of the most efficient running backs in the league. He’s not a heavy workhorse – his high in carries this season is 17 – but he’s twice rushed for more than 100 yards, and he’s averaging 4.8 yards per carry.
I won't have time to write about it, but Clyde was as-expected when the Chiefs ran between the tackles with numbers. His skillset is perfect for what this OL is good at. pic.twitter.com/bAUB45Mblv
— Seth Keysor (@RealMNchiefsfan) November 23, 2021
He rushed for 63 yards in his first week back against Dallas, and now two weeks later, he is even healthier and ready for a bigger load. Like with Jordan Howard and Boston Scott, who both went for 80-plus yards against the Broncos, Edwards-Helaire will be in the 75 to 80-yard neighborhood by the end of the game.
