We saw some outstanding quarterback play in Week 5: we’re looking at you, Tom Brady, and there was some quarterback play that was not so great – we will not name names to protect the innocent.
So what quarterbacks make for the best prop bets in Week 6? We’ll dive into those NFL betting angles below.
Teddy Bridgewater – Under 248.5 Passing Yards
The Raiders are in the midst of a tumultuous week, and you might think that this should be the week that you bet on all the Broncos to do really well. Yes, but also no.
The Raiders do have all kinds of distractions to deal with, and it’s easy to see that benefitting the Denver defense and running game. Las Vegas has been terrible against the run of late, and that will continue on Sunday. Derek Carr will also struggle against a good secondary that may be getting Ronald Darby back.
All those good things for Denver mean that Teddy Bridgewater won’t throw the ball nearly enough to get to 249 yards. Take the under.
Baker Mayfield – Under 241.5 Passing Yards
The Browns do not want to get into another shootout. It happened in Week 1 at Kansas City, and they lost. And it really happened last week against the Chargers, and they lost again, 47-42. And the best way to slow down the high-powered offense of the Cardinals is to slow the pace of their own offense. That’s an NFL betting angle to keep in mind.
Arizona is vulnerable to the run, and Cleveland runs the ball better than anyone. Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt will see a big uptick in touches this week, meaning that we’ll see less of Baker Mayfield throwing the ball downfield.
This is an obvious under.
Lamar Jackson – Over 234.5 Passing Yards
This is a number you should pounce on. In all five games, he’s played this season, Lamar Jackson has gone over 234 passing yards.
Admittedly, in his first two games, Jackson barely broke this line, going for 235 against the Raiders and 239 against the Chiefs. But since then, he has gone for 287, 316, and 442. That’s right, running quarterback and not so great at passing, Lamar Jackson is coming off 442 passing yards – best in the NFL in any week this season.
Don’t look for Jackson to break 400 yards again, but against the Chargers, he will need to throw to keep up with Justin Herbert. Against L.A., Dak Prescott, Patrick Mahomes, and Baker Mayfield all went for more than 235 yards passing, and Jackson will too.
Taylor Heinicke – Over 259.5 Passing Yards
Follow this trail. Washington has been bad against quarterbacks this season, giving up big games to Justin Herbert, Daniel Jones, Josh Allen, Matt Ryan, and Jameis Winston.
That has nothing to do with Taylor Heinicke, but it does with Patrick Mahomes, who will have a big day against the Washington secondary – especially now with his top running back on IR. And Mahomes will influence the play of Heinicke.
This will be a high-scoring game, and Heinicke will get to at least 275 yards against a bad Chiefs secondary in his effort to keep pace.