If you read our running back props column each week, it was no surprise that Jonathan Taylor led all backs with 143 rushing yards. He was predicted to have a huge game against the Texans, and he delivered. So what should you expect to see in Week 14? We’ll dive into that with the best NFL player props for running backs this weekend.
All odds courtesy of BetPrep, updated 6 a.m. ET on Dec. 9.
Joe Mixon Vs. San Francisco 49ers
The Prop: Joe Mixon Rushing Yards
The Odds: Over 93.5 yards (-111)/Under 93.5 yards (-119)
We all think that Joe Mixon will have a bounceback game after he was held in check by the Chargers defense last week. Although considering that L.A. entered the game as the single worst team in the NFL at stopping the run, Mixon’s 54 yards on 2.8 yards per carry was surprising and worrying.
San Francisco ranks 18th against the run but hasn’t allowed a running back to go over 80 yards since Week 9, and only Jonathan Taylor has hit the century mark.
Mixon will have a better and more efficient game this week against the 49ers, but he’s still a safer bet to hit the UNDER against an improving 49ers defense.
Nick Chubb Vs. Baltimore Ravens
The Prop: Nick Chubb Rushing Yards
The Odds: Over 87.5 yards (-116)/Under 87.5 yards (-114)
The last time we saw the Browns, they were playing one of the ugliest 60 minutes of football we’ve ever seen. Ultimately they lost to the Ravens 16-10, and Nick Chubb was held to just 16 yards on eight carries.
Let’s throw that game out. The Browns got away from their game plan, and Chubb is worlds better than that.
But even not considering that game, the line on this game for Chubb is high, considering what the Ravens have done this season against the run. Only two running backs, Najee Harris with 71 yards and Dalvin Cook at 110, have gotten above 60 against Baltimore. Every other running back has finished in the 50s or lower.
Look for another poor offensive showing from Cleveland, and by proxy, a poor game for Chubb.
Antonio Gibson Vs. Dallas Cowboys
The Prop: Antonio Gibson Rushing Yards
The Odds: Over 71.5 yards (-110)/Under 71.5 yards (-120)
Betting the under is less fun than sitting back and rooting for yards, so here’s an OVER you can feast on this week: Antonio Gibson vs. the Dallas Cowboys.
Washington is never going to be a Taylor Heinicke-focused offense, and they certainly won’t be against a Dallas team giving up an average of 140 yards on the ground in its last three games. This Sunday, this rivalry game will be won or lost on the legs of Gibson.
Only players with 80+ rush attempts over the last 4 weeks
🥄 Jonathan Taylor – 101
🥄 Antonio Gibson – 95FEED THEM 🗣️ pic.twitter.com/htia3ONECf
— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF_Fantasy) December 7, 2021
Gibson has rushed for 95, 111, and 88 in his last three games, and he’s giving up fewer carries to J.D. McKissic, who has been injured. McKissic is questionable for Sunday, Gibson is the leading rusher in the NFC. In two games against Dallas last season, Gibson rushed for 128 yards and 115 yards.
I love this OVER.
