Hopefully, you were prescient enough to take last week’s overs on Ezekiel Elliott, Alvin Kamara, and Austin Ekeler. All three would have made you easy money. As for who to target in Week 5 NFL betting, these are the best running back props to target.
Derrick Henry – Over 113.5 Rushing Yards
That’s a really big number to hit, but this is a really great running back who is leading the league in rushing and is on pace for another 2,000-yard season.
In his last three games, he’s rushed for 182, 113, and 157 yards. He also absolutely loves to run the football against Jacksonville. He has games of 159, 215, and 238 yards against the Jaguars.
The wide receivers in Tennessee are still banged up, meaning that the offense will rely heavily on their All-Pro back once again. Henry is in line for 125 yards or more, making this over a great play.
Dalvin Cook – Over 84.5 Rushing Yards
Don’t hold Dalvin Cook’s 34 yards last week against him. The Browns defense was suffocating. He ran for 131 yards against the Cardinals the week before that, and that total is closer to what we expect to see this week against Detroit.
Consider that the Lions have already given up 100-yard games to Elijah Mitchell and David Montgomery, and neither of them is as good as Cook. He also has a great history against the Lions, going for 206 yards the last time he faced them. In 2019 he also had a 142-yard rushing game against the Lions.
Detroit gives up 132 rushing yards per game, and Cook will get close to 100 on his own.
Aaron Jones – Under 69.5 Rushing Yards
Our NFL betting preview turns to Aaron Jones. There’s a great chance the Packers’ RB is going to have a good game against the Bengals. The thing is, he’s so good as a pass receiver, and the Bengals’ biggest struggle against running backs is defending them as a receiver that Jones won’t put up a big total rushing.
Jones has gone over 69 yards rushing just once this season – against the Lions. But he’s had two big games this year receiving – against the Lions and Steelers. And that is where he will find the most success against Cincinnati.
Only once has the Bengals defense given up 70 rushing yards or more to a running back this season, and it won’t happen this week.
Ezekiel Elliott – Over 75.5 Rushing Yards
The start to the season for Ezekiel Elliott was slow, but it is accelerating quickly. In Week 3 against the Eagles, he rushed for 95 yards, and in Week 4 against a good Carolina run defense, and he went for 143.
The Cowboys are facing the Giants, who have already seen Melvin Gordon and Alvin Kamara rush for more than 100 yards. Even Washington’s Antonio Gibson got close to this 75.5-yard total, and he only carried the ball 13 times.
Zeke will be at 20 carries or more against New York, and that will put his rushing total close to 100 yards.
